Response vs. 
Opening
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• Hisako to play 
• Money Game Equities
• Volatility after each play
13/11(2) 6/4(2)
+0.187
54.7% 15.0% 0.6% 45.3% 12.3% 0.7% CL: +0.121 CF: +0.187
24/22 13/11 6/4(2)
+0.152 ( -0.035)
53.3% 13.8% 0.5% 46.7% 11.4% 0.4% CL: +0.092 CF: +0.152
24/22(2) 6/4(2)
+0.150 ( -0.037)
53.3% 12.8% 0.5% 46.7% 9.3% 0.4% CL: +0.101 CF: +0.150
24/20(2)
+0.098 ( -0.089)
51.6% 9.5% 0.5% 48.4% 6.7% 0.2% CL: +0.063 CF: +0.098
Full cubeful rollout, 468 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cube: 2-ply/33%
13/11(2) 6/4(2)
0.125
24/22 13/11 6/4(2)
0.163
24/22(2) 6/4(2)
0.111
24/20(2)
0.059
Just making both 4 and 11-points looks best for money and at most scores because White has no new builders.
The problem with 24/22(2) is that Red does not really want this anchor.
After making the 4-point the next logical point is the 5-point and making the 11-point increases its value.
24/22(2) 6/4(2) or 24/20(2) gives best chances to save the gammon and enter a simple race, and would sometimes be best at a GS score.
At a GG score, 13/11(2) 6/4(2) gives Red best gammon chances as well as best winning chances.