Lillian vs. Glow
If you believe that the doctrine of pre-emption dictates that we should go to war with any country that appears to present an imminent threat, Iran certainly is a candidate. We have not been friendly with Iran since the US-supported Shah was removed from power and the hostage crisis of the Carter Administration (1970's). Iran has always felt that it lives in a dangerous neighborhood and therefore needs powerful weapons as a means of deterrence. A survey of Iranian citizens showed that the overwhelming majority of Iranians support the idea of an Iranian nuclear weapons program. We know that Iran has been refining uranium (Iran contends it is for the purpose of building nuclear power plants)Just this weekend, the leading cleric
in Iran condemned the US invasion of Iraq while members of the Iranian Navy chanted "Death to America!" in response - definitely chilling. We also have reason to believe that Iranian as well as Syrian citizens have been moving across the borders of Iraq to participate in the insurgency.
I would argue, however, that while there seems to be more evidence of a WMD program (nuclear in particular) in Iran than there was for Iraq pre-US coalition invasion, it would not be prudent at this time to invade Iran.
First and foremost, the US government simply cannot afford to spare any of its military resources currently in Iraq and Afghanistan. There is still significant fighting in Mosul and Fallujah, and there have been calls from the Iraqi interim president for additional troops in Iraq to squelch the insurgency before the hoped-for January elections. Just last week the US Congress approved raising the debt ceiling to $8.164 trillion, 70% of the US GDP. This is the third increase since 2001. If we can't afford to raise taxes to support increased spending at home for the Medicare prescription drug program and Social Security, we certainly can't afford it for the increased military spending that would be required to invade another country. Moreover, invading Iran would require additional troops, and that would most likely mean bringing back the military draft, a measure so unpopular that I don't believe that it could be instituted even in the current political climate.
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