REPORTS,
research Papers, BOOKS and
Conference/Seminars
Septmber,
2009
Selected Recent Government-Sponsored Project Reports
·
“Fasten Your
Seat Belts: Major Turbulence Ahead for the
·
“Impact of United States-European
·
“Economic
Intelligence in Conflict Zone”, chapter in the Book of Intelligence Methods: Marine Corps Intelligence Activity,
for US Marine Corps, June, 2008.
·
“Estimated Performance
and Costs of Approach Procedures with Vertical Guidance (APV) in
·
“A Business Case
Analysis for Interim
·
“Indian Civil
Aviation: Opportunities and Challenges” (with M. Dobbs), briefing book for US
Trade Development Agency/FAA-sponsored US-India Civil Aviation Summit during
April 23-25, 2007.
·
“Costs and
Performance at the FAA’s En Route Centers: An Empirical Analysis and Strategy
Perspective” (with D. Chin, K. Harback, and T. Dziepak), MITRE Product
(forthcoming), 2007.
·
“Two
Methodologies for Timetable Forecasts: Future Demand Schedules (FDS) and the
Future Air Traffic Timetable Estimator (FATE) (with G. Lin, and G. Foster),
MITRE Product # F066-B06-050, September, 2006.
·
“Probabilistic
Forecasts for Terminal Area Total Operations: Review of Available Methodologies
and Proposed Alternatives” (with R. Schaufele), MITRE Product #F066-B06-045,
June, 2006.
·
“Improving
Aviation Forecasts for the Federal Aviation Administration’s En Route
Facilities”, (with B. Hogan and R. Schaufele), MITRE Product # MP06W0000118,
June 2006.
·
“Future Aviation
Timetable Estimator (FATE): Passenger, Aircraft Operations, and Timetable
Forecasts for 2005-2025” (with J. Gentry, J. Kee, G. Lin, L. Smith, and M.
Wells), MITRE Product #F066-B05-023, September, 2005.
·
“Forecasting
Terminal Area Forecasts (TAF) Activities at Second-Tier Airports and Detecting
Outliers” (with J. Kee, S. Mills; and D. Taylor, and P. LeBoff), MITRE Product
# F66-B05-025, September, 2005.
·
“Enhancing the FAA’s
Terminal Area Forecasting (TAF) Capabilities for 59 Second-Tier Airports” (with
J. Kee, M. Wells; and P. LeBoff, C. Miner, R. Schaufele, and D. Taylor), MITRE
Product #MP04W0000207, September, 2004.
·
“TFM-M Workload
Analysis” (with E. Beaton, and S. Mayer), MITRE Product #F045-B05-010, October,
2004.
·
“Capacity Needs
in the National Airspace System: An Analysis of Airport and Metropolitan Area
Demand and Operational Capacity in the Future” (with G. Solomos, S. Urlass, D.
Guffey, J. Kee, E. King, J. McMahon, W. Swedish, and M. Wells), MITRE Report
#MP04W0000109, May 2004.
·
“CNS/ATM Master
Plan Study” (with C. Fremberg, J. P. Fernow, Y-S Hoh, T. Y. T. Hsiao, C.C.
Hsin, B. T. Hong, W. P. Kuhn, P. S. Murphy, D. R. Owen, D. Peed, and Bruce
Smith), US Trade Development Agency (USTDA)-sponsored MITRE Study for the Civil
Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) and Air Traffic Management Bureau
(ATMB), January, 2004.
·
“Egyptian
Aviation Demand Forecast” (with G. Nelson), for the Egyptian Civil Aviation
Authority, Government of
·
“Framework for
Business Case Analysis of Regional Initiatives for Air Navigation Services”,
(with Dr. O. Atia), for Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, Government of
Professional
Journals and Other Papers
Ø “You
(Expect to) Get What You Pay For: A
System Approach to Delays, Fare and Complaints”, paper presented at the
NEXTOR/FAA National Aviation System Performance Workshop, Available at: http://www.nextor.org/Conferences/.
Revised paper is forthcoming at the Transportation Research Part A: Policy and
Practice, 2009.
