• Money Game Equities

			8/2 6/2	- 0.178
			45.1%   11.7%  0.5%    54.9%   14.2%   0.7%   CL: - 0.125    CF: - 0.178
			24/14	- 0.203 ( -0.025)
			45.1%     8.9%  0.3%    54.9%   15.2%   0.5%   CL: - 0.163    CF: - 0.203
			24/18 13/9                     (936 games)	- 0.258 ( -0.080)
			43.9%   10.2%  0.5%    56.1%   16.5%   0.7%   CL: - 0.186    CF: - 0.258
			13/3                                (936 games)	- 0.263 ( -0.085)
			43.7%   10.8%  0.4%    56.3%   15.1%   1.0%   CL: - 0.175    CF: - 0.263

            Full cubeful rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cube: 2-ply/33%

            • Volatility after each play

			8/2 6/2	0.125
			24/14	0.109
			24/18 13/9	0.146
			13/3	0.106

24/18 13/9 gives White 4-1 and 4-6 as double hitting numbers. Red is 3 pips behind White on roll, which argues against the running play.  Also, if Red runs with 24/14, White will happily hit with 6-3 and 5-4. A potential down side to making the 2-point is that if White anchors on the 20-point, those two checkers on the deuce-point are sort of wasted. However, if White does make the 20-point, Red rates to get a reasonable position by splitting or running a back checker next roll.

GG

DMP