ELECTION ANALYSIS THREADS
Aug 21, 2005
National Exit Poll
2:05pm Nov.3, 13660 Respondents
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html
12:22am Nov. 3, 13047 Respondents
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=265121
7:38pm Nov 2, 11027 Respondents
http://www.exitpollz.org/CNN_national2.htm
National Exit Poll Timeline (pdf):
11/2/04, 3:59pm 8349 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3737_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf
11/2/04, 7:33pm 11027 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3798_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf
11/3/04, 12:22am 13047 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/elections/2004/graphics/exitpolls_us_110204.gif
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=265121
11/3/04, 1:25pm 13660 respondents: Kerry 48-Bush 51
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3970_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf
ELECTION 2004: THE COMPLETE GRAPHICAL REFERENCE
Edited on Sun Apr-03-05 01:57 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352164
ELECTION INCIDENT REPORTING SYSTEM (EIRS)
https://voteprotect.org/index.php?display=EIRMapNation&tab=ALL
Bush LOST. RESIGN Now. New TruthIsAll
Autorank Nov. 22, 2005
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=402217
THE UNANSWERED QUESTION: WHO REALLY WON IN 2004?
autorank Fri Jul-15-05 12:09 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x384064
WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY THAT BUSH WOULD GET 15.5-18% OF GORE VOTERS?
Edited on Sun Aug-21-05 01:51 pm
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x390154
A conversation at the Bronx Zoo.
Edited on Fri Aug-19-05 05:31 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x389901
Bush needed 16% (1 in 6) Gore 2000 voters to win by 3 million votes
Edited on Sat Aug-20-05 09:00 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x390013
Still standing: “Spreadsheet wielding conspiracy theorists”
Edited on Tue Aug-16-05 11:27 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x389271
An algebra problem. Find the Kerry/Bush partisan/crossover breakeven pct.
Edited on Thu Aug-18-05 05:42 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x389593
DIVERSE LOCATIONS SWITCHED KERRY TOUCHSCREEN VOTES TO BUSH
Edited on Fri Aug-12-05 01:16 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x388692
MUST READ: Keefer, Fitrakis, Baiman, Simon, Freeman, Mealy
Edited on Sun Aug-14-05 11:19 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x389038
Spot the trend: Clermont Precinct Turnout vs. Vote
Edited on Fri Aug-05-05 07:50 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x387600
Hackett won 38 of 191 Clermont precincts but lost ALL of the 54 largest
Edited on Sat Aug-06-05 09:44
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x387772
Response Optimizer analysis of State Exit Polls
Edited on Fri Jul-29-05 09:23 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x386293
Bushco stopped stealing votes after they had it in the bag.
Edited on Sat Jul-30-05 10:33 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x386460
MUST READ: A STATISTICAL MYSTERY; STRANGE DEATH OF AMERICAN DEMOCRACY
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x384963
EXIT POLL ANALYSIS – ESSENTIAL DU THREADS
Edited on Thu Jul-14-05 10:50 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x383957
EXIT POLL RESPONSE OPTIMIZER: KEY RESULTS
Edited on Sat Jul-09-05 06:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x383014
It's a shutout: FRAUD 3 , rBr 0
Edited on Wed Jul-06-05 12:38 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x382581
US Count Votes: new version of Working Paper (Updated June 26, 2005)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x382025
Optimizer sensitivity analysis: Incr. aggregate alpha vs. partisan alpha
Edited on Fri Jul-01-05 02:26 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x381871
Bush approval/disapproval by state: clues about the fraud?
Edited on Wed Jun-29-05 01:57 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x381452
Dear Dr. Dean:
Edited on Wed Jun-29-05 11:01 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x381422
ELECTION 2004 BY THE NUMBERS
Edited on Tue Jun-28-05 12:21 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x381226
15% OF GORE VOTERS (7.65 MM) SUFFERED FROM ALZHEIMER'S IN 2004
Edited on Mon Jun-27-05 07:11 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x381106
Naysayer Hobson's Choice: Final NEP or rBr? Take your pick.
Edited on Thu Jun-23-05 02:12 AM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x380085
To believe Bush won, you must believe this.
