• Money Game

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| '3X2X2X2X2X1X ' ' '1X '|
|   |
|      |  45  |
|1O3O3O '2X3O|   | '2O3O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: White: 100, Red: 77

• Red to play


            • Moves Candidates

8/3 8/4
9/4 6/2

HOVER MOUSE OVER TABLE TO REVEAL EVALUATIONS (3-ply, Cubeful)

8/3 8/4 0.516
    78.8%   2.4%  0.0%    21.2%     1.2%   0.0%
9/4 6/2 0.472 ( -0.044)
    77.2%   1.9%  0.0%    22.8%     1.7%   0.0%


        • After Red has played 8/3 8/4                                                                        • After Red has played 9/4 6/2


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| '3X2X2X2X2X1X ' ' '1X '|
|   |
|      |      |
|1O3O4O1O2X3O|   | ' '3O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+


+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| '3X2X2X2X2X1X ' ' '1X '|
|   |
|      |      |
|1O4O3O1O2X2O|   | '2O2O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
                                                                    Pip counts: White: 100, Red: 68


If Red rolls 6-1, 5-1 or 3-1 next turn, he is surely glad that he maintained his 8-point because Red can clear the 9-point using the 8-point as a landing place.
The downside of maintaining the 8-point this turn is that an immediate 4-3 forces Red to break the 6-point, and Red is likely be forced to break the 8-point anyway with most 2's and 4's.
In addition, Red will have difficulty clearing the 8-point even after he has successfully cleared his 9-point, since aces and 3's (in particular) play awkward.
Keeping the 8-point this turn only helps to clear the 9-point if Red rolls 6-1, 5-1 or 3-1 next turn, while it can become a liability in many other variations, so Red will be better off by clearing the point this turn.
Also, the play leaves spares on the 6 and the 9-point which give Red future flexibilities.




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