Ø “Impact of US-EU Open Area Aviation Treaty on US Aviation: A Parametric Analysis with Simulation”, (with R. Schaufele), paper to be presented at the 8th ATIO/AIAA annual conference, Anchorage, Alaska, September 2008; Revised paper published at Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, Summer, 2009.
Ø
“Race to the Bottom or Swimming Upstream: Performance
Analysis of
Ø “Aerospace Sector: Year in Review”, (invited)
article, December, 2008 issue of Aerospace
America, AIAA.
Ø
“
Ø
“
Ø
“Fasten Your
Seat Belts: Major Turbulence Ahead of the Airline Industry” (with R.
Schaufele), invited paper (forthcoming) at the Journal
of Airport Management, Volume 3 Number 1, September, 2008.
Ø
“Analysis
of Cost at FAA’s En Route Centers: An Empirical Perspective”, (with D. Chin, A.
Dziepak, and K. Harback), paper presented at the 7th ATIO/AIAA
Conference in Belfast, Northern Ireland, September 17-21, 2007, AIAA/ATIO
Conference proceedings, Paper No. AIAA-2007-7850; revised version is
forthcoming at the Journal of the Transportation Research Forum,
Fall, 2008.
Ø
“Choice of Route Networks: A Qualitative Choice Model for
Over-Land and Over-Water Routes”, (with Brendan Hogan), paper presented at the 6th Annual ATIO/AIAA meeting,
Wichita, Kansas, Sept. 24-27, 2006; revised version published at the Journal
of Aircraft, Vol. 45(1), January-February 2008, pp. 56-63.
Ø
“Structure and Dynamics of the Core US Air Travel
Markets: An Empirical Analysis of
Domestic Passenger Demand” (with J. Kee), paper presented at the 27th annual International
Symposium on Forecasting, New York city, June 2007; revised paper published
at the Journal
of Air Transport Management, Vol. 14(2008), pp. 27-39.
Ø “Probabilistic
Forecasts for Aviation Traffic at FAA’s Commercial Terminals: A Suggested
Methodology and an Example”, (with Roger Schaufele), paper presented at the annual meetings of the INFORMS,
Ø
“Air Traffic Performance by Market Segments”, Proceedings of the 4th Annual ATIO/AIAA meeting (No. 2004-6495), September
20-23, 2004; revised version appeared at the Journal
of the Transportation Research Forum, vol. 46(2), 2007, pp.
47-62.
Ø “Determinants of Network: A
Preliminary Analysis of US Air Transportation” (with Brendan Hogan), Proceedings of the 5th Annual
ATIO/AIAA meeting, September, 2005; under revision for publication in a Journal, 2007.
Ø “India’s Civil Aviation:
Sector Overview and A Look Ahead” (with M. Dobbs), paper presented at the 2007 World Conference of Air Transport
Research Society in
UC-Berkeley, California, during 21-24 June, 2007.
Ø “Transforming
the National Airspace System: The Role of Uncertainty”, (with David Knorr),
paper presented at the annual meetings of
the INFORMS, Pittsburgh, November 5-8, 2006; and also presented at the 48th
Annual Conference of the Transportation Research Forum, Boston University,
March 15-17, 2007.
Ø “Aviation Sector: Year in Review”, (invited)
article, December, 2006 issue of Aerospace
America, AIAA.
Ø
“A Qualitative Choice Model of the U.S. Airline Network”
(with Brendan Hogan), paper presented at the 2005 annual meeting of the
INFORMS, Nov. 12-16,
Ø
“Analysis of
System-wide Investment in the National Airspace: A Portfolio Analytical
Framework and an Example” (with Fred Morser), Proceedings
of the 5th Annual ATIO/AIAA meeting, September, 2005; revised
paper published at the Journal of Air Transportation, vol. No. 11, Number 1,
pp. 1-26, 2006; Recipient of the
Sorenson Best Paper Award of the Journal, 2006.
Ø
“Improving Aviation
Forecasts for FAA’s En Route Facilities” (with Brendan Hogan and Roger Schaufele), Journal
of Air Traffic Control, April-June, 2006, pp. 42-47.
