From Gordon F. Mulligan and Andreas Molin. 2004. Estimating Population Change with a Two-Category Shift-Share Model.
Annals Regional Science 38: 113-130.
e1 (State i 1990)
e2 (State i 2000)
Industry 1
Industry 2
Industry 3
Industry 1
Industry 2
Industry 3
Occupation 1
Occupation 1
Occupation 2
Occupation 2
Occupation 3
Occupation 3
Occupation 4
Occupation 4
E1 (Country 1990)
E2 (Country 2000)
Industry 1
Industry 2
Industry 3
Industry 1
Industry 2
Industry 3
Occupation 1
Occupation 1
Occupation 2
Occupation 2
Occupation 3
Occupation 3
Occupation 4
E.1
Occupation 4
E.2
R= (E.2 - E.1) / E.1
R=
Nj= R * ej1
N2= benchmark growth
Industry 1
Industry 2
Industry 3
Total
%
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Spreadsheet
Occupation 1
Occupation 2
Occupation 3
Occupation 4
P2= (Rij - R) ej1
P2= activity mix
Industry 1
Industry 2
Industry 3
Total
Occupation 1
Occupation 2
Occupation 3
Occupation 4
D2= (rij - Rij) ej1
D2= competitive
Industry 1
Industry 2
Industry 3
Total
Occupation 1
Occupation 2
Occupation 3
Occupation 4
Total Gwth=
100%
Automatic recalculation
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