• Money Game Equities

			24/22(2) 6/4(2)	+0.257
			55.9%   15.8%  0.7%    44.1%   10.1%   0.4%   CL: +0.178    CF: +0.257
			13/11(2) 6/4(2)	+0.203 ( -0.054)
			55.1%   16.5%  0.8%    44.9%   13.5%   0.6%   CL: +0.134    CF: +0.203
			13/9 6/4(2)                     (936 games)	+0.183 ( -0.074)
			53.8%   16.5%  0.9%    46.2%   13.5%   0.6%   CL: +0.110    CF: +0.183
			24/16*                            (936 games)	+0.128 ( -0.129)
			54.3%   13.4%  0.7%    45.7%   12.6%   0.6%   CL: +0.096    CF: +0.128
			24/20(2)                         (936 games)	+0.116 ( -0.137)
			52.2%   11.9%  0.3%    47.8%     7.6%   0.2%   CL: +0.088    CF: +0.116

            Full cubeful rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cube: 2-ply/33%

            • Volatility after each play

			24/22(2) 6/4(2)	0.111
			13/11(2) 6/4(2)	0.132
			13/9 6/4(2)	0.136
			24/16*	0.090
			24/20(2)	0.066

The argument for 24/16* for money and at DMP is that this play can win most games and has a good gammon balance as well. The choice between 13/11(2) 6/4(2) and 24/16* might be close at DMP. 24/20(2) reduces gammon losses a lot at the cost of winning a bit less, so this play has to be a good contender at GS. Still, it really is substantially better to use two of these 2's to make the 22-point, since White now has 10 checkers in the zone, so some defense is called for.  Also, this play puts some pressure on the blot on the 9-point and makes it less attractive for White to make many of his good point making moves as White may have to leave the blot six away from the 22-point. 24/22(2) 6/4(2) is my slight preference over 24/20(2) at GS because 24/20(2) looks a bit too weenie to me, and for money, 24/22(2) 6/4(2) is my strong preference over 13/11 6/4(2). Locking up the 22-point looks still very strong at DMP, while hitting with 24/16* seems to waste this good roll by failing to make the 4-point.

GS

DMP