Ø “Civil Aviation in
Ø “Choice of Aircraft Fleets in the
Ø “Aviation Sector: Year in Review”, (invited)
article, December, 2005 issue of Aerospace
America, AIAA.
Ø “Regional Air Travel: Determinants and
Contributions”, (with Michael T. Wells), Public Works Management and
Policy, Vol. 10(2), October, 2005, pp. 119-137.
Ø “Future Air Traffic Timetable Estimator”
(with Jennifer Gentry, Brendan Hogan, and Michael T. Wells), Journal
of Aircraft, vol. 2 (42), pp. 320-328, April, 2005 (0021-8669).
Ø “Aviation Sector: Year in Review”, (invited)
article (with A.C Charania), December, 2004 issue of Aerospace America, AIAA.
Ø
“Airline
networks: An Econometric Framework to Analyze Domestic US Air Travel” (with
Pamela A. Texter), Journal of Transportation and Statistics, vol. 7, no. 1, December, 2004, pp. 87-102.
Ø “Airlines Entry and Exit and the Impact on Air Traffic
Management: An Analytical Framework for Zero-Sum and Positive-Sum Outcomes” (with T. Berry, J. Gentry, and G. Nelson), Journal of the
Transportation Research Forum, October, 2004, pp. 139-158.
Ø “A Process for Estimating Cost/Benefits of Future
Air Transportation System Operational Concepts Based on 4D Navigation”, (with
S.Mohleji, P.A.Ostwald, and F.P. Wieland), Annual
Proceedings of the 23rd Digital Avionics Systems Conference (DASC),
October, 2004.
Ø
“Determinants of Airport Hubbing in the
Ø “Air Travel in Small Communities: An
Econometric Framework and Results”, Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, vol. 43, no. 1, Spring, 2004, pp. 19-37.
Ø “Aviation Sector: Year in Review”, (invited)
article, December, 2003 issue of Aerospace
America, AIAA.
Ø “Building the Time Table from Bottom Up
Demand: A Microeconometric Approach” (with Jennifer Gentry, Brendan Hogan, and
Michael T. Wells), Annual
proceedings of the 13th Federal Forecasters’ Conference (FFC'03).
Ø “Demand for Air Travel in the United States:
Bottom-Up Econometric Estimation and Implications for O&D Forecasts by
O&D pairs”, Journal of Air Transportation, Volume 8, number 2, September, 2003, pp.
19-56.
Ø
“Choice of Aircraft Fleets in the US NAS: A Logit Analysis
of the Last Decade”, Proceedings of the 3rd
Annual ATIO/AIAA meeting, vol. 8, no. 4, 2003.
Ø “Transportation Needs of the Medium- and
Small-sized Communities: Bottom-Up Estimation and Forecasts with an Application
to the Aviation Sector”, Conference
Proceedings of the 82nd Annual Transportation Research Board
(TRB),
Ø “
Ø “Urbanization” (with
Ø “Spatial
Organization of Urban Vending and Its Impact on Women’s Economic Lives”, (with
L. J. Bhadra), mimeo, Department of
Economics, American University, Washington, D. C., mimeo, August, 2000.
Ø “Women’s Work in the
Informal Sector of Developing Countries: Empirical Evidences and Review of
Issues” (with G. Duron), mimeo,
Spring, 2000;
Ø
Bangladesh Municipal
Finance Management Sector Study (with J. Kamkwalala, J. Martinez, J. Alm, H. Huckaby, R. McHugh,
and L. J. Bhadra), internal green cover,
Infrastructure Operations Division, Country Department 1, South Asia Region,
The World Bank, Washington, D. C., May, 1997.
Ø
“Substitution Elasticities and Returns to Scale in LDC
Manufacturing: Evidence from West Bengal in
Ø
“Urbanization, Agriculture, Land Allocation and Role of Public
Policies: A Review of Literature” (with A. S. P. Brandao),
Ø
“Nonparametric
Tests of Cost Minimizing Behavior: A Study of Indian Farms.” (with S. C. Ray), American Journal of
Agricultural Economics,
Vol. 2, No. 4, November, 1993, 990-99; also presented at the annual meetings of
the Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) held in Washington, D.C.
December, 1990.
