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|
|
DELEGATE
CALCULATOR |
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||||
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|
Assuming
the projected vote shares, Obama needs |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
additional super delegates to clinch the
nomination by June 3. |
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|||||||
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1627 |
Pledged
Delegates required for majority |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
2026 |
Total
Delegates for the nomination |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
Remaining
Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
86 |
Unpledged |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obama |
Pledged |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
206 |
Uncommitted
Super |
|
|
|
|
|
Projected% |
Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
292 |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
PR |
42 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MT |
60 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current |
Obama |
Projected |
Required
for nomination |
|
SD |
60 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
1660 |
Pledged |
42 |
1701 |
|
|
|
Total |
48.5% |
42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
311.5 |
Super |
13 |
325 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1971 |
Total |
55 |
2026 |
|
|
|
Super
Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current |
Projected |
Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obama |
311.5 |
70% |
144 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1501 |
Pledged |
44 |
1545 |
|
|
|
|
279.5 |
30% |
62 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
280 |
Super |
202 |
481 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1780 |
Total |
246 |
2026 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pledged
Delegates |
|
|
|
Super
Delegates |
|
|
|
Total
Delegates |
|
|
||||
|
|
|
Current |
Proj % |
Delegates |
Total |
|
Current |
Proj % |
Delegates |
Total |
|
Current |
Projected |
|
|
|
|
|
Obama |
1659.5 |
48.5% |
42 |
1701 |
|
311.5 |
70% |
144 |
456 |
|
1971 |
2157 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1500.5 |
51.5% |
44 |
1545 |
|
279.5 |
30% |
62 |
341 |
|
1780 |
1886 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
7.0 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
3167.0 |
|
86 |
3253 |
|
591 |
|
206 |
797 |
|
3751 |
4050 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pledged Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pre-
Mar 4 |
Total |
Vote share |
Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
Primaries |
Delegates |
BO |
HRC |
BO |
HRC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pledged |
2265 |
50.1% |
45.7% |
1219.5 |
1045.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Post-
Mar 4 |
Total |
Vote share |
Delegates |
|
Pledged |
|
Super |
|
Total Delegates |
|||||
|
|
Date |
Primary |
Delegates |
BO |
HRC |
BO |
HRC |
|
BO |
HRC |
BO |
HRC |
BO |
HRC |
|
|
|
|
304 |
OH |
141 |
45 |
55 |
67 |
74 |
|
1287 |
1120 |
197 |
243 |
1484 |
1363 |
|
|
|
|
304 |
RI |
21 |
41 |
59 |
8 |
13 |
|
1295 |
1133 |
197 |
243 |
1492 |
1376 |
|
|
|
|
304 |
TX |
193 |
47 |
51 |
99 |
94 |
|
1394 |
1227 |
197 |
243 |
1591 |
1470 |
|
|
|
|
304 |
VT |
15 |
59 |
39 |
9 |
6 |
|
1403 |
1233 |
197 |
243 |
1600 |
1476 |
|
|
|
|
308 |
WY |
12 |
61 |
38 |
7 |
5 |
|
1410 |
1238 |
203 |
244 |
1613 |
1482 |
|
|
|
|
311 |
MS |
33 |
61 |
37 |
20 |
13 |
|
1430 |
1251 |
209 |
248 |
1639 |
1499 |
|
|
|
|
422 |
PA |
158 |
46 |
54 |
73 |
85 |
|
1503 |
1336 |
235 |
262 |
1738 |
1598 |
|
|
|
|
503 |
|
4 |
50 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
|
1505 |
1338 |
249 |
269 |
1754 |
1607 |
|
|
|
|
506 |
IN |
72 |
49 |
51 |
34 |
38 |
|
1539 |
1376 |
256 |
271 |
1795 |
1647 |
|
|
|
|
506 |
NC |
115 |
56 |
44 |
67 |
48 |
|
1606 |
1424 |
259 |
271 |
1865 |
1695 |
|
|
|
|
513 |
WV |
28 |
26 |
67 |
8 |
20 |
|
1614 |
1444 |
305 |
292 |
1919 |
1736 |
|
|
|
|
520 |
KY |
51 |
30 |
65 |
14 |
37 |
|
1628 |
1481 |
305 |
307 |
1933 |
1788 |
|
|
|
|
520 |
OR |
52 |
58 |
42 |
32 |
20 |
|
1660 |
1501 |
305 |
307 |
1965 |
1808 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
895 |
47.8% |
50.8% |
440 |
455 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pledged |
