The Pegg Geometrical Model
Updated: June 18, 2002

Daniel B. Murray, Associate Professor, Department of Physics
Okanagan University College, Kelowna, BC, Canada    [email protected]

   In "A Complete List of Fair Dice" (M.Sc. Thesis, 1997 downloadable in Word format here) Ed Pegg discussed what he called the "geometrical model" of the dynamics of a dice roll. In this model, the probability of a die landing on a given face is proportional to the solid angle subtended by that face with respect to the center of mass of the die. ("Solid angle" is measured in "steradians". There are 4 pi steradians in a sphere.) Pegg points out that this model pays no attention to such features of the dynamics as friction and the coefficient of restitution. Also, as Pegg discussed, the geometrical model fails completely for the situation of a die which has a face which is unstable. This can occur if the center of mass does not lie above the face when the die is placed on a table with that face down. The probability of landing on such a face must be zero, but the solid angle subtended is nonzero.
   Even so, the geometrical model is a useful starting point to describing the behavior of non-isohedral dice. In the same paper, Pegg also introduced his "energy state model" which takes into consideration more details of the dynamics such as the coefficient of restitution and the height of the center of mass when the die is resting on a given face.

Test of the geometrical model

   The figure at the right shows the results of the dice rolls as before, but now a purple line is added to show the prediction of the Pegg geometrical model. It can be seen that there are significant differences between the geometrical model and the experimental data, especially when the die is very short or very tall.







   The figure shown at left plots the original data relative to a new axis, which is the fraction of solid angle subtended by the two circular ends. This make the graph look more symmetrical, and the lines are closer to being straight.











   The figure shown at the left is inspired by the speculative idea that probability could depend on fraction of solid angle, but not necessarily in a linear way. Let us suppose that the probability of landing on an end depends on the fraction of solid angle subtended by the ends. Let us also suppose for simplicity that the behavior of the die is symmetric so that the probability of landing on the side depends in the same way on the fraction of solid angle subtended by the side. If the dependence is linear, there is only one possible function. But apart from the linear case, the next possibility is to have quadratic dependence at both extremes. The result is as shown. The data for the 2.40 mm thick glass now approximately falls on a straight line. The data for the 15.50 mm thick glass shows a gentle bowing.

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