Ø
“Urbanization, Agricultural Development, and Land
Allocation” (with A. S. P. Brandao), World
Bank Discussion Papers No.
201,
The World Bank, Washington, D. C., May, 1993.
Ø
“Migration, Urban Poverty and Policy Coordination in LDCs: A
Case Study of the Dhaka (Bangladesh) Metropolitan District,” Annual Report: Abstracts, 1992 Robert S. McNamara Fellowship Program, Economic Development
Institute of the World Bank, Washington, D. C.,
Ø
“Migration and Urban Poverty: A Case Study of
Ø
“A Computable General Equilibrium Model of the Dhaka (
Ø
“Conversion of Agricultural Land into Urban Uses: An
Analytical Framework with an Application,” mimeo,
September, 1997; also presented at the annual meetings of the Midwest Economics
Association held in St. Louis, Missouri, April, 1991.
Ø
“External Economics of Scale and the Process of Urbanization
in the LDCs: An Analytical Framework with an Application,” (with Dennis R.
Heffley), mimeo, June, 1997; also presented at the North American
annual meetings of the Regional Science Association held in Boston, Ma.,
November, 1990.
Ø
“Distribution of Population in a Dual Economy: A General
Equilibrium Analysis with an Application to an Asian Megalopolis,” mimeo,
Ø
“Functional Industry Classification System: An Alternative
Methodology with an Application to the State of
Books
§
Book of Intelligence
Methods: Marine Corps Intelligence Activity, (with Marianne Abbot, Deanna Caputo,
et. al), MITRE/US Marine Corps,
§
Red and Green: A
|
|
§
BANGLADESH
2020: A LONG-RUN PERSPECTIVE STUDY: The World Bank and
Conference/Seminars
o
“Impact of US-EU Open Area Aviation Treaty on US Aviation: A
Parametric Analysis with Simulation”, paper to be presented at the 8th
ATIO/AIAA annual conference,
o
“Technical and
Allocative Efficiencies of U.S. Airlines” Paper presented at the 49th
annual meeting of the Transportation Research Forum, Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas,
March 18, 2008.
o
“EU-US Open
Skies and US Air Travel”, paper presented at the 33rd Annual FAA
Forecast Conference,
o
“Race to the
Bottom or Swimming Upstream: Performance Analysis of US Airlines”, paper
presented at the 87th Annual Transportation Research Board
Conference, January 14, 2008; e-session available here: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/webmedia/trbmedia/AM2008/271bhadra/softvnetplayer.htm
o
“Performance of
US Airlines Over Time: Inter-Temporal and Peer Group Analysis”, paper presented
at the annual INFORMS meeting, Seattle, November 4-7, 2007.
o
Chair,
“Performance and Productivity of the NAS: Domain Analyses”, Annual INFORMS
meeting, Seattle, November 4-7, 2007.
o
Chair, “Weather
Impacts on Capacity and Delay”, 7th ATIO/AIAA Conference,
o
“Analysis of
Cost at FAA’s En Route Centers: An Empirical Perspective”, Paper presented at
the 7th ATIO/AIAA Conference in Belfast, Northern Ireland, September
17-21, 2007.
o
“Delay,
Complaints, and Fare in a Simultaneous Model of Domestic NAS,” paper presented
at the NEXTOR/FAA National Aviation System Performance Workshop,
o
“Structure and
Dynamics of the Core US Air Travel Markets:
An Empirical Analysis of Domestic Passenger Demand” (with J. Kee), paper
presented at the 27th annual
International Symposium on Forecasting,
o
“India’s Civil
Aviation: Sector Overview and A Look Ahead” (with M. Dobbs), paper presented at
the 2007 World Conference of Air
Transport Research Society in
UC-Berkeley, California, June, 2007.