Edited on Sun Jun-26-05 11:02 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x380907
EXIT POLL NAYSAYERS: HERE'S A 3RD GRADE ARITHMETIC TEST
Edited on Mon Jun-20-05 04:37 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x379381
WPE and Aggregate Precinct Data Tell Us Where the Election was Stolen...
Edited on Wed Jun-22-05 04:39 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x379883
RETURN OF THE CLINCHER: Kerry wins 120 of 120 scenarios
Edited on Tue Jun-21-05 02:12 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x379573
The Exit Poll Response Optimizer confirms the USCV simulation
Edited on Sun Jun-19-05 07:08 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x379134
The Final National Exit Poll is a FRAUD. Here's proof.
Edited on Mon Jun-20-05 11:44 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x379474
First it was rBr, now its eDp (Exuberant Democratic Pollster)
Edited on Wed Jun-15-05 12:19 AM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x378115
The latest Salon puff-piece links to the June 14 update of exit poll links
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x378161
To match E-M WPE, alpha must = 1.155. That's 1 in 63 billion odds
Edited on Tue Jun-14-05 08:24 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x378081
OPTIMIZER: EXIT POLL RESPONSE PROBABILITY ANALYSIS
Edited on Mon Jun-13-05 08:19 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x377745
LET'S RUN THE OPTIMIZER ASSUMING RELUCTANT KERRY RESPONDERS (rKr)
Edited on Sun Jun-12-05 09:52 PM
What are the odds?
Edited on Sat Jun-11-05 05:26 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x377140
POLL BAD, VOTE COUNT GOOD: The RW (M)ost (O)utrageous (E)xcrement
Edited on Sun Jun-12-05 12:25 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x377263
EXIT POLL ALPHA OPTIMIZER: ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM BUSH AND KERRY VOTE% SHOW...
Edited on Sat Jun-11-05 09:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x377029
HERE IS WHAT BUSH NEEDED IN ORDER TO WIN 51.23%
Edited on Sat Jun-11-05 12:56 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x377073
To match weighted WPE, Optimizer needed Kerry/Bush response of 1.15
Edited on Fri Jun-10-05 02:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x376814
WOULD ANY QUANTS CARE TO COMMENT ON THIS?
Edited on Thu Jun-09-05 11:01 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x376379
OPTIMIZER: Assume the PLAUSIBLE scenario that the exit polls were RIGHT
Edited on Wed Jun-08-05 02:20 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x376182
TO BAIMAN, FEBBLE, OTOH, TFC, O'DELL, etc: IS rBr PLAUSIBLE?
Edited on Sun Jun-05-05 04:15 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x375366
WHAT IS THE EXIT POLL RESPONSE OPTIMIZER TELLING US ABOUT rBr?
Edited on Sun Jun-05-05 10:15 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=375270#
ENTER YOUR OWN EXIT POLL MODEL INPUTS TO HELP DEBUNK rBr.
Edited on Sat Jun-04-05 05:00 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x375074
EXIT POLL RESPONSE OPTIMIZATION MODEL: Bush needed 55.2% of refusers
Edited on Sat Jun-04-05 02:33 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x374958
Exit Poll Response Optimization Analysis (Max/min Kerry/Bush vote%)
Edited on Wed Jun-01-05 11:43 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x374165
Non-linear optimization (Excel "Solver") proves rBr is Null and Void
Edited on Tue May-31-05 02:27 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x373889
AVG OF 80,000 EXIT POLL RESPONSE SIMULATIONS: KERRY BY 6 MIL VOTES!
Edited on Mon May-30-05 09:34 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x373826
IMPLAUSIBLE rBr: I just ran a 100,000 trial simulation...
Edited on Mon May-30-05 07:15 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x373725
What convinced you that the election was stolen?
Edited on Fri May-27-05 10:06 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x373210
MUST READ: Census/Exit Poll Gender Vote Probability Analysis
Edited on Sat May-28-05 12:51 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x373414
2-3 MILLION LOST KERRY VOTES? CENSUS: 125.7MM; RECORDED: 122.3MM!
