The question is: How does changing the spoke cross from 3x to 2x change the bracing angle, and thus the tension?

I stole this image from Andy Muzi's site http://www.yellowjersey.org/, then added the lines. Obviously, they are not to scale, but the relative positions are illustrated accurately.

You can see from the red and blue lines that the bracing angle for 2x is greater than for 3x.

If this were the left side of a rear wheel, this means the tension on the 3x spokes must be greater than the tension on the 2x spokes.

Effects:

Compared to a rear wheel laced 3x on both sides,

Note that if the derailleur is already close to the spokes, then lacing 2x on the drive side might bring the spokes into contact with the derailleur. A friend had this happen on his Campy equipped road bike back when 8s was new.

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