o
Chair, Next
Generation Air Transportation System session, Annual meetings of the
INFORMS,
o
Chair, Airspace System Demand/Delay Modeling II session, Annual meetings of the
ATIO/AIAA,
o
“Benefit Estimation in Presence of Demand
Uncertainty” (with Dave Knorr), paper presented at the Annual meetings of the INFORMS,
o
“Probabilistic Forecasts for Aviation Traffic at FAA’s Commercial
Terminals: A Suggested Methodology and an Example”, (with Roger Schaufele),
paper presented at the Annual meetings of
the INFORMS,
o
“Choice of Route
Networks By Market Pairs: Do Jet Fuel Prices and Airspace Design Matter?” (with
Brendan Hogan), paper presented at the 6th
Annual ATIO/AIAA meeting,
o
“An Alternative
Methodology to Forecast Aviation Activities: O&D Approach”, invited
presentation at the FAA Aviation Forecasting Methodology workshop, Annual
meeting of the Transportation Research Board (TRB), January, 2006.
o
“A Qualitative Choice
Model of the U.S. Airline Network” (with Brendan Hogan), paper presented at the
2005 annual meeting of the INFORMS, Nov. 12-16,
o
“Retrieving Value of the US Air Traffic Control
Services and Its Significance” (with B. Hogan, M. Wells; and D. Chin and D.
Knorr), paper presented at the 2005 annual meeting of the INFORMS, Nov. 12-16,
o
“Operational Capacity
Needs in the National Airspace System: Summary of the FACT Report”, (invited)
paper presented at the 25th Annual
International Symposium on Forecasting, San Antonio, Texas, June 12-15, 2005.
o
“US Airline Network:
A Framework for Analysis and Some Preliminary Findings”, (invited) paper
presented at the Spring meetings of the Economics Technical Committee of the
AIAA, Air Force Academy, Colorado Springs, April 25-26th, 2005.
o
“Air Traffic
Performance by Market Segments”, paper
presented at the 4th ATIO/AIAA conference (Session No. 76- ATIO-29),
o
Chair, Economics of
Design: Aircraft, Communications, and Network Session, Session No. 10- ATIO-6, 4th ATIO/AIAA conference,
o
“Airlines entry and
exit and its impact on ATM: Southwest and USAir in BWI and PHL” (with T. Berry,
J. Gentry, and G. Nelson), (invited) paper presented at the 30th
Annual Conference of the Eastern Economic Association, Washington, D.C., February, 20-22, 2004; also,
chair a session in Transportation Economics session. Paper presented at the 45th
Annual Forum of the Transportation Research Forum,
o
“Airline
network: A Time Series Analysis of US Domestic Air Travel” (with Pamela A.
Texter), (invited) paper presented at the
83rd Annual Transportation Research Board (TRB),
o
“Restructuring
the Airline Business Model and Its Impact on Air Traffic Management” (with T.
Berry, J. Gentry, and G. Nelson), (invited) paper presented at the the
83rd Annual Transportation Research Board (TRB),
o
“Air Travel in
the
o
“Choice of
Aircraft Fleets in the US NAS: A Logit Analysis of the Last Decade”, paper
presented at the 3rd ATIO/AIAA conference (Session No. ATIO-20),
o
“What Can
Government Do to Serve Small Communities with Air Services”, paper presented at
the Commercial
Aviation Policy in the United States session
of the 25th Annual
Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM) Research
Conference, November 7th, 2003 in Washington, DC.
o
“Air Travel in
the United States: Econometric Estimation and Forecasts by O&D Pairs and
their Impact on ATM Performance”, paper presented at the 13th Annual Federal
Forecasters Conference, BLS Training Center, Washington, DC, October 27th,
2003.
o
“Changing
Network: A Time Series Analysis of US Domestic Air Travel”, Paper presented
(with Pamela Texter) at the Forecasting in Transportation session of the
23rd International
Symposium on Forecasting,
o
“Building the Time Table from Bottom Up Demand:
A Microeconometric Approach”, paper presented (with Jennifer Gentry) at the NEXTOR-FAA Conference on Air
Traffic Management and Control,
o “Bottom-Up Econometric Modeling of the O&D Pairs in the NAS: Background, Analytical Framework, and some Preliminary Results”, presented at the MITRE/CAASD Tech Talk, May 9, 2003.
o
“Nation's Airports: Who Lost Following 9/11?
