Borderline Double Position for the Leader

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' '1O2X2X2X2X2X1X '1X3O|
|   |
|      |      |
|2X1X2O2O2O2O|   | '1O1O1O ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: GNU_0.14 (Top): 151, Hisako (Bottom): 124
Score (Match to 11): GNU_0.14 (Top): 7 (4-away), Hisako (Bottom): 8 (3-away)

Hisako on roll, cube action?

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.810(Money: +0.623)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.781 
2.Double, pass +1.000 (+0.219)
3.Double, take +0.716 (-0.065)
Proper cube action:No double, take (22.8%), Volatility: 0.334
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube 67.4% 31.6% 6.0%- 32.6% 9.0% 1.0% +0.810 +0.781
Standard error 0.4% 0.4% 0.6%- 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.018 0.033
Player GNU_0.14 owns 2-cube 66.6% 34.0% 17.0%- 33.4% 10.7% 1.6% +1.489 +0.716
Standard error 0.5% 0.7% 1.3%- 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.046 0.060
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
360 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1185345578 and quasi-random dice, Mec26 Met
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed
Equities for money:
3-ply/grandmaster
Cubeless equity: 0.663
68.7% 34.0% 4.3% - 31.3% 8.9% 0.5%
Double, take (+0.112)
No double (-0.250)
Proper cube action:Double, pass
4-ply
Cubeless equity: 0.644
68.4% 32.7% 4.2% - 31.6% 8.9% 0.4%
Double, take (+0.070)
No double (-0.244)
Proper cube action:Double, pass

 

Take Point Calculation
Hosted by www.Geocities.ws

1