Final National Exit Poll

Final National Exit Poll 1972-2004
Demographic Trend and Correlation Analysis

											Pct	Weight	Overall Correlation
		1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	Chg	2004	1972- 2000	1972- 2004

OVERALL	Dem	36	50	41	40	45	43	49	48	48	0
	Rep	61	48	51	59	53	38	41	48	51	3
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	19	8	4	1	(3)

SEX
Men	Dem	36	50	36	37	41	41	43	42	44	2	46	0.87	0.88
	Rep	62	48	55	62	57	38	44	53	55	2		0.98	0.97
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	21	10	5	1	(4)		0.99	1.00

Women	Dem	37	50	45	44	49	45	54	54	51	(3)	54	0.94	0.94
	Rep	61	48	47	56	50	37	38	43	48	5		0.98	0.97
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	17	7	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

RACE & ETHNICITY
White	Dem	31	47	36	35	40	39	43	42	41	(1)	79	0.98	0.97
	Rep	67	52	56	64	59	40	46	54	58	4		0.99	0.99
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	20	9	4	1	(3)		1.00	1.00

Black	Dem	82	83	85	90	86	83	84	90	88	(2)	12	0.09	0.17
	Rep	18	16	11	9	12	10	12	8	11	3		0.32	0.32
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	7	4	2	1	(1)		0.99	0.99

Hispanic	Dem	63	76	59	62	69	61	72	67	56	(11)	6	0.80	0.51
	Rep	35	24	33	37	30	25	21	31	43	12		0.86	0.69
	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	14	6	2	1	(1)		0.99	0.99

Asian	Dem						31	43	54	58	4	2	0.79	0.75
	Rep						55	48	41	41	0		-0.97	-0.95
	Ind						15	8	5	1	(4)		1.00	0.99

Hispanic	Dem								62	53	(9)	8
origin	Rep								35	44	9
	Ind								3	3	0

AGE
18-29	Dem	46	51	44	40	47	43	53	48	54	6	17	0.74	0.75
	Rep	52	47	43	59	52	34	34	46	45	(1)		0.91	0.91
	Ind	--	--	11	--	--	22	10	4	1	(3)		0.98	0.99

30-44	Dem	33	49	36	42	45	41	48	48	46	(2)	29	0.94	0.94
	Rep	64	49	55	57	54	38	41	49	53	4		0.98	0.98
	Ind	--	--	8	--	--	21	9	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

45-59	Dem	33	47	39	40	42	41	48	48	48	0	30	0.97	0.97
	Rep	64	52	55	60	57	40	41	49	51	2		0.98	0.98
	Ind	--	--	5	--	--	19	9	3	1	(2)		0.99	0.99

60 and	Dem	31	47	41	39	49	50	48	51	46	(5)	24	0.83	0.82
older	Rep	68	52	54	60	50	38	44	47	54	7		0.95	0.95
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	12	7	2	0	(2)		0.96	0.97

FAMILY STATUS
Married	Dem				38	42	40	44	44	42	(2)	63	0.99	0.91
	Rep				62	57	41	46	53	57	4		0.99	0.99
	Ind				--	--	20	9	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

Unmarried	Dem				47	53	51	57	57	58	1	37	0.99	0.99
	Rep				52	46	30	31	38	40	2		0.99	0.98
	Ind				--	--	19	9	5	2	(3)		1.00	1.00

Have children	Dem					44	40	48	45	45	0	37	0.94	0.93
under 18	Rep					55	38	41	52	53	1		0.99	0.99
	Ind					--	22	9	3	2	(1)		1.00	0.99

Gay, lesbian	Dem						72	66	71	77	6	4	-0.74	-0.22
or bisexual	Rep						14	22	25	23	(2)		0.89	0.79
	Ind						14	7	4	0	(4)		1.00	0.99

POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION
Republicans	Dem	6	9	9	7	8	10	13	8	6	(2)	37	0.63	0.43
	Rep	93	90	86	92	91	73	80	91	93	2		0.86	0.84
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	17	6	1	1	0		1.00	0.98

Independents	Dem	33	43	30	36	43	38	43	45	49	4	26	0.85	0.84
	Rep	65	54	55	63	55	32	35	47	48	1		0.97	0.96
	Ind	--	--	12	--	--	30	17	8	3	(5)		0.99	0.99


