• Equities at 2-away: Hisako, 1-away[Crawford]: GNU_0.14

			24/15	+0.190
			48.6%   10.9%  1.2%    51.4%   22.1%   2.9%   CL: +0.190
			13/8 13/9	+0.188 ( -0.002)
			47.0%   12.4%  1.5%    53.0%   22.6%   3.7%   CL: +0.188
			24/20 13/8	+0.184 ( -0.006)
			48.0%   11.2%  1.0%    52.0%   22.6%   2.5%   CL: +0.184
			13/9 6/1*                        (936 games)	+0.173 ( -0.017)
			46.1%   12.7%  1.0%    53.9%   25.4%   5.2%   CL: +0.173
			24/20 6/1*                      (936 games)	+0.168 ( -0.022)
			47.2%   11.4%  1.2%    52.8%   23.4%   4.0%   CL: +0.168

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Jacob/Trice Met

            • Equities at 2-away: Hisako, 1-away[Crawford]: GNU_0.14

			13/8 13/9	+0.208
			47.8%   12.6%  1.0%    52.2%   22.7%   4.0%   CL: +0.208
			24/20 13/8	+0.185 ( -0.023)
			47.9%   11.4%  1.1%    52.1%   21.7%   2.8%   CL: +0.185
			24/15                             (1044 games)	+0.169 ( -0.039)
			48.0%   10.5%  1.3%    52.0%   20.4%   2.4%   CL: +0.169
			13/9 6/1*                        (936 games)	+0.168 ( -0.040)
			45.8%   12.7%  1.4%    54.2%   26.0%   5.5%   CL: +0.168
			24/20 6/1*                      (936 games)	+0.166 ( -0.042)
			47.1%   11.3%  0.7%    52.9%   23.7%   3.6%   CL: +0.166

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Kazaross/Shaw Met

            • Equities at 2-away: Hisako, 1-away[Crawford]: GNU_0.14

			13/8 13/9	+0.208
			47.8%   12.6%  1.0%    52.2%   22.7%   4.0%   CL: +0.208
			24/20 13/8	+0.185 ( -0.023)
			47.9%   11.4%  1.1%    52.1%   21.7%   2.8%   CL: +0.185
			24/15                             (1044 games)	+0.184 ( -0.024)
			48.2%   11.0%  1.1%    51.8%   21.2%   2.7%   CL: +0.184
			13/9 6/1*                        (936 games)	+0.170 ( -0.038)
			45.9%   12.8%  1.2%    54.1%   24.9%   4.7%   CL: +0.170
			24/20 6/1*                      (936 games)	+0.166 ( -0.042)
			47.1%   11.3%  0.7%    52.9%   23.7%   3.6%   CL: +0.166

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Mec 26 Met

Even at the pure GG score, this is not the time for hitting loose on the ace-point. White doesn't have any great threats, and risking having a third checker sent back or committing to a deep point this early in the game doesn't look right. The simple 24/20 13/8 gives Red the best balance of offense and defense, and the danger of being attacked is relatively small. This is definitely the best play for money or at normal scores. At this match score, however, I prefer bringing two builders/attackers down since this play is likely to lead to more gammonish positions.

2-ply Rollout

Money

GS