Edited on Thu May-26-05 05:21 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x372831
CENSUS DATA MATCHED NATIONAL EXIT POLL WEIGHTS(12:22AM, 13047 SAMPLE)
Edited on Fri May-27-05 07:50 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x373187
The Miracle of Coogan's Bluff (1951) vs the Miracle of Bush's Bluff (2004)
Edited on Thu May-26-05 12:42 AM
A Long Trip Down Denial
Edited on Wed May-25-05 10:13 PM
Another probability analysis to illustrate why rBr is implausible....
Edited on Wed May-25-05 01:51 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x372443
Do they really expect us to believe all that nonsense?
Edited on Tue May-24-05 08:03 PM
A new Poly Sci Statistic:The sBr (Shy Bush Responder) differential
Edited on Tue May-24-05 03:11 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x372040
IS rBr STILL BREATHING? THE REQUIRED BUSH % OF REFUSERS IS IMPOSSIBLE!
Edited on Sun May-22-05 01:34 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x371584
THE EAST IN THE BEAST
Edited on Sun May-22-05 11:20 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x371776
Exposing the Myths: One by One
Edited on Sat May-21-05 10:30 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x371420
rBr: The Bush voter equivalent of WMD. There's no there there.
Edited on Wed May-18-05 10:39 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x370703
Prob (86 of 88 screens switch K to B): 1 in 79,010,724,999,066,700,000,000
Edited on Sun May-15-05 10:23 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x369374
AAPOR? ESI? Does Not Prove Fraud?
Edited on Sun May-15-05 09:17 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x369349
YOU WANT KERRY? PRESS RIGHT HERE. DON'T YOU WORRY
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x369552
NON-RESPONSE BIAS? HERE'S WHY IT HURT KERRY MORE THAN BUSH.
Edited on Sat May-14-05 05:46 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x369073
To Believe that Bush won.....
Edited on Fri May-13-05 10:21 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368702
PROBABILITY ANALYSIS: THE RBR HYPOTHESIS IS VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE!
Edited on Sat May-14-05 01:34 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368977
Can someone explain this RBR inconsistency?
Edited on Sat May-14-05 07:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368931
Freeper Logic: aBr, the Alzheimer Bush Responder Hypothesis
Edited on Fri May-13-05 10:38 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368831
MORE NUMERICAL EVIDENCE KERRY WON: 2004 TURNOUT SCENARIOS
Edited on Thu May-12-05 08:24 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368350
Probability that 86 of 88 BBV's would switch Kerry votes to Bush?
Edited on Thu May-12-05 10:43 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368585
ELECTION INCIDENT REPORTING SYSTEM (EIRS)
https://voteprotect.org/index.php?display=EIRMapNation&tab=ALL
NAT. EXIT POLL GRAPHS: TIMELINE, KERRY MARGINS, VOTER TURNOUT
Edited on Thu May-12-05 09:18 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368562
We should all rejoice in the promotion of the rBr Liepothesis.
Edited on Wed May-11-05 03:07 PM
WHERE DID BUSH FIND 13 MILLION NEW VOTES?
Edited on Tue May-10-05 09:00 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x367638
BYE, BYE rBr: IMPLAUSIBLE VOTER TURNOUT SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Edited on Tue May-10-05 02:40 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x367600
Could 14.4% of Gore voters have voted for Bush?
Edited on Sun May-08-05 09:32 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=367160
YOU DECIDE: DO THESE FIVE SCENARIOS MAKE rBr IRRELEVANT?
Edited on Sun May-08-05
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=367129
Even assuming rBr, it takes a MIRACLE to reverse Kerry's 51-48% margin
Edited on Sat May-07-05 02:30 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=367001
Our Evidence vs. Their Evidence
Edited on Sat May-07-05 01:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=366974
Yes, the Reluctant Republican Responder (3%) was a KERRY voter!
Edited on Sat May-07-05 03:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=366880
FEBBLE: WILL YOU COMMENT ON THIS MYSTERY?
Edited on Tue May-03-05 09:28 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=365850
The Reluctant Gore Responder (RGR)
Edited on Mon May-02-05 01:50 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x365133
A PUZZLE FOR DUERS: NATIONAL VS. STATE GENDER DEMOGRAPHIC MATCH-UP
Edited on Sat Apr-30-05 01:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364702
12:22am State Exit Poll Gender Breakout: Kerry won 329 EV
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364645
HOW KERRY WON OHIO BY 51-48%...