Democrats	Dem	33	77	67	74	82	77	84	86	89	3	37	0.80	0.82
	Rep	64	22	26	25	17	10	10	11	11	0		0.76	0.72
	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	13	5	3	0	(3)		0.99	0.99

Liberals	Dem		71	60	70	81	68	78	80	85	5	21	0.60	0.63
	Rep		26	25	28	18	14	11	13	13	0		0.73	0.64
	Ind		--	11	--	--	18	7	7	2	(5)		0.93	0.95

Moderates	Dem		51	42	47	50	47	57	52	54	2	45	0.82	0.84
	Rep		48	49	53	49	31	33	44	45	1		0.95	0.95
	Ind		--	8	--	--	21	9	4	1	(3)		1.00	1.00

Conservatives	Dem		29	23	17	19	18	20	17	15	(2)	34	0.41	0.24
	Rep		70	73	82	80	64	71	81	84	3		0.82	0.78
	Ind		--	4	--	--	18	8	2	1	(1)		0.99	0.98

Republican	Dem		17	17	11	27	17	44	31	22	(9)	2	0.64	0.61
liberals	Rep		82	78	88	73	54	48	67	78	11		0.88	0.88
	Ind		--	5	--	--	30	9	2	0	(2)		1.00	0.99

Republican	Dem		11	10	7	12	15	20	11	11	0	12	0.51	0.46
moderates	Rep		88	83	93	87	63	72	88	88	0		0.90	0.90
	Ind		--	7	--	--	21	7	1	1	0		0.99	0.99

Republican	Dem		6	5	4	4	5	6	4	3	(1)	23	0.52	0.23
conservatives	Rep		93	91	95	95	82	88	95	97	2		0.84	0.82
	Ind		--	3	--	--	13	5	1	0	(1)		1.00	0.99

Independent	Dem		64	51	58	71	54	58	68	79	11	5	0.53	0.55
liberals	Rep		29	26	40	26	17	15	17	17	0		0.86	0.77
	Ind		--	17	--	--	30	18	15	4	(11)		1.00	0.96

Independent	Dem		45	30	42	47	43	50	48	51	3	15	0.69	0.72
moderates	Rep		53	53	57	51	28	30	45	47	2		0.92	0.92
	Ind		--	14	--	--	30	17	7	2	(5)		0.98	0.98

Independent	Dem		26	18	13	20	17	19	17	21	4	6	0.72	0.73
conservatives	Rep		72	75	85	77	53	60	79	76	(3)		0.94	0.94
	Ind		--	6	--	--	30	19	4	3	(1)		0.92	0.93

Democratic	Dem		86	73	88	93	85	89	91	95	4	14	0.45	0.51
liberals	Rep		12	14	11	6	5	5	5	4	(1)		0.55	0.45
	Ind		--	10	--	--	11	4	4	1	(3)		0.69	0.80

Democratic	Dem		77	67	78	81	76	84	86	87	1	18	0.61	0.64
moderates	Rep		22	27	22	18	9	10	12	13	1		0.74	0.68
	Ind		--	5	--	--	15	5	2	0	(2)		1.00	1.00

Democratic	Dem		64	56	54	65	61	69	73	76	3	4	0.84	0.81
conservatives	Rep		35	39	46	34	23	23	26	23	(3)		0.91	0.78
	Ind		--	4	--	--	16	7	1	1	0		0.99	0.98

RELIGION
All	Dem	28	44	35	32	38	36	41	40	40	0	54	0.99	0.98
Protestants	Rep	70	55	59	67	61	45	50	58	59	1		0.99	0.99
	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	18	8	2	1	(1)		0.99	0.99

White	Dem	22	41	31	27	33	33	36	34	32	(2)	41	0.94	0.90
Protestants	Rep	76	58	63	72	66	47	53	63	67	4		0.99	0.98
	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	21	10	3	1	(2)		0.99	0.99

Catholics	Dem	44	54	42	45	47	44	53	49	47	(2)	27	0.86	0.82
	Rep	54	44	50	54	52	35	37	47	52	5		0.96	0.94
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	20	9	4	1	(3)		1.00	1.00

