• Money Game Equities

			13/3*	- 0.124
			46.7%   12.6%  0.5%    53.3%   14.6%   0.7%   CL: - 0.087    CF: - 0.124
			24/14	- 0.132 ( -0.008)
			47.0%   10.7%  0.4%    53.0%   14.4%   0.5%   CL: - 0.098    CF: - 0.132
			8/2 6/2	- 0.140 ( -0.016)
			46.3%   12.8%  0.5%    53.7%   14.9%   0.7%   CL: - 0.097    CF: - 0.140

            Full cubeful rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cube: 2-ply/33%

            • Volatility after each play

			13/3*	0.120
			24/14	0.118
			8/2 6/2	0.119

In the early 80's, I always ran with 24/14.  I've been making the 2-point since med 80's. Compared to the opening 6-4, Red seems to have less incentive to run since he's down in the race and White hits with a 6-5 though after 24/14 the race is close if White misses the shot. Making the 2-point seems to be a bit like "closing the barnyard gate after the cows have escaped". The 3-point doesn't seem to be worth fighting for, but very interestingly and surprisingly, the 2-ply rollout show that hitting wins most games. I am not sure I will try 13/3* for money, but I think I will definitely try this play at DMP and GG. At GS, 24/14 ought to be best. [Build: 0.14/120704]

2-ply Rollouts

GG

DMP

GS