70 -��� 19.04.2005
u� Mapping the Global Future - Report of the National Intelligence
Council's 2020 project
US - National Intelligence Council
http://www.isn.ethz.ch/pubs/ph/details.cfm?r_oID=10502
12.2004 ... report � considers how global trends in the first
decade of the 21st century might influence world events � looks at the
contradictions of globalization, the changing geopolitical landscape,
challenges to governance, and international security threats. It then goes on
to analyze the policy implications of these threats and uncertainties �
Ausz�ge
zu den Stichworten Wasser / Umwelt
� Relative Certainties � Environmental and ethical issues � Key Uncertainties �Extent to which new technologies create or resolve
ethical dilemmas ...
S.18 � Over the next 15 years the increasing centrality of ethical
issues, old and new, have the potential to divide worldwide publics ... issues
include the environment and climate change, privacy, cloning and biotechnology,
human rights, international law regulating conflict, and the role of
multilateral institutions ... (siehe auch S. S.119)
S. 34 � The trend toward rapid, global diffusion of technology will
continue, although the stepped-up technology revolution will not benefit
everyone equally ...
New technology applications
will foster dramatic improvements in human knowledge and individual well-being.
Such benefits include � improve food and potable water production .. will
provide new knowledge about environment �
S.51 � Just like China, India may stumble and experience political and
economic volatility with pressure on resources � land, water, and energy
supplies � intensifying as it modernizes. For example, India will face stark
choices as its population increases and its surface and ground water become
even more polluted ...
S.52 � Whether China�s rise occurs smoothly is a key uncertainty. In
2003, the RAND Corporation identified and assessed eight major risks to the
continued rapid growth of China�s economy over the next decade ... �Water resources and pollution �
S.59 � Renewable energy sources such as hydrogen, solar, and wind energy
probably will account for only about 8 percent of the energy supply in 2020.
While Russia, China, and India all plan expansions of their nuclear power
sector, nuclear power probably will decline globally in absolute terms in the
next decade ...
S.76 � There is a strong consensus in the scientific community that the
greenhouse effect is real � Policymakers will face a dilemma: an environmental
regime based solely on economic incentives will probably not produce needed
technological advances because firms will be hesitant to invest in research
when there is great uncertainty about potential profits. On the other hand, a
regime based on government regulation will tend to be costly and inflexible ...
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u� NACHRICHTEN
Water bomb?
"The wars of the 21st
Century will be fought over water." Ismail Serageldin, Egyptian academic,
former Vice President for Environmental Affairs, World Bank.
Apr
17, 2005 There are more than just political disputes
between India and Pakistan � The last few months have seen
the Pakistan Government making desperate attempts to stall the construction of
Baglihar Dam by invoking the Article 9A of the Indus Water Treaty, which deals
with settlement of differences and disputes. On January 18, Pakistan took the
issue to World Bank, which had earlier mediated the Indus water treaty on
September 19, 1960 as it considers the construction of the dam to be a
violation of the Indus Water Treaty. But this is just one of the various
disputes over water resources between the two countries. There is a dispute on
Jhelum River in Jammu and Kashmir, which has been lingering for the last two
decades � Some Pakistani commentators have even described the Indus Water
Treaty as discriminating against Pakistan and have termed the Baglihar dam as a
threat to its economic existence � Political disputes between India and
Pakistan have hogged the headlines in the last five decades. But problems like
the Baglihar issue show that the dispute over water resources may be no less
intractable. It would require the combined intellectual and technical pool of
the two countries to diffuse this water bomb before it explodes and vindicates
the Serageldin's prediction.
http://www.hindu.com/mag/2005/04/17/stories/2005041700180400.htm
Gorbachev Calls for Global
Water Treaty
Apr 15,
2005 � Mikhail Gorbachev is pressing world leaders to
adopt a treaty guaranteeing clean water and sanitation for their people, a task
he says is more daunting than ending the nuclear arms race during the Cold War.
Dwindling water supplies and political resistance have hampered efforts to
bring fresh water to poor people around the world, the former Soviet leader
said � "We were able to solve the nuclear arms race because of � political
will � Today we don't see that political will. But I think it will emerge that
leaders will have to address this problem." Gorbachev will call for a
first-ever international water treaty during an April 21 keynote address to the
U.N. Commission on Sustainable Development. He envisions a binding agreement
that makes access to water and basic sanitation a human right, holds nations
responsible for providing it, and governs how freshwater resources are managed
and shared �
http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory?id=675037
D�mme verringern die Flussfracht
15. Apr 2005���
Mehr als die H�lfte der 292 gr��ten Fl�sse der Welt
werden aufgestaut. Der Mensch ver�ndert mit dem Dammbau nicht nur den
S��wasserzufluss ins Meer, sondern auch die Menge des eingetragenen Sediments
... Anhand der Ergebnisse der
Studie sollen zuk�nftige Entwicklungen der Flusssysteme, etwa durch Klimawandel
und steigenden Wasserverbrauch, eingesch�tzt werden ...
http://www.netzeitung.de/wissenschaft/334198.html
THE
WATERY DISASTER - Has anyone seen any water?
