AP
Stat Unit 3: Gathering Data
Chapter 5:
Producing Samples and Designing Experiments
Chapter 6:
Classic Probability
The central idea of Chapter 5 is that proper experimental design is necessary to produce data that can be used to draw valid conclusions. A major aspect of experimental design is random selection of subjects. We will look as several ways to randomize a sample, the most important of which is the Simple Random Sample (SRS). The chapter finishes with techniques for simulating samples to approximate probabilities experimentally (called empirical probabilities).
Chapter 6 looks at the formal rules for probability. The important ideas to pick up here are how to calculate the probability of two events which might be independent or disjoint, and how to calculate conditional probability – where one event depends on another.
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Date |
Section |
Topic |
|
Problems |
|
11/1 |
Simple Random Samples |
245-253 |
1-5 |
|
|
11/2 |
Other sample types |
253-260 |
8-13 |
|
|
11/3 |
Sampling Activity |
260-261 |
14-23 |
|
|
11/6 |
Designing Experiments |
265-273 |
27-29, 31, 35, 39 |
|
|
11/7 |
Block design; Matched Pairs The Monty Hall Experiment |
274-281 |
41, 44 |
|
|
11/8 |
|
The Great Cola Challenge! |
283-284 |
45-48 |
|
11/9 |
Simulating Studies by table |
286-292 |
54-56 |
|
|
11/10 |
|
VETERAN’S DAY |
|
|
|
11/13 |
Simulating Studies by calculator |
293-295 |
58, 59 |
|
|
11/14 |
|
Work day 1 |
296 |
61, 63-65 |
|
11/15 |
|
Chapter 5 Review & Practice |
298-300 |
67-70, 72, 77-80 |
|
11/16 |
|
Work Day 2 |
|
|
|
11/17 |
Permutation and Combination |
|
See PowerPoint |
|
|
|
|
THANKSGIVING BREAK |
|
|
|
11/27 |
Randomness and Probability |
310-316 |
5, 7, 8 |
|
|
11/28 |
The Rules of Probability Disjoint Events: The Addition Rule |
318-329 |
9, 12, 15, 18, 20-23 |
|
|
11/29 |
Independent Events: The Multiplication Rule |
331-335 |
24-27 |
|
|
11/30 |
The Birthday Problem |
336-337 |
Solve Birthday Prob. 28-32 |
|
|
12/1 |
Conditional Probability |
339-355 |
37, 39, 41, 43, 53, 55 |
|
|
12/4 |
|
Work day 3 |
|
|
|
12/5 |
False Positive Testing Surveying Sensitive Issues |
|
65, 66 |
|
|
12/6 |
|
MOCK CONGRESS |
|
|
|
12/7 |
|
MOCK CONGRESS |
|
|
|
12/8 |
Chapter 6 Review & Practice |
359 |
|
|
|
12/11 |
|
Midterm 3 |
|
|
|
12/12 |
|
Discuss test |
|
|