Annual counts | Distribution (time of day, week) | Changes (last 8 yrs) | Links | Articles | Sources

The Chimney Rock Hawk Watch accessible via a paved trail from the parking lot at the end of Miller Ln. off of Vosseller Ave. just north of Rt. 22 in Martinsville was started in 1990 by Christopher Aquila. Chris coordinates a group of birders which staff the site from September 1 to November 15. You can learn a lot by just standing around and listening to them call out sightings.
John Kee compiles the data at chimneyrock.s5.com which is the basis for the analysis below.
There is older historical data at www.rci.rutgers.edu/~magarell/chimney_rock/
Maps: Martinsville, Washington Valley Park

Other Links:
Current Counts at Hawk Migration Assiciation of North America's (HMANA) hawkcount.org (NJWMP at Chimney Rock)

Totals Excluding Vultures. (see yearly totals below)
Totals * thru 1996 1998 2000 2002 2003 2006 2007 2008 2009
Sep 08 108 550 289 178 178 119 148 112 248
Sep 15 1,574 4,354 1,542 874 357 754 1,269 990 4,606
Sep 25 26,691 11,859 22,439 8,810 1,438 5,176 5,769 8,955  
Sep 30 27,399 12,862 24,711 10,125 2,768 6,843 6,486 9,405
Oct 15 29,623 15,416 27,075 11,603 5,320 8,101 8,291 10,826
Nov 15 31,470 18,632 28,368 13,241 6,585 9,835 9,366 11,824
Nov 30 § 31,564 18,727  
Highest two days
Day Sep 19 Sep 10 Sep 22 Sep 17 Sep 30 Sep 21 Sep 15 Sep 16
Count 5,018 990 7,450 4,128 1,151 1,619 770 1,818
Day Sep 20 Sep 24 Sep 25 Sep 24 Oct 01 Sep 25 Sep 16 Sep 18
Count 17,923 5,353 6,163 1,453 562 1,301 3,703 4,484
* less vultures
§ Count stoped on Nov. 15 in recent years
Most of the variability comes from Sept 15-25 which usually accounts for 40-70% of the total; The number of sightings from Sept 25 to Nov 15 on the lowest year, 2003, was 3,800 and on the highest year, 1996, was 4,100.


Cape May and Hawk Mountain counts for Sept. only.
Chimney rock Sept. counts for 69-87% (Av. 76%) of the total.

See below for speculation on decline.

Median hawks per day (1997-2001) Distribution by time of day
(For a day with 100 sightings)

Total Sightings (Including Vultures starting in 2005)
Year Total*
2008 12,275
2007 9,411
2006 10,060
2005 8,693
2004 10,635
2003 6,214
2002 13,241
2001 9,763
2000 28,379
1999 23,075
1998 18,727
1997 18,127
1996 31,564
1995 19,545
1994 17,184
1993 20,727
5 Year average sightings per day (1997-2001)
WeekMedian/
Day
LowHigh
Sep. Wk1 26 2 203
Sep. Wk2 126 1 1933
Sep. Wk3 213 8 7450
Sep. Wk4 194 0 6163
Oct. Wk1 145 3 566
Oct. Wk2 77 1 448
Oct. Wk3 106 0 492
Oct. Wk4 44 0 419
Nov. Wk1 29 0 156
Nov. Wk2 7 0 354
Numbers vary widely depending on
weather. see table to right.
Counts by Wind Direction (Birds/Hr.)
W 65
WNW 92
NW 103
NNW 146
N 19
NNE 16
NE 159
E 285
SE 4
SSE 4
S 4
SSW 2
SW 6
WSW 34

(Weather)
* Total includes vultures starting in 2005.

Counts by Species: (thru 2005) (see changes below)
Species Highest 2000 Peak Dates Peak Hrs.
Broad-winged 24656 21588 9/14-9/25 9-5
Sharp-shinned 4597 3303 9/24-10/19 10-6
Am. Kestrel 2000 1514 9/23-10/19 10-6
Red-tailed 908 127 10/29-11/10 10-4
Osprey 945 598 9/15-9/28 9-6
Cooper's 564 395 10/10-10/19 10-5
N. Harrier 474 199 9/13-10/10 10-5
Red-shouldered 401 109 10/10-11/2 10-3
Merlin 338 277 9/13-10/11 11-7
Bald Eagle 110 94 9/13-9/20 9-6
Peregrine Falcon 113 64 10/3-10/10 10-5
Golden Eagle 18 9 10-19-22 12-5
N. Goshawk 15 1 10/20-11/7
Rough-legged 3

One day count distribuition for Sep. 15-30 (Av. 1997-2001)
Count Days
1-19 1
20-49 2
50-99 2
100-199 3
200-499 2
500-999 3
1000-1999 2
2000-7500 1
Probabliliy
1-99 1/3
100-499 1/3
500+ 1/3
Sources:
- Species Records thru 2005 by John Kee
- A Five Year Analysis of Autumn Hawk Migration at Chimney Rock, Martinsville, N.J. (1990-1994) , by Christopher D. Aquila & Steven B. Byland
- Species Records Page and Flight Distribution
Pictures in Bird Watching.