Jewish	Dem	64	64	45	67	64	80	78	79	74	(5)	3	0.40	0.43
	Rep	34	34	39	31	35	11	16	19	25	6		0.76	0.75
	Ind	--	--	15	--	--	9	3	2	1	(1)		0.27	0.46

Attend church	Dem						36		39	39	0	41
at least once	Rep						48		59	61	2
week	Ind						15		2	0	(2)

SIZE OF PLACE
Population	Dem	56				62	58	68	71	60	(11)	13	0.88	0.75
over 500,000	Rep	43				37	28	25	26	39	13		0.88	0.86
	Ind	--				--	13	6	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

Population	Dem	40				52	50	50	57	49	(8)	19	0.86	0.80
50,000-	Rep	58				47	33	39	40	49	9		0.97	0.96
500,000	Ind	--				--	16	8	3	2	(1)		0.99	0.99

Suburbs	Dem	33		35	38	42	41	47	47	47	0	45	0.96	0.97
	Rep	65		55	61	57	39	42	49	52	3		0.99	0.99
	Ind	--		9	--	--	21	8	4	1	(3)		0.99	0.99

Population	Dem	40				38	39	48	38	48	10	8	0.35	0.46
10,000-50,000	Rep	57				61	42	41	59	50	(9)		0.80	0.78
	Ind	--				--	20	9	3	2	(1)		1.00	0.99

Rural areas	Dem	30		39	32	44	39	44	37	40	3	16	0.77	0.76
	Rep	68		55	67	55	40	46	59	59	0		0.95	0.95
	Ind	--		5	--	--	20	10	4	1	(3)		0.98	0.98

FAMILY INCOME
0-$15,000	Dem						58	59	57	63	6	8	0.16	0.28
	Rep						23	28	37	36	(1)		1.00	0.96
	Ind						19	11	6	1	(5)		0.99	0.98

$15,000+	Dem						45	53	54	57	3	15	0.97	0.89
	Rep						35	36	41	42	1		0.99	0.99
	Ind						20	9	5	1	(4)		1.00	1.00

$30,000+	Dem						41	48	49	50	1	22	0.96	0.93
	Rep						38	40	48	49	1		0.99	0.99
	Ind						21	10	3	1	(2)		0.99	0.99

$50,000+	Dem						40	47	46	43	(3)	23	1.00	0.90
	Rep						41	45	51	56	5		0.99	0.99
	Ind						18	7	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

$75,000+	Dem							44	45	45	0	14	-1.00	-1.00
	Rep							48	52	55	3		1.00	0.99
	Ind							7	3	0	(3)		1.00	1.00

$200,000+	Dem									35	35	3
	Rep									63	63
	Ind									2	2

$100,000+	Dem					32		38	43	41	(2)	18	0.76	0.76
	Rep					65		54	54	58	4		0.81	0.77
	Ind					--		6	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

$50,000+	Dem			26	30	37	39	44	45	43	(2)	55	0.91	0.92
	Rep			64	69	62	44	48	52	56	4		0.96	0.95
	Ind			10	--	--	17	7	3	1	(2)		0.94	0.96

FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION
Better	Dem		30	55	14		24	66	61	19	(42)	32	0.46	0.30
	Rep		70	37	86		61	26	36	80	44		0.49	0.51
	Ind		--	7	--		14	6	3	1	(2)		0.98	0.99

Same	Dem		51	47	50		41	46	35	50	15	39	-0.16	-0.06
	Rep		49	46	50		42	45	60	49	(11)		0.43	0.42
	Ind		--	7	--		17	8	5	1	(4)		1.00	1.00

Worse	Dem		77	25	85		60	27	33	79	46	28	-0.18	-0.06
	Rep		23	66	15		14	57	63	20	(43)		-0.06	-0.12
	Ind		--	8	--		25	13	4	1	(3)		0.98	0.99

UNION HOUSEHOLDS
	Dem	47	59	49	53	57	55	59	59	59	0	24	0.94	0.95
	Rep	50	39	44	46	42	24	30	37	40	3		0.97	0.97
	Ind			6	--	--	21	9	4	1	(3)		0.99	1.00

EDUCATION
Not a high	Dem			51	50	56	54	59	59	50	(9)	4	0.99	0.64
school	Rep			46	50	43	28	28	39	49	10		0.97	0.93
graduate	Ind			2	--	--	18	11	2	1	(1)		0.91	0.92

