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| Long-term prediction for the USA based on the US Census Bureau's population projections |
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| Short-term prediction for the USA based on the US Census Bureau's population projections |
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| Long-term prediction for the UK based on the birth rate reports |
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| Short-term prediction for the UK based on the 2001 Census |
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| Long-term GDP prediction based on the 2002 population census. |
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Short term prediction for the Russian GDP. |
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| In the very beginning of 2006, Russia will suffer a severe drop in GDP growth rate. This effect is related to the sharp decrease of the number of 18-year-olds in Russia (see Kitov, I. ( 2005), GDP growth rate and population). This decrease makes about 50% in the next few years. The above figure illustrates the observed and predicted real GDP growth rate. Moscow Narodny Bank in London gives monthly estimates of so called GDP Indicator. |
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