April
15, 2005 The scarcity of water is poised to assume catastrophic proportions for
future generations. Yet there is total confusion among policy-makers ... The
disease afflicting the water sector has not developed overnight. The signs of
distress had been evident since decades, but people remained mesmerised with
the thought that being a water-endowed country having adequate water sources,
monsoons would bring in the needed water every year. While politicians remained
occupied with vote banks, billions of cubic metres of the precious resource got
emptied into the sea unutilised year after year during the monsoons � The
increasing demand on fresh water has brought up many issues in the water
sector: issues of development, equity and sustainability. The problems are not
beyond the present state of our knowledge and technology but what is needed is
an apex organisation needed to co-ordinate the activities of harnessing and
augmenting the available water to optimise its productivity. Presently such a
set up does not exist. A plethora of independent governmental institutions both
at the national and state levels is presently dealing with the different
aspects of water ... Integrated water planning to identify and optimise water
and complementary investment is therefore lacking and each institution follows
its own interests, frequently, to the exclusion of the common good � We have
few options left. Either we put in place the necessary institutions with
adequate powers to streamline the related activities to manage the resource or
face the increasing distress with a growing population �
http://www.indianexpress.com/full_story.php?content_id=68389
OSCE Baku Office invites
Kazakhstan's environment experts to study Aarhus Centre in Azerbaijan
14 April 2005 - Environmental experts
from Kazakhstan have studied the setting up and current work of the Azerbaijani
Aarhus Centre during a study tour jointly organized by the OSCE Office in Baku
and the OSCE Centre in Almaty ... "This is a very responsible step for
Kazakhstan, since the Aarhus Convention is one of the important documents
ensuring democratic developments in the environmental area." The trip was
organized in view of the planned opening of an Aarhus Centre in the Kazakh
capital Astana this summer. Kazakhstan is striving to make progress in
implementing the Aarhus Convention, in the run-up to the second meeting of
parties to the Convention, due to be held in Almaty from 25 to 27 May 2005. The
Aarhus Convention on Access to Information, Public Participation in Decision-making
and Access to Justice in Environmental Matters is a new type of international
agreement on environmental protection. It deals with ecological rights of
people, accountability and transparency in environmental matters and the
relations between civil society and state agencies. It therefore covers not
only environmental protection, but also democracy �
http://www.osce.org/item/13868.html
Siehe auch:
WASSER AKTUELL 53 -���
29.09.2004
http://de.geocities.com/joergbarandat/wassernetz/wa53.htm
... angek�ndigtes Manual ist
zwischenzeitlich auch in englisch im Internet verf�gbar:
9 November 2004: Guidelines on
handling public requests for environmental information
http://www.osce.org/documents/cia/2004/11/3787_en.pdf
Secretariat
- Office of the Co-ordinator of OSCE Econommic and Environmental Activities
Joint
UN-OSCE initiative for security and environment
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u� NEUE�
VER�FFENTLICHUNGEN
Hinweis
von Christiane Fr�hlich, Forschungsst�tte der Evangelischen
Studiengemeinschaft (FEST) auf zwei Ver�ffentlichungen von:
Jan Selby, University of Sussex
http://www.sussex.ac.uk/irp/profile145874.html
Der
Download ist kostenpflichtig. Ich kann mir aber vorstellen, dass die Beitr�ge
an KollegInnen auf Anfrage aber auch so weitergegeben werden:
'Oil and water: the contrasting anatomies of resource conflicts',
Government and Opposition, Vol. 40, No. 2 (2005).
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/links/doi/10.1111/j.1477-7053.2005.00150.x/abs/
'The geopolitics of water in the Middle East: fantasies and realities',
Third World Quarterly, Vol. 26, No. 2 (2005).
http://www.citeulike.org/article/125470
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u� SEMINAR
Flie�t
uns das Wasser davon?
Ist
ein Krieg um unser Wasser einmal denkbar?
1.
- 3. Juni 2005
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung
- Bildungszentrum Schlo� Eichholz
http://www.kas.de/veranstaltungen/2005/15168_veranstaltung.html
Herzliche Gr��e von der Elbe
J�rg Barandat
http://de.geocities.com/joergbarandat/wassernetz.html