High school	Dem			43	39	49	43	51	48	47	(1)	22	0.92	0.90
graduate	Rep			51	60	50	36	35	49	52	3		0.97	0.97
	Ind			4	--	--	21	13	3	1	(2)		0.92	0.94

Some	Dem			35	38	42	41	48	45	46	1	32	0.94	0.95
college	Rep			55	61	57	37	40	51	54	3		0.99	0.99
education	Ind			8	--	--	21	10	4	0	(4)		1.00	1.00

College	Dem			35	41	43	44	47	48	49	1	42	0.82	0.85
graduate	Rep			52	58	56	39	44	48	49	1		0.98	0.97
or more	Ind			11	--	--	17	7	4	2	(2)		0.92	0.94

College	Dem					37	39	44	45	46	1	26	0.84	0.84
graduate	Rep					62	41	46	51	52	1		0.97	0.93
	Ind					--	20	8	4	2	(2)		1.00	1.00

Post	Dem					48	50	52	52	55	3	16	0.73	0.68
graduate	Rep					50	36	40	44	44	0		0.99	0.94
education	Ind					--	14	5	4	1	(3)		0.99	0.99

FIRST-TIME VOTERS
	Dem				38	47	46	54	52	53	1	11	0.98	0.98
	Rep				61	51	32	34	43	46	3		0.99	0.99
	Ind				--	--	22	11	5	1	(4)		1.00	1.00

CONGRESSIONAL VOTE
For the	Dem		75	69	76	72	74	84	85	88	3		0.60	0.62
Democratic	Rep		23	22	23	27	11	8	11	11	0	49	0.78	0.68
candidate	Ind		--	7	--	--	15	7	4	1	(3)		1.00	0.99

For the	Dem		12	11	7	17	10	15	12	9	(3)	50	0.58	0.44
Republican	Rep		87	83	93	82	72	76	86	91	5		0.88	0.86
candidate	Ind		--	5	--	--	18	8	2	0	(2)		0.99	0.99

PREVIOUS PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
For the	Dem	78	80	63	82	92	83	85	82	90	8	37	0.36	0.42
Democratic	Rep	18	26	29	18	7	5	9	15	10	(5)		0.42	0.39
candidate	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	12	4	3	0	(3)		0.96	0.97

For the	Dem	9	18	11	11	19	21	13	7	9	2	43	0.29	0.18
Republican	Rep	90	73	83	88	80	59	82	91	91	0		0.70	0.67
candidate	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	20	4	2	0	(2)		0.98	0.98

GENDER and RACE
White	Dem	31	47	32	32	36	37	38	36	38	2	36	0.82	0.81
men	Rep	66	51	59	67	63	40	49	60	61	1		0.94	0.93
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	22	11	4	1	(3)		0.99	0.99

White	Dem	31	46	39	38	43	41	48	48	44	(4)	41	0.97	0.96
women	Rep	68	52	52	62	56	41	43	49	55	6		0.98	0.98
	Ind	--	--	8	--	--	19	8	3	1	(2)		0.99	0.99

Black	Dem	77	80	82	85	81	78	78	85	86	1	5	0.10	0.23
men	Rep	23	19	14	12	15	13	15	12	13	1		0.39	0.37
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	9	5	3	1	(2)		0.97	0.98

Black	Dem	86	86	88	93	90	87	89	94	90	(4)	7	0.15	0.17
women	Rep	14	14	9	7	9	8	8	6	10	4		0.32	0.32
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	5	2	0	0	0		0.90	0.93

AGE by GENDER and RACE
Men	Dem	47	50	39	36	43	38	47	41	51	10	8	0.39	0.47
18-29	Rep	51	47	47	63	55	36	38	51	47	(4)		0.86	0.85
	Ind	--	--	11	--	--	25	12	8	2	(6)		1.00	0.99

Women	Dem	45	51	49	44	50	48	58	53	56	3	9	0.83	0.84
18-29	Rep	53	47	39	55	49	33	31	42	43	1		0.92	0.91
	Ind	--	--	10	--	--	20	9	5	1	(4)		0.99	0.99

Men	Dem	30	49	31	38	40	39	41	42	42	0	14	0.88	0.88
30-44	Rep	67	49	59	61	58	38	46	54	56	2		0.96	0.96
	Ind	--	--	8	--	--	23	10	4	2	(2)		1.00	1.00