3160 |
49.0% |
47.7% |
1659.5 |
1500.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Super |
591 |
52.7% |
47.3% |
312 |
280 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Projected |
|
|
|
|
|
Projected |
|
+Current |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
Projected
vote share |
Delegates |
|
Pledged Delegates |
Super |
Required
to Clinch |
|
|
|||||
|
|
Date |
Primary |
Total |
BO |
HRC |
BO |
HRC |
|
BO |
HRC |
BO |
BO |
Share |
|
|
|
|
|
601 |
PR |
55 |
42 |
58 |
23 |
32 |
|
1683 |
1532 |
1994 |
32 |
15% |
|
|
|
|
|
603 |
MT |
16 |
60 |
40 |
10 |
6 |
|
1692 |
1539 |
2004 |
22 |
11% |
|
|
|
|
|
603 |
SD |
15 |
60 |
40 |
9 |
6 |
|
1701 |
1545 |
2013 |
13 |
6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Projected |
|
86 |
48.5% |
51.5% |
42 |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sensitivity Analysis |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
Projected
Obama Share of Remaining Pledged Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
|
|
Share |
34% |
36% |
38% |
40% |
42% |
44% |
46% |
48% |
50% |
52% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Projected
Remaining Pledged Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
BO |
29 |
31 |
33 |
34 |
36 |
38 |
40 |
41 |
43 |
45 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HRC |
57 |
55 |
53 |
52 |
50 |
48 |
46 |
45 |
43 |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Projected
Total Pledged Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
BO |
1689 |
1690 |
1692 |
1694 |
1696 |
1697 |
1699 |
1701 |
1703 |
1704 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HRC |
1557 |
1556 |
1554 |
1552 |
1550 |
1549 |
1547 |
1545 |
1544 |
1542 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diff |
131 |
135 |
138 |
142 |
145 |
149 |
152 |
156 |
159 |
162 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Projected
Total Pledged + Super Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
BO |
2144 |
2146 |
2148 |
2150 |
2151 |
2153 |
2155 |
2156 |
2158 |
2160 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HRC |
1899 |
1897 |
1895 |
1893 |
1892 |
1890 |
1888 |
1887 |
1885 |
1883 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diff |
246 |
249 |
253 |
256 |
260 |
263 |
267 |
270 |
273 |
277 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
206 |
Unpledged Super Delegates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Unpledged Super Delegates Required by Obama
to Clinch Nomination |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
Required |
26 |
24 |
22 |
21 |
19 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share |
13% |
12% |
11% |
10% |
9% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
6% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obama Total Delegate Trend |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
Pledged |
Super |
Total |
Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
304 |
OH |
1287 |
197 |
1483 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
304 |
RI |
1295 |
197 |
1491 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
304 |
TX |
1394 |
197 |
1590 |
99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
304 |
VT |
1403 |
197 |
1599 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
308 |
WY |
1410 |
203 |
1612 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
311 |
MS |
1430 |
209 |
1639 |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
422 |
PA |
1503 |
232 |
1735 |
96 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
503 |
|
1505 |
249 |
1754 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
506 |
IN |
1539 |
259 |
1798 |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
506 |
NC |
1606 |
259 |
1865 |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
513 |
WV |
1614 |
292 |
1906 |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
520 |
KY |
1628 |
307 |
1935 |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
520 |
OR |
1660 |
307 |
1967 |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
601 |
PR |
1683 |
322 |
2005 |
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
603 |
MT |
1692 |
325 |
2017 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
603 |
SD |
1701 |
330 |
2031 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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||||||||||||||
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