Edited on Fri Apr-29-05 10:37 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364450
ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE NEP TIMELINE
Edited on Thu Apr-28-05 07:25 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x363938
THE 13047 NATIONAL EXIT POLL CONFIRMS THE STATE EXIT POLLS WITHIN .06%
Edited on Sun Apr-24-05 11:44 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x362208
STATE / NATIONAL EXIT POLL ANALYSIS BY REGION
Edited on Sun Apr-24-05 03:10 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x362106
A CHALLENGE: REFUTE THESE ODDS!
Edited on Sat Apr-23-05 06:16 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x361819
Z-score Probability (Bush Z>1 in 35 states): 1 in 4500 trillion
Edited on Sat Apr-23-05 01:28 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x361736
Red Shift: Z-scores and Probabilities
Edited on Sat Apr-23-05 03:26 AM
The Exit Poll Gender Demographic: Another Smoking Gun?
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 09:51 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359779
Truth: 0 to 13,047; Fiction: 13,048 - 13,660
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359789
The MoE Formula: Mitofsky agrees its 1.0% for over 8000 respondents
Edited on Fri Apr-15-05 05:15 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=357345
Bush Exit Poll Job Approval: A smoking gun?
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 02:07 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359320
TIMELINE
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 02:30 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359332
U.S. General Election Poll-7:37pm: "Estimates NOT for on-air use"
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 12:31 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359287
FL Optiscans vs. Touchscreens: Prob of 9% discrepancy (1 in 12.7 trillion)
Edited on Mon Apr-18-05 02:42 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x358495
This post on the IMPOSSIBLE How Voted weight is NOT from me!
Edited on Sun Apr-17-05 04:29 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=358194
The National Exit Poll: A Tragedy in Three Acts
Edited on Fri Apr-15-05 10:59 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x357758
Ignore the RW spin. Calculate the SAMPLE-SIZE for any MoE and confidence level
Edited on Thu Apr-14-05 09:53 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x356832
National Exit Poll Analysis: Using FACTUAL Historic Data
Edited on Mon Apr-11-05 10:58 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x355250
WAS THERE A (N)ATURAL (B)USH (R)ESPONDER? Edited on Sun Apr-10-05 02:10 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x354894
WHICH IS IT: RBR OR EBR ?
Edited on Sat Apr-09-05 09:35 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x354809
OK, ASSUME THERE WAS A BUSH "BANDWAGON" EFFECT...
Edited on Fri Apr-08-05 09:49 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x354407
RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER OR REINCARNATED BUSH RESPONDER?
Edited on Mon Apr-04-05 03:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352359
Another National Exit Poll Mystery: The Gender Vote. Can you solve it?
Another Exit Poll Mystery: Party ID. Can you solve it?
Edited on Sat Apr-02-05 02:52 PM http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352065
From Selection 2000 to 2004 (NEP): Voted, Died, Reborn, Did Not Vote
Edited on Fri Apr-01-05 09:46 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x351954
IF YOU BELIEVE THESE 5 IRREFUTABLE FACTS, THEN YOU MUST ALSO BELIEVE...
Edited on Fri Apr-01-05 12:58 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x351776
A 9TH GRADE ALGEBRAIC SMOKING GUN.
Edited on Fri Apr-01-05 01:42 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x351674
THE FINAL EXIT POLL MYSTERY: THE IMPOSSIBLE 43% Bush / 37% Gore MIX...
Edited on Wed Mar-30-05 11:13 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350713
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: THE KERRY NATIONAL VOTE MARGIN OF VICTORY...
Tue Mar-29-05 08:35 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350526
View the Mathematical FACTS for the TRUTH...
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 10:38 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350334
FASTEN SEAT BELTS. THIS IS THE CLINCHER.
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 01:47 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350225
WORTH REPEATING: FINAL NEP PADDED MINIMUM 3.85MM TO BUSH VOTE
Edited on Mon Mar-28-05 02:18 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x349796
KERRY WINS 57 OF 60 NEP SCENARIOS: NEW VOTERS VS. 2000 VOTER TURNOUT
Edited on Sat Mar-26-05 11:21 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x349444
THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO: KERRY WON BY 7 MILLION VOTES
Edited on Sat Mar-26-05 06:16 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x349275
Reluctant Bush Responder? Or Resurrected Bush Responder?