Decline

Cape May and Hawk Mountain counts for Sept. only.
Chimney rock Sept. counts for 69-87% (Av. 76%) of the total.

Species 1996-20002004-2008 Decline/
Increase
Average # % of total Average # % of total
Broad-winged 15,688 65.6% 5,980 53.5% -62%
Sharp-shinned 3,876 16.2% 2,458 22.0% -37%
Am. Kestrel 1,724 7.2% 779 7.0% -55%
Osprey 733 3.1% 468 4.2% -36%
Cooper's 475 2.0% 467 4.2% -2%
N. Harrier 278 1.2% 213 1.9% -23%
Merlin 276 1.2% 197 1.8% -29%
Red-shouldered 242 1.0% 184 1.6% -24%
Red-tailed 271 1.1% 155 1.4% -43%
Bald Eagle 90 0.4% 129 1.2% +44%
Peregrine Falcon 77 0.3% 98 0.9% +27%
Golden Eagle 11 0.0% 14 0.1% +31%
Unidentified Raptor 86 0.4% 16 0.1% -82%
Unidentified Acciptor 42 0.2% 11 0.1% -75%
Unidentified Buteo 19 0.1% 5 0.0% -72%
Unidentified Falcon 12 0.1% 5 0.0% -58%
N. Goshawk 7 0.0% 2 0.0% -66%
Rough-legged 1 0.0% 1 0.0% -50%
Total 23,909   11,182   -53%
Sources: chimneyrock.s5.com by John Kee

There are a variety of factors which different experts have speculated to account for the decline. I couldn't find any definitive studies.

  • Weather patterns - From 1995 to 2000 Chimney Rock counts were down when Hawk Mountain counts were up. Could weather be pushing the birds further west?
  • Bird flu.
  • Reduction of habitat in the north.
  • Global warming causing fewer birds to migrate or to winter at more northern latitudes.
  • More back-yard feeders has been proposed as a cause of sharp shin declines.
  • The declines vary by species and location.
  • Most species have recovered from their decline in the 1950's due to DDT, loss of habitat and hunting.
See:
"Using Autumn Hawk Watch to Track Raptor Migration and to Monitor Populations of North American Birds of Prey" - Article on Sharp Shinned migration decline
State of the Birds � The 2009 Report from the Interior Dept. shows that Wetland birds are increasing while Grasland and Aridland birds are declining.

Other Hawk Watch Sites:
Counts are for Fall only.
See map at: www.rci.rutgers.edu/~magarell/chimney_rock/about_cr.html
Site Location Median
Fall
Totals
2002
Total
Cape May Cape May, NJ 50,00035,267
Hawk Mountain Kempton, PA 20,00021,708
Chimney Rock Martinsville, NJ 19,00013,241
Monclair Monclair, NJ 12,00011,340
Militia Hill Fort Washington State Park, PA 9,000  
Wildcat Ridge Hibernia, NJ 9,000 7,011
Racoon Ridge Blairstown (Hemlock Glen), NJ 15,000 * 4,238
Scotts Mountain, Merrill Creek Washington, NJ 9,000 8,737
Sunrise Mountain Stokes State Forest, Branchville, NJ   * 4,678
Bake Oven Knob Germansville, PA 20,778
(Median 1998-2002)
* Racoon Ridge only counted for 9 days in Sept. 2002
* Sunrise Mountain only had counts for 13 days in Sept. 2002
Some sites keep Spring totals also (Feb-May) which are about 1/3 of Fall totals.
Other New Jersey sites at: New Jersey Sites, Hawk Migration Assiciation of North America (HMANA)
and the JerseyBirds mail list.

Scherman-Hoffman Wildlife Sanctuary (New Jersey Audubon Society)
Bernardsville, (908) 766-5787

Links
Bird Watching Here
Cornell Lab of Ornithology
  Cornell's All About Birds
The Hawk Conservancy Trust
Chimney Rock Hawk Watch: Other Birding Sites
Data entry overload? Learn eBird tricks and tips! - eBird.org

See Also: Binoculars,
Birding and Raptors in Northwest New Jersey at www.njskylands.com
Links at main Hawk Watch Page
Bird Watching in hobbies
Squirl Proof Bird feeders

Articles
- John Kee - Species Records thru 2005
- Christopher D. Aquila & Steven B. Byland - A Five Year Analysis of Autumn Hawk Migration at Chimney Rock, Martinsville, N.J. (1990-1994)
- Kyle McCarty and Keith L. Bildstein - "Using Autumn Hawk Watch to Track Raptor Migration and to Monitor Populations of North American Birds of Prey", USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-191. 2005
- Robyn Worcester, Ron Ydenberg - Cross-Continental Patterns In The Timing Of Southward Peregrine Falcon Migration In North America, 2008,
- Johnd Elong, Stephen W. Hoffman - Differential Autumn Migration Of Sharp-Shinned And Cooper's Hawks In Western North America

Sources:
chimneyrock.s5.com John Kee.
www.rci.rutgers.edu/~magarell/chimney_rock/


Return to: Martinsville Information

last updated 15 Sep 2009


















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