"Double/No double" Borderline Position for the Trailer

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|1O ' ' ' '5X1O4X ' ' '4O|
|   |
|      |      |
| '2O ' '1X4O|   | '2O ' '1O5X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: GNU_0.14 (Top): 147, Hisako (Bottom): 149
Score (Match to 11): GNU_0.14 (Top): 9 (2-away), Hisako (Bottom): 7 (4-away)

• Hisako doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.245(Money: +0.109)
1.Double, take +0.563 
2.Double, pass +1.000 (+0.437)
3.No double +0.506 (-0.057)
Proper cube action:Double, take, Volatility: 0.165
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubeless
Centered 1-cube 53.5% 16.9% 0.7%- 46.5% 11.3% 2.5% +0.245
Player GNU_0.14 owns 2-cube 52.3% 18.9% 1.3%- 47.7% 17.2% 2.6% +0.563
Full rollout with var.redn.
360 games, (null) dice gen. with seed 1185180288 and quasi-random dice, Mec26 Met
0-ply [expert] cubeless
Equities for Money:
3-ply/grandmaster
Cubeless equity: 0.191
55.6% 16.6% 0.3% - 44.4% 8.6% 0.3%
Double, pass (+0.742)
Double, take (-0.179)
Proper cube action:No double, take (19.5%)
4-ply
Cubeless equity: 0.144
53.5% 16.7% 0.3% - 46.5% 9.2% 0.4%
Double, pass (+0.797)
Double, take (-0.234)
Proper cube action:No double, beaver (22.7%)

 

Take Point Calculation

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