Women	Dem	36	49	41	45	49	43	54	53	49	(4)	15	0.90	0.90
30-44	Rep	62	49	50	54	50	38	37	45	50	5		0.96	0.96
	Ind	--	--	8	--	--	19	7	2	1	(1)		0.99	0.99

Men	Dem	32	48	34	36	36	40	44	41	45	4	13	0.90	0.91
45-59	Rep	66	51	60	62	62	40	43	55	54	(1)		0.96	0.95
	Ind	--	--	5	--	--	20	10	4	1	(3)		0.98	0.98

Women	Dem	36	46	44	42	48	42	52	53	50	(3)	17	0.86	0.87
45-59	Rep	62	53	50	57	52	40	40	44	49	5		0.94	0.94
	Ind	--	--	5	--	--	18	7	3	1	(2)		1.00	0.99

Men	Dem	32	44	40	37	46	49	43	44	39	(5)	11	0.69	0.60
60 and older	Rep	66	55	56	62	53	36	48	53	60	7		0.94	0.92
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	15	8	3	1	(2)		0.95	0.96

Women	Dem	29	49	43	42	52	50	53	56	51	(5)	13	0.87	0.87
60 and older	Rep	70	50	52	58	48	40	41	42	49	7		0.89	0.89
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	10	5	2	0	(2)		0.99	0.99

Whites	Dem	41	48	38	31	39	38	45	39	45	6	12	0.60	0.63
18-29	Rep	57	50	48	68	60	38	41	55	54	(1)		0.87	0.87
	Ind	--	--	12	--	--	24	11	6	1	(5)		0.99	0.99

Blacks	Dem	87	81	90	94	86	85	83	91	86	(5)	3	-0.51	-0.52
18-29	Rep	12	18	7	6	12	7	11	8	13	5		0.02	0.03
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	8	6	1	1	0		0.88	0.91

Whites	Dem	26	45	31	36	39	36	41	41	37	(4)	21	0.94	0.91
30-44	Rep	71	53	59	63	60	41	47	56	62	6		0.98	0.96
	Ind	--	--	8	--	--	23	10	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

Blacks	Dem	85	87	84	89	85	81	84	91	89	(2)	4	0.20	0.28
30-44	Rep	15	12	12	10	13	12	11	7	11	4		0.28	0.28
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	7	3	2	0	(2)		1.00	0.99

Whites	Dem	29	44	34	34	36	37	43	42	42	0	23	0.98	0.98
45-59	Rep	69	55	59	65	63	42	46	54	58	4		0.99	0.99
	Ind	--	--	5	--	--	21	9	4	0	(4)		0.99	0.99

Blacks	Dem	78	80	84	87	86	80	85	89	88	(1)	3	0.32	0.39
45-59	Rep	22	19	13	10	10	14	12	9	11	2		0.22	0.20
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	6	3	2	1	(1)		1.00	1.00

Whites	Dem	26	45	39	37	45	47	45	46	41	(5)	21	0.84	0.80
60 and older	Rep	72	54	56	63	54	40	47	52	58	6		0.96	0.96
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	13	7	2	1	(1)		0.98	0.98

Blacks	Dem	76	71	77	83	90	88	82	87	90	3	2	0.07	0.17
60 and older	Rep	24	29	20	15	9	7	16	11	9	(2)		0.36	0.33
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	5	1	2	1	(1)		0.82	0.86

MARRIAGE by GENDER
Married	Dem				35	39	38	40	38	39	1	30	0.84	0.84
men	Rep				65	60	42	48	58	60	2		0.97	0.97
	Ind				--	--	21	10	4	1	(3)		1.00	1.00

Unmarried	Dem				41	46	41	48	48	53	5	15	0.94	0.86
men	Rep				59	54	40	43	49	45	(4)		1.00	0.92
	Ind				--	--	19	7	3	2	(1)		1.00	0.99

Married	Dem				42	47	48	49	48	44	(4)	32	0.83	0.56
women	Rep				55	51	29	35	46	55	9		0.98	0.94
	Ind				--	--	22	12	6	1	(5)		0.99	0.99

Unmarried	Dem				50	57	53	62	63	62	(1)	22	0.98	0.98
women	Rep				49	42	31	28	32	37	5		0.93	0.92
	Ind				--	--	15	7	5	1	(4)		1.00	0.99

Suburban	Dem	31		30	33	36	36	41	41	44	3	21	0.91	0.90
men	Rep	66		60	66	62	47	47	55	55	0		0.98	0.97
	Ind	--		8	--	--	17	10	4	1	(3)		0.98	0.98

Suburban	Dem	32		36	43	46	45	53	52	50	(2)	24	0.94	0.95
women	Rep	66		54	57	53	41	39	45	49	4		0.95	0.94
	Ind	--		9	--	--	14	7	3	1	(2)		0.93	0.95

POLITICS by RACE and GENDER
White	Dem	5	9	8	6	8	10	12	7	5	(2)	33	0.68	0.46
Republicans	Rep	93	90	87	93	92	73	81	92	94	2		0.85	0.83
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	17	6	1	1	0		1.00	0.98

Black	Dem	29	10	31	**	34	**	39	**	32	(7)	1	-0.25	-0.20
Republicans	Rep	71	90	62	**	61	**	54	**	66	12		0.22	0.22
	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	**	5	**	2	(3)		-1.00	0.93

White	Dem	31	42	27	33	41	36	41	43	47	4	21	0.85	0.84
Independents	Rep	65	55	58	66	57	33	38	49	51	2		0.97	0.96
	Ind	--	--	12	--	--	31	18	8	2	(6)		0.98	0.98

Black	Dem	74	65	78	80	75	64	69	74	77	3	2	-0.52	-0.40
Independents	Rep	26	32	16	19	21	18	18	22	20	(2)		0.24	0.24
	Ind	--	--	5	--	--	18	10	4	3	(1)		0.97	0.97

White	Dem	54	74	62	69	79	74	81	83	87	4	23	0.86	0.86
Democrats	Rep	44	25	30	30	21	11	12	14	12	(2)		0.88	0.81
	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	15	6	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

Black	Dem	92	94	94	96	95	92	93	97	96	(1)	9	0.29	0.36
Democrats	Rep	8	6	4	3	4	5	4	2	4	2		0.23	0.22
	Ind	--	--	2	--	--	4	2	1	0	(1)		0.99	0.98

Republican	Dem	6	9	8	7	8	11	11	7	6	(1)	18	0.54	0.35
men	Rep	92	90	87	93	91	71	81	92	93	1		0.83	0.81
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	19	6	1	1	0		1.00	0.98

Republican	Dem	6	10	10	8	9	10	15	9	7	(2)	19	0.68	0.52
women	Rep	93	90	85	92	90	74	79	90	93	3		0.88	0.85
	Ind	--	--	5	--	--	16	5	1	0	(1)		1.00	0.99

Independent	Dem	32	44	27	32	40	36	38	39	47	8	13	0.80	0.79
men	Rep	64	53	60	66	58	32	37	51	49	(2)		0.96	0.95
	Ind	--	--	10	--	--	32	21	10	4	(6)		0.93	0.95

Independent	Dem	34	42	34	40	46	40	49	51	52	1	13	0.79	0.80
women	Rep	63	55	50	59	52	31	34	42	46	4		0.94	0.93
	Ind	--	--	13	--	--	28	14	7	2	(5)		1.00	0.99

Democratic	Dem	60	77	63	71	80	76	82	85	88	3	14	0.86	0.86
men	Rep	38	22	29	28	18	9	11	12	11	(1)		0.87	0.81
	Ind	--	--	6	--	--	15	6	3	1	(2)		1.00	1.00

Democratic	Dem	62	78	71	77	84	78	85	87	89	2	22	0.82	0.83
women	Rep	37	22	23	22	16	10	9	11	10	(1)		0.82	0.76
	Ind	--	--	5	--	--	12	4	2	1	(1)		0.99	0.99

GENDER and EDUCATION
Men without	Dem			44	39	49	44	48	46	44	(2)	12	0.78	0.67
any college	Rep			52	60	49	32	35	52	55	3		0.95	0.94
education	Ind			3	--	--	23	16	2	1	(1)		0.87	0.90

Women without	Dem			47	43	52	46	58	53	50	(3)	14	0.95	0.88
any college	Rep			48	56	47	36	32	44	49	5		0.96	0.95
education	Ind			5	--	--	18	10	3	1	(2)		0.97	0.98

Men with	Dem			31	33	38	40	42	40	42	2	13	0.85	0.88
some college	Rep			59	65	60	37	44	56	57	1		0.98	0.98
education	Ind			8	--	--	23	11	4	1	(3)		0.99	1.00

Women with	Dem			39	41	45	42	53	50	49	(1)	18	0.97	0.96
some college	Rep			52	58	54	39	38	48	51	3		0.98	0.98
education	Ind			8	--	--	19	8	2	0	(2)		0.99	0.99

Male college	Dem			28	36	36	40	41	39	45	6	20	0.64	0.71
graduates	Rep			59	63	63	42	49	57	53	(4)		0.95	0.92
	Ind			11	--	--	19	7	4	2	(2)		0.94	0.96

Female college	Dem			44	47	51	48	53	57	54	(3)	22	0.89	0.90
graduates	Rep			42	52	49	36	39	40	44	4		0.93	0.93
	Ind			12	--	--	16	6	3	2	(1)		0.84	0.89

REGION and RACE
East	Dem	39	51	42	47	49	47	55	56	56	0	22	0.90	0.90
	Rep	59	47	47	53	50	35	34	39	43	4		0.95	0.94
	Ind	--	--	9	--	--	18	9	5	1	(4)		0.99	0.99

Midwest	Dem	39	48	41	41	47	42	48	48	48	0	26	0.96	0.96
	Rep	59	50	51	58	52	37	41	49	51	2		0.99	0.99
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	21	10	3	1	(2)		0.99	0.99

South	Dem	29	54	44	36	41	41	46	43	42	(1)	32	0.87	0.84
	Rep	70	45	52	64	58	43	46	55	58	3		0.93	0.92
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	16	7	2	0	(2)		0.98	0.98

West	Dem	40	46	34	38	46	43	48	48	50	2	20	0.78	0.80
	Rep	57	51	53	61	52	34	40	46	49	3		0.95	0.95
	Ind	--	--	10	--	--	23	8	6	1	(5)		0.98	0.99

Whites- East	Dem	34	49	38	42	45	44	51	52	50	(2)	19	0.94	0.95
	Rep	65	50	52	57	54	36	37	44	49	5		0.97	0.97
	Ind	--	--	10	--	--	19	10	4	1	(3)		0.97	0.98

Blacks - East	Dem	83	82	85	92	85	78	85	89	86	(3)	3	-0.05	-0.02
	Rep	16	17	12	7	12	13	12	10	13	3		-0.11	-0.10
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	9	3	1	1	0		1.00	0.98

Whites- Midwest	Dem	32	46	37	35	42	40	45	44	43	(1)	23	0.99	0.99
	Rep	65	52	55	64	57	39	43	53	56	3		1.00	0.99
	Ind	--	--	7	--	--	22	10	3	1	(2)		0.99	0.99

Blacks-Midwest	Dem	89	90	85	92	91	88	79	89	87	(2)	2	-0.29	-0.30
	Rep	11	9	11	6	8	8	16	9	11	2		-0.33	-0.32
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	4	5	2	2	0		0.38	0.58

Whites-South	Dem	23	47	35	28	32	34	36	31	29	(2)	22	0.77	0.66
	Rep	76	52	61	71	67	49	56	66	70	4		0.89	0.87
	Ind	--	--	3	--	--	18	8	3	1	(2)		0.97	0.97

Blacks-South	Dem	74	81	89	89	86	83	87	92	90	(2)	6	0.39	0.44
	Rep	25	18	9	10	12	11	10	7	9	2		0.46	0.44
	Ind	--	--	2	--	--	6	3	1	1	0		0.99	0.98

Whites-West	Dem	36	44	32	33	41	39	43	43	45	2	13	0.85	0.86
	Rep	60	54	55	66	58	37	44	51	54	3		0.95	0.95
	Ind	--	--	10	--	--	24	9	6	1	(5)		0.99	0.99

Blacks-West	Dem	76	83	67	77	83	84	77	86	84	(2)	1	0.51	0.55
	Rep	23	16	26	22	13	5	14	11	14	3		0.75	0.74
	Ind	--	--	4	--	--	10	7	3	2	(1)		0.93	0.95