Edited on Fri Mar-25-05 05:43 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x348688
Part IV. To believe Bush won the election, you must also believe …
Edited on Thu Mar-24-05 12:01 AM
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HOW TO RED-SHIFT THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL IN 6 EASY STEPS...
Edited on Thu Mar-24-05 11:44 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=348456#
BASED ON THE U.S. ANNUAL DEATH RATE OF 8.7 PER 1000...
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 09:30 PM
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ABSOLUTE PROOF: FINAL NEP OVERSTATED BUSH VOTE BY AT LEAST 2 MILLION VOTES
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 02:01 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x346932
THE MAGIC 613 FINAL RESPONDENTS: FROM 13047 TO 13660
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 10:26 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x346890
FOUR VERY RED FLAGS....
Edited on Sat Mar-19-05 01:38 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x346284
THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE: THE FULL STORY IN 3 GRAPHS
Edited on Sat Mar-19-05 09:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=346481
PROBABILITY TABLE: Exit Poll Margin of Error vs. Vote Deviation
Edited on Thu Mar-17-05 12:37 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x345177
The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy: Explained
Edited on Tue Mar-15-05 01:23 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=344005
A SUMMARY EXIT POLL MATHEMATICAL FORMULATION
Edited on Mon Mar-14-05 10:54 AM
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IF THIS PRELIMINARY NEP WEIGHT WAS CORRECT, WHY WAS IT CHANGED?
Edited on Sun Mar-13-05 04:53 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x343168
Lynn Landes, this is for you.
Edited on Sun Mar-13-05 06:24 PM
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THIS EXIT POLL SIMULATION TEST BLOWS AWAY THE NEDERLAND "PROOF"
Edited on Sat Mar-12-05 12:51 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x342913
Nederland agrees: The Recorded votes and Final Exit poll are bogus.
Edited on Fri Mar-11-05 10:29 PM
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GRAPHS: 1988-2004 Prelim. Nat. Exit Poll to Vote - Trend reversal in 2004
Edited on Thu Mar-10-05 11:11 PM
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A Mathematical proof: Preliminary Exit polls are accurate
Edited on Thu Mar-10-05 09:01 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x341540
The Nat Exit Poll Crime Line: 7:58pm(K) to 12:22am (K) to 2:04pm (B)
Edited on Mon Mar-07-05 11:55 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x340029
Check. Mate.
Edited on Sun Mar-06-05 04:03 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=339246
NATIONAL EXIT POLL: PRELIMINARY TO FINAL - WHAT HAPPENED?
Edited on Sat Feb-26-05 01:23 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x334949
MITOFSKY EXIT POLL CAVEAT: "FINAL PERCENTAGES MAY SHIFT SLIGHTLY"
Edited on Fri Feb-25-05 12:02 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=334152
IT COMES TO THIS: DO YOU BELIEVE 13,047 OR 13,660?
Edited on Mon Feb-21-05 09:40 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x331601
PRE-ELECTION STATE POLLS vs. EXIT POLLS vs. ACTUALS
Edited on Sat Feb-19-05 12:02 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=330449
The EAST was the BEAST: Time Zone Exit Poll Discrepancy Analysis
BLOWN TO SMITHEREENS: MITOFSKY'S "RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER" THEORY
Edited on Sat Feb-12-05 12:46 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x325206
THE MOST DEVASTATING STATISTIC OF ALL: 17% OF THE VOTERS WERE NEW
Eited on Fri Feb-11-05 01:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=323939
1/23 UPDATE: NATIONAL EXIT POLL DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS
Edited on Sun Jan-23-05 01:50 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=301075
Bush probabilities for various Party-ID weights in the National Exit Poll
Edited on Sun Jan-16-05 04:29 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=287175
FLORIDA - HAVA LOOK AT THESE MACHINE PROBLEMS http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=116996&mesg_id=116996
The Motherlode: A great web site of election "incidents" http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=116423&mesg_id=116423
NYT 10/17/04: "Exit Polls to Protect the Vote"
