GNU_0.14  2-ply/worldclass, cubeful, Kazaross Met

Cube action equity
Eval	Cubeless equity:	0.532  ($ 0.533)
	W: 76.0%    WG: 2.4%    LG: 1.1%
1.	Double, take	0.851
2.	Double, pass	1.000	(+0.149)
3.	No double	0.836	(- 0.015)
Proper cube action:   Double, take

Snowie_4  3-ply/precise, cubeful, Snowie 2.1 Met Cube action equity Eval Cubeless equity:   0.510   W: 74.7%    WG: 3.6%    LG: 2.1% 1. Double, take 0.822 2. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.178) 3. No double 0.800 (- 0.022) Proper cube action:   Redouble, pass GNU_0.14  3-ply/grandmaster, cubeful, Kazaross Met Cube action equity Eval Cubeless equity:   0.584  ($ 0.586)   W: 78.1%    WG: 3.5%    LG: 1.1% 1. Double, take 0.975 2. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.025) 3. No double 0.928 (- 0.047) Proper cube action:   Double, take 0-ply/expert, cube: 2-ply/100%, Full, 1296 games, g11 Met Cube action equity Rollout Cubeless equity:   0.572  ($ 0.568)   W: 78.0%    WG: 2.3%    LG: 0.7% 1. Double, take 0.974 2. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.026) 3. No double 0.937 (- 0.037) Proper cube action:   Double, take [Volatility: 0.052] • Score: Red (5-away), White (5-away)    Posted by Neil Kazaross  [080204]    White on roll, cube decision Pip counts: White (Top): 137, Red (Bottom): 131 I'm very sure White should cube. I'm not so sure what Red should do, but I would pass this at this score, where a doubled gammon is so valuable. White doesn't have a lot of ammunition in place, but he has enough to keep Red on the bar while he brings more down. Red also has an open 5-point, which means White will still have play if things turn around. -- Dean Gay I find this to be a difficult position for which to estimate G and winning chances. Red needs 25% plus around 60% of White's net gammons and White needs 27% to take a recube. White has 22 ways to cover or make the 4-point plus 3 good non-covers (5-5,5-4). Even when White covers, he still has 2 more points to make and he's pretty short on builders. Red has that strong four-point board so a non-cover by White - hit by Red - dance by White sequence could turn the game around to Red's favor. I think White's shortage of builders and Red's strong board make Red a favorite to anchor. If this happens, it's anybody's game. If White completes the close-out he's a big favorite to win a gammon and sometimes wins one when Red anchors. -- John O'Hagan This is not a good score to lose a doubled-gammon, but I do have nice recube vig. My feeling was that this was a definite money take and a .98 take at this score (noting that White is just a bit short of builders and maybe he won't be able to cover right away). Thus I took and lost a BG with 3 checkers closed-out. The rollout shows that this is a close pass, rather than a bear take. As for the bots, Snowie and GNU 3-ply also felt that it was a bear take, while GNU 2-ply failed to see the danger and felt that it was a clear take. This position would still be takable for money, but at this score all the gammon losses mean too much. -- Neil Kazaross GNU_0.14  2-ply/worldclass, cubeful, Kazaross Met Cube action equity Eval Cubeless equity:   0.506  ($ 0.516)   W: 63.9%  WG: 36.4%    LG: 14.0% 1. Double, take 0.859 2. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.141) 3. No double 0.691 (- 0.167) Proper cube action:   Double, take Snowie_4  3-ply/precise, cubeful, Snowie 2.1 Met Cube action equity Eval Cubeless equity:   0.545   W: 64.0%  WG: 38.1%    LG: 13.2% 1. Double, take 0.981 2. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.019) 3. No double 0.726 (- 0.255) Proper cube action:   Double, take GNU_0.14  3-ply/grandmaster, cubeful, Kazaross Met Cube action equity Eval Cubeless equity:   0.555  ($ 0.568)   W: 65.6%  WG: 38.4%    LG: 13.7% 1. Double, take 0.990 2. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.010) 3. No double 0.749 (- 0.241) Proper cube action:   Double, take 2-ply/50% cube: 2-ply/33%, Full, 2511 games, Kazaross Met Cube action equity Rollout Cubeless equity:   0.573  ($ 0.557)   W: 66.3%  WG: 38.3%    LG: 13.0% 1. Double, pass 1.000 2. Double, take 1.068 (+0.068) 3. No double 0.774 (- 0.226) Proper cube action:   Double, pass [Volatility: 0.218] Hosted by www.Geocities.ws