What Can be Done? Looking Ahead”, Invited talk at the Economics Technical Committee Meeting of the American Institute
of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA), Dept. of Aeronautical and
Astronautical Engineering,
o
Chair, Economics
of Transportation Industries session (No. 110), 29th Annual
conference of the Eastern Economic Association (session #142: Aviation
Economics),
o
“If You Build
It, They Will Come: Economic Rationale for Building Infrastructure in the
US National Airspace, A Case Study of New Runways at the DFW Airport”, paper
(with Tom Berry) presented at the 29th Annual conference of the
Eastern Economic Association (session #142: Aviation Economics), New York,
February 21-23, 2003.
o
“Transportation
Needs of the Medium- and Small-sized Communities: Bottom-Up Estimation and
Forecasts with an Application to the Aviation Sector”, paper presented at the
82nd Annual Transportation Research Board (TRB) conference (Session
# 291) to be held during Jan. 12-16, 2003.
o
“Demand for Air
Travel in the United States: Bottom-Up Econometric Estimation and Implications for
Forecasts by Origin-Destination Pairs”, presented at the 6th Air Transport Research Society Conference
(ATRS 2002) hosted by the Boeing Corporation during July 14-16th,
2002, in Seattle, Washington; presented also at the 2nd ATIO/AIAA
conference, Los Angeles, Oct. 1-3, 2002.
o
“Determinants of
Airport Hubbing in the
o
“
o
"Financial
Services for the Poor in the Urban Areas with special reference to Bangladesh:
An Analysis of CARE-Bangladesh Program for Associations Serving Small
Enterprises Toward Sustainability” (with L. J. Bhadra), Department of
Humanities and Social Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur,
India, June 14, 2000.
o
“Equity in
Financial Resources and Enterprise Development”, final PROWID conference
entitled And Justice for All: Lessons for
Development in the 21st Century, ICRW and CEDPA, Washington, D.
C., April 12-13, 2000.
o
“Population,
Consumption, and Environment: Linkages Inside and Outside Borders”, Final
Conference on Population, Consumption,
and Environment, sponsored by the MacArthur Foundation, ICRW, CEASDES, and
CODDEFFAGOLF, San Salvador, El Salvador, March 22, 2000.
o
“Building the
Capacity of Indian NGOs to Develop a Financially Viable Micro Enterprise
Programme for Low Income Household Women” (with FWWB/India), USAID mission in
o
"The Role
of NGOs, CBOs, and the Private Sector in Delivering Municipal Goods" (with
L. J. Bhadra), Paper presented at the seminar jointly organized by the Local
Government Division of the Government of Bangladesh and the World Bank, Dhaka,
Bangladesh, June 17-18, 1997.
o
”The
o
“Migration
Behavior and Sectoral Responses to Pollution in Agriculture and Industry: A Study
of Dhaka (Bangladesh) Metropolitan District,” (with L. J. Bhadra and Zahid
Hussain), Paper presented at the symposium “Environment and Sustainable
Development with Special Reference to Bangladesh,” jointly sponsored by the
Institute of Development, Environment and Strategic Studies and the World Bank,
January 14 and 15, 1995.
o
Discussant, “The
Economics of Garbage” session, annual meetings of the Midwest Economics
Association held in
o
Discussant,
“Industry and Sectoral Studies” session, annual meetings of the ASSA held in
Professional Reviewer:
Journal of
Aircraft, American Institute of
Aeronautics and Astronautics.
Transportation
Research Board
Journal of
Transportation and Statistics,
Bureau of Transportation
Journal of
Air Transportation, Aviation
Institute,
Air Traffic
Control Quarterly, Air Traffic
Control Association, Virginia.
Tourism
Management, Elsevier Publications.
Professional
Membership:
Vice President (2006-2008), Chapter Relations, Transportation Research Forum.
Chair, Economics Technical
Committee of the AIAA, 2006-2008.
Member, American
Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA)
Member, INFORMS.
Member, American
Economic Association.
Member, Eastern Economic Association.
Member, Transportation
Research Board (TRB). .
Member, Air Transportation Research Group (ATRG).
Member, Aviation Economics and Air Transportation
Forecasting Group, TRB.
Member, Airport Cooperative
Research Programs (ACRP), TRB.
Also
attend as observer/participant at the following recent
workshops/conferences: