Ecosocialism: The Post-Marxist Svnthesis

 

                                                                 Robyn Eckersley

 

Introduction

 

The late Raymond Williams once described the ecology movement as "the strongest organized hesitation before socialism. Ecosocialism--a position Williams himself defended in his later wntings--represents a concerted attempt to revise and reformulate the democratic socialist cast in the light of the ecological challenge. Ecosocialists have also used this opportunity for thee retical stock-taking to respond to other significant challenges before social- ism--challenges that form part of, but are not unique : the ecological cri- tique in an effort to address the concerns of new social movements and recapture the "high ground" of emancipatory discourse. As Frieder Otto Wolf has put it, "a socialism without qualiticarion will never again be able to become a hegemonic force within emancipatory mass movements.

The three most significant challenges before socialism that ecosocialists have sought to address are (i) the histoncal legacies of bureaucratization, cen- tralization, and authontananism: (ii) the problematic role of the woriting class as the agent of revolutionary change: and (iii) disillusionment with the tradition- al "productivist" and growth oriented socialist response to the indignities of poverty, which has usually been to augment the economic power of the State. seek a better mastery of nature through modem scientific techniques, and step up production. Ecosocialists have sought to respond to these histoncai legacies by reasserting the pnnciples of democratic self-management and production for human need. According to Wiliiams, "this is now our crisis: that we have to find ways of self-managing nor Just a single enterprise or community but a society.

The ecosocialist theory presented in this chapter represents the most influ- ential Family of socialist thought in Green circles. It has emerged from a critical dialogue between Mar.uist orthodoxy, various currents of Western Marxism and Western social democracy, on the one hand, and the radical environmental movement, on the other hand. The resulting body of theory may be described as largely post-;vlarxist insofar as it is highly critical of orthodox Marxism land much Western tviarxism) but is not unri-IMarxist. That is, many theorists within this tradition occasionally draw on Western. Marxist insights alongside other older traditions and contemporary strands of socialist thought, including utopian socialism, the self-management ideas of the New Left, and socialist feminism. While ecosocialisn also share the anti-capiralist and self-management onentauon of ecoanarchists. they generally argue (contra ecoanarchists) that the State must play a key role in facilitating the shift toward a more egalitarian, conserver society.

The growing influence of ecosocialist ideas within the Green movement (most notably in Europe and Australia rather than in North America) has ren- dered the popular Green slogan "neither left nor right" somewhat problematic. While this slogan originally served to publicize the Green movement's efforts to find a distinct, third alternative to the growth consensus of capitalism and communism, it has since served to generate a lively and sometimes acrimo- nious debate within the Green movement concerning the proper political char- acterization of Green politics. Esosocialisrs argue that "elements of the Left are the natural allies of the Greens" and that only a new ecosocialism can provide a feasible, third alternative to existing capitalism and communism. In particular, rcosociaiists have mounted a challenge to the presumed left-right ideological neutrality of Green politics by pointing out the various egalitanan and redistri- butional (and hence "leftist") measures that are needed to ensure an equitable transition toward a conserver society. Indeed, many such measures--such as the redistribution of resources irom developed to developing countries, the sharing of work, and the implementation of a guaranteed minimum income scheme--are already included in many Green party platforms." With respect to these kinds of issues, Green political aspirations can indeed be fairly described as "more left than right."

However, as we saw in pan 1. to approach Green politics only through the pnsm of the conventional left/right ideological cleavage is to miss the most dis- tinctive critical edge of Green thought, namely, the critique of the comucopian and anthropocentric assumptions of modern political thought. Ecosocialism, as we shall see, has chailenged the former but has made no substantive inroads Into the latter. This notwithstanding, the possibility of some theoreucai bridge building between ecosocialism and ecocentrism remains open at the level of both ecophilosophical orientation and socioeconomic critique. This does not. however, necessarily extend to the ecosocialist prescription for change. In par- ticular, there are many Green theorists who accept the ecosocialist cntique of capitalism but who do not accept that this cntique necessarily requires the cur- tailment of the market economy to the degree envisaged by many ecosocialists.

The Ecosocialist Critique

There are many points of convergence between the democratic socialist cn- tique of pnvate and state capitalism and the radical ecology movement's cri- rique of industrialism that point toward the possibility of 3. theoretical synthe- sis of socialism and ecology.' Indeed, it is this convergence that has prompt- ed the development of ecosocialist theory. Ecosocialist argue that it is the competitive and expansionary dynamics of the capitalist system that is large- Ly responsible for the ecology crisis. However, they are critical of nonsocial- ist Greens for neglecting class politics and failing to develop "an analysis of power" in their''new ecological paradigm." Ecosocialists consider that such an analysis is essential if a fundamental opposition to the present means of production, distribution, and exchange is to be mounted. For example, Joe Weston has argued that it is the accumulation of wealth and its concentration into fewer and fewer hands that is the main cause of both poverty (rnd eco- logical degradation.' He goes on to insist that';it is rime that greens accepted that it is capitalism rather than industrialism per se which is at the heart of the problems they address" (Weston, like most ecosocialisrs, regards Soviet Russia as having practiced "state capitalism' rather than socialism). Simi- larly. David Pepper is critical of what he calis ''new paradigm" Greens for focusing on ecologically degrading methods of production rather than on who owns and shapes such methods and the sociai relations that stem from them. Indeed, most ecosocialists regard the ecology crisis as but one, albeit increasingly significant, item in a much broader agenda. As Gorz puts it:"the ecological movement not an end in itself, butt a largerstage in the larger struggle [i.e., to overcome capitalism].

It is undoubtedly the cast that the expansionary dynamics of capital accumulation have led to widespread ecological degradation and social hard- ship. One of the most basic reasons for this is that the profit motive demands that firms "grow or die." This imperative for continual economic growth does not respect physical limits to growth or ecological carrying capacity. The upshot is that there are many situations in which market rationality gives rise to "negative externaiities such as resource depletion and pollution. which are the unintended and unwanted side-effects of capital accumulation. These rxternaiitizs are usually Some by those who do nor produce or ion- sume the goods or services in question. However, there are some situations, such as the exploitation of common property or ''free environmental goods," where market rationality creates outcomes that are worse for ail agents. This is illustrated in game theory by the Prisoners' Dilemma and by Garrett Hardin's oft-quoted parable of the ''tragedy of the commons.

Capitalism also generates uneven development both within and between nations. Capital is now highly mobile, and investment is governed by absolute profitability rather than national affiliation or a concern to devel- op mutually advantageous trading arrangements. This increasing internation- al mobility of capital has led to serious trade imbalances and external indebt- edness on the pan of Third World nations, which has generated widespread ecological degradation and poverty.

Finally, market nuonaiity gives pnority to short-term Interests over long term Interests through the practice of "discounting the future." This effec tively creates a structural bias against future generations. Indeed. the goal of profit maximization encourages the liquidation or depletion of both renew- able and nonrenewable resources and the movement of the capital thereby gained into new ventures rather than the sustainable or prudent harvest of resources over rime.

Ecosocilaists argue that the logic of capital accumulation is fundamen- tally Incompatible with ecological sustainability and socialjustice. Accord- ingly, they argue that capitalism must be largely replaced with a nonmarket ailocative system that ensures ecologically benign production for genuine human need. The real challenoe racing ecosociaiists, however, is how to develop new, democratic, and noncentralist social institutions that are able to give expression to ecosocialisr values such as reif-management, producer democracy, and the protection of civil and political libenies. These issues will be explored later in this chapter. For the moment, it will be helpful to to draw together the lessons ecosocialists have learned from the failures of existing communist regimes and the revisions they have made to socialist theory in the light of the ecological challenge.

Farewell to Scientific Socialism und the Economic Growth Consensus

Ecosocialists accept that there are both ecolo,oicai and social limits to growth and accordingly they reject the economic growth consensus of conservative, liberal, social democratic/labor, and communist parties. According to Wiiliams. the central ecoloeical problem created by market capitalism and the economies of existing communist regimes is that there is "an effective infinity of expansion in a physically finite worid. In addition to their rgec- tion oi the indiscriminate commitment to mass manufacture and increased consumptton. Ecosocialists also share the early Frankfurt School's rejection of "scientiric socialism" as being unduly optimistic in believing in the uniim- ited power of scientifte understanding, technical control, and the mastery of nature. in this respect. scosociaiists wish to avoid replacing the compulsion of the market with bureaucratic domination on the ground that both capitalist and communist economies dominate both people and nonhuman nature. They are generally critical of large-scale insdtutions and alienating, "inap propriate," or destructive technolooies and advocate what Ryle has called :eco-contraction" or ecological restructuring (in Ryle's case. this entails. inter aiia, the gradual dismantling of majorecologicaily destructive indus- tries such as the automobile, chemical, and defence industries).

Unlike orthodox eco-Marxists, c.cosocialists question both the capitalist relations of production ond the capitalist forces of production. In particular, they argue that the orthodox Marxist prophecy that conventional socialist strategy had counted on--that the intensification of the contradictions between the capitalist forces and relations of production will finally be resolved by the industrial proletariat taking over the forces of production-- will not end the ecological cnsis or human alienation. This is because the expanded forces of production are ecologically degrading and, in any event, do not ]end themselves to collective appropriation insofar as "there can never be effective self-management of a big factory, an industrial combine or a bureaucratic department. It will always be defeated by the rigidity of techni- cal constraints." In short, ecosocialists maintain that the mere appropriation of the capitalist forces of production would result in a new ruling class taking over the machinery of domination.

In accepting the early Frankfurt School's critique of instrumental reason, ecosocialism reveals, in varying degrees, a pariial return to a pre Marxist/romantic cntique of industrialization. Whereas human interactions with the natural world under Marxism were always as Producer, Williams declares that under ecosocialism our interventions must now proceed

from a broader sense of human need and a closer sense of the physi- cal world. The old orientation of raw material for production is rejected, and in its place there is the new orientation of livelihood of practical, self-managing, self-renewing societies, in which people care first for each other, in a living world.

This kind of general reorientation away from instrumental reason is funda- mental according to Wiliiams,"for it is the ways in which human beings have been seen as raw material. for schemes of profit or power, that have most radically to be changed."

The Problematic Role of the Working Class

Ecosociailst theorists recognize that the industrial working class has not only shrunk In size relative to other classes but has also become increasingly con servative by virtue of its economic dependency on the capitalist order. Indeed, most ecosocialists accept that the working class--whatever its histo- ry-is no longer the central agent of progressive social, cultural, and political change, and they concede that such change is more likely to emanate from a broad front of allied new social movements that operate outside the tradition- al labor movement and that are not easily defined by their class location. Andre Gorz, in parricular, has argued that the industrial proletariat cannot become the revolutionary force heralded by Marx since it has turned into a mere replica of capital, exercising funcrional but not personal power. Indeed, in Farewell ro the Working Class, Gorz anticipates that the traditional, skilled proletariat will become more disciplined. conservative. and privileged over time as increased automation reduces the number of working-class jobs As a result there will be a swelling in the ranks of what Gorz has called the ''nonclass" or''post-indusuial neo-proletariat," a "class" that encompasses all those who have been expelled From manual and intellectual work as a result of automation and computerization as well as those who are marginally employed and who have no real class identity o rjob security. Gorz extends this line of argument in Paths to Parodise where he maintains that increasing automation and the microelecnonic revolution are reducing the quantity of labor required for most material production and breaking down the direct contact between worker and matter. Full employment has become an unreal- izable goal, yet Gorz argues that it is continually pursued as an ideological tool to''maintain the relations of domination based on the work ethic."' This leads inevitably to an increasing split in the active population between on the one hand. acting as a repository of industrialism's traditional values, an elite of permanent secure, full-time workers. attached to their work and their social status; on the other, A mass of unem- ployed and precarious casual workers, without qualifications or sta- tus, performing menial tasks."

This latter "nonclass" occupies a pivotal place in Gorz's analysis in that ir is seen as the prefiguration of a different kind of convivial community-- beyond economic rationality and -external constraint--that constitutes a ppotentially emancipatory extension of an already developing process. Indeed, Gorr's ultimate prqiect is to sboiish wage labor on the ground that there is no dignity to be had in the modern wage labor relationship. instead be argues that true dignity and self-determination can only be found in autonomous spheres of production (i.e.. in the neighborhood rather than in the factory).

However, unlike Gorz, most ecosociaiists see the potential for social change emanating from a much broader alliance of new social movements working rogether with the iubor movement. While ecosocialists concede that the labor movement's "productivist ideology" has traditionally not rec- ognized the experiences of other disadvantaged groups and classes e.g.. wei- ;are recipients. women. and ethnic minorities) or environmental problems beyond the workplace, they nonetheless insist that effective and lasting change will not come about without the support of the union movement, indeed, the majority of ordinary `'working people.`' In short. ecosociaiists point out that although environmental problems go beyond class issues, they still contain a class dimension, which cannot be g]ossed over.

However, building such an alliance between the New Middle Class radi- cals that support new social movements. on the one hand, and the working class, on the other hand, is no easy task. As Williams observes. the predomi- nantly middle-class membership of new social movements must confront the fact that the ''effective majority" will remain committed to the dominant sys- tem so ion as they have no pracricai alternative. Williams (unlike some ecosocialists), however, dismisses as absurd the claim that new social move- ments are elitist or that their claims are in contlicr with the interests of the working class. The reason why the demands of the New Middle Class differ from those of the working class is primarily a matter of different social expe- rience and different access to information. As Williams explains,

the fact that many of the most important elements of the new move- ments and campaigns are radically dependent on access to indepen- dent information, typically though not exclusively through higher education, [means] that some of the most decisive facts cannot be generated from immediate experience but only from conscious analysis." In this respect, Williams rightly points out that unless the Green movement can generate ''serious and detailed alternatives at these everyday points where a central consciousness is ,generated ( i.e., the local, practical, and immediate interactions of the "effective majority" of working people), then the issues raised by the Green movement will remain marginalized. Williams argues that an important task for ecosocialism, then, is a "critical engagement" with the labor movement in order to prepare the way for a broad Green/labor alliance that wiil represent the "general interest" as distinct from the interests of a particular class. Ecosocialists divide, however, on the question as to whether to pursue this critical engagement through the established social democratic and labor parties, through the fledgling Green parties and the Green movement, or through a new grassroots rainbow movement.

As part of the move to widen the narrow, "productivist" focus of the tra- ditional labor movement, ecosocialists have also sought to expand the tradi- tionai democratic socialist preoccupation with class and producer democracy to include cultural renewal and the revitalization of civil society. This entails the promotion of new attitudes to work caidzd by job-sharing and a reduction in the length of the working :veek), health. lifestyle. and szuualitv. However. unlike many rcoanarshists and ecofeminists, most ecosocialists generally avoid any discussion of the need to develop a ''new ecological paradigm" (ecocenrric or otherwise), much less new forms of Western spintuality, and tend to adopt instead a secular approach that emphasizes the cultivation of public virtue or good citizenship rather than "inner awakening."

The New Internationalism

In responding to the ecology crisis. ecosocialists have sought to explore a broader range of contradictions than those based simply on class. For exam- pie, most share Rudolf Bahros analysis that the "external" contradiction between humanity and the rest of nature and between "North" and "South" have become more pressing than the "internal" contradictions between capi- tal and labor within the developed countries of the First World. The resolu- tion of these contradictions is seen to require a "new internationalism" that accepts that we cannot use the standard of living attained by the average family in the First World as a model to be pursued for all of humanity since this would put an intolerable ecological strain on the planet. Ecosocialists therefore argue that the transition reward a conserver society must begin in the "affluent society." According to Williams, the deepest changes must come from the First World not only in the form of conservation and the pro- duction of more durable commodities "but also in their deep assumption that the rest of the world is an effectively vacant lot from which they expact raw materials." Accordingly, ecosocialists argue for the redistribution of wealth not only within nations but also internationally between the developed and developing countries in order that all peoples of the world may pursue a lifestyle that is within the Earth's carrying capacity. A cornerstone of this "new internationalism" is a redefinition of human needs that is global in scope. According to Ryle, ultimately, human needs have to be defined at a level that enables both present and future generations of humans to enjoy an equivalent measure of health and autonomy. Ryle suggests that a priority in this exercise should be the establishment of an agreed set of basic needs (i.e., education, health care, energy, basic infrasrructural requirements such as sewage and water supply, housing, and transport), so that steps can then be taken to ensure that everyone has these basic needs met in both rich and poor countries. LTnlike democratic socialists, however, ecosocialists address social and economic deprivation by means other than expanding production. That is, they seek to meet human needs in ecologically benign and sustain- able ways in order to bring overall resource consumption down to a level that is compatible with global justice and ecological integrity. This, of course, is a much more challenging task than simply stepping up production and pro- viding more commodities and social welfare services.

Ecosocialists argue that Third World solidarity can be achieved by pro- moting greater self-reliance in both the North and South. This strategy requires panially delinking the economies of the North and South bv reduc- ing the volume of international trade. disarming, and increasing aid to devel- oping countries. However, as Frankel and Ryle note, ecosocialists must also encourage international cooperation to ensure control of transnational corpo- rations and financial institutions, which will require parallel and reciprocal moves by other nations if it is to be effective."

The major thematic innovations of ecosocialism--the rejection of the economic growth consensus, the emphasis on ecologically benign production for human need. the attempt to widen the productivist outlook of the labor movement and encourage a critical dialogue between the labor movement and new social movements. and the new internationalism-together repre- sent a major overhaul of socialist thought. Moreover, these theoretical revi- sions place ecosocialism squarely within the spectrum of Green or emancipa- tory political thought.

However, as we shall see, ecosocialism has self-consciously declined to step across the anthropocentric divide and embrace an ecocenuic perspec- tive. Instead. most ecosocialists have rejected the need for a "new ecological paradigm" and have argued that socialist thought provides a sufficient repos- itory of values for ecological and social reconstruction.

THE Meaning AND LESSON OF ECOLOGY ACCORDING TO ECOSOCIAUSM

The heart of the philosophical difference between ecocentrism and ecosocial- ism concerns the meaning and relevance of ecology to emancipatory theory. Ecosocialists regard the demands of the environmental movement for a safe and healthy environment as but a subset of the modern radical project. In particular, we have seen that many ecosocialists regard the radical environ- mental movement (by this they mostly have in mind what I have character- ized as the human welfare ecology stream) as part of a larger struggle to overcome capitalism. The radical environmental movement is seen to be part of that larger struggle because it highlights the incompatibility of market rationality with ecological limits by revealing the many ways in which the economic "externalities" of private capital have seriously compro- mised human welfare. health. and survival."

What is at stake, and what is now attainable, according to ecosocialism, is the full realization of human autonomy within a safe and healthy physical environment and a democratic and cooperative social environment. Signifi- cantly, most ecosocialists reject the idea that ecology can effect a fundamen- tal paradigm shift in political theory along the lines suggested by many Green theorists. Ecosocialists argue that the preoccupation with ecological principles leads to an excessive preoccupation with "nature protection" and deflects attentions away from the social origins of environmental degrada- tion. What must be grasped, they argue, is that the "environment" is an essentially izuman context that is .rociully determined rather than something before which we must humbly ''submit." More generally, ecosocialists argue that if we wish to retain a commitment to the modem political ideals of justice, equality, and liberty, then we must look to the lessons of human his- tory las interpreted by the various tributaries of socialist thought) rather than natural history. Indeed, Gorz has gone so far as to declare that it is "impossi- ble to derive an ethic from ecology.

In support of the argument that ecological principles cannot provide the basis for a new politics, ecosocialist theorists frequently point out that it is possible to have a society that respects ecological limits but is undemocratic and authoritarian. As we have seen. ecosocialists reject the claimed "new- ness" of the Green movement and the idea that it has transcended old politi- cal rivalries and instead point out the continuities between Green politics and many strands of socialism." The only "newness" of the Green movement is seen to reside in its recognition of "ecological limits"--something that ecosocialists agree cannot be iSnored.u "The point," argues Gorz, Is not to deify nature or to 'go back' to It, but to take account of a simple fact, human activity finds in the natural world its external limits.

Yet the ecosocialist argument that it is impossible to "derive" an ethic from ecology is misleading and creates an overdrawn opposition: that eco- centrism represents a naive form of authoritarian ecological determinism, while ecosocialism recognizes the active presence of humankind In con- structing and shaping the environment. The environmental ethics of ecoso- cialism and ecocentnsm are both informed by ecological insights. but the environmental ethic of ecosocialism Is simply a different and more limited kind of environmental ethic than that of ecocentrism. That is. the ecosocialist ethic is a prudential ethic that largely represents an amalgamation of the resource conservation and human welfare ecology perspectives explored, both of which are informed by the life sciences such as ecology but which ultimately rest on anthropocentric norms of human autonomy, health, and welfare. Ecocenrrism is also informed by the life sciences, but it, too, finds its ultimate justification in a normative rather than scientific frame- work. (As we saw , to appeal to nature as known by the science of ecology rather than to ethics as the ultimate arbiter of a Green political theory is misguided and does not in itself amount to a justification for a par- ticular political posture.) This ecocentric normative framework subsumes the human-centred ecosocialists' norms ot autonomy, health, and welfare in a broader ecological framework that seeks the mutual flourishing of all life- forms. Such a perspective does not seek to downerade human creativity nor deny the extent to which humans influence ecological and evolutionary pro- cesses. Rather, it asks that we employ our creativity to develop technologies and lifestyles that allow for the continuation of a rich and diverse human and nonhuman world. Ecosociaiism. in contrast, may be seen as merelv fusing human welfare ecology with democratic socialism, but transcending neither.

To return to the ecosocialist critique, if the only "lesson" provided by ecology is one of physical limits to growth, then it is indeed possible to have a range of different political regimes--including authoritarian and fascist ones--that observe such limits. Roben Heilbroner's iln Inyuiry into the Human Prospect which is essentially concerned with human survival, is a clear case in point. Of course, an authoritarian regime might be success- ful--at least in the short term--in ensuring human survival (or, more likely, the survival of certain privileged classes of humans) and quite possibly the (indirect) survival of many nonhuman life-forms. However. it would achieve this by severely resrricting opportunities for democratic participation and self-determination-a route that is Incompatible with the general ecocentric norm of mutual unfolding of horh the human and nonhuman worlds. For ecosocialists to reject ecocentnsm on the ground that it does not rule out fas- cism Is to miss die inclurive nature of the ecocentric norm of "emancipation writ large."

The ecosocialist rejection of the idea of a "paradigm shift" in Green political theory is generally correct insofar as it applies to inter-human srmg- gles. When viewed from the perspective of the traditional political spectrum. ecocennism is, and must continue to be, genenlly ''more left than right" in contending with old political rivalries based on differentials in wealth, power, and social privilege. However, ecocentric theory is most certainly new in the way it seeks to reorient humanity's relationship to the rest of nature. In this respect, it represents a new consteilation of ideas that chal- lenges the anthropocentric assumptions of post-Enlightenment political thouohr and rnllr f,, , more radical reassessment of human needs, technolo- oies, and lifestyles than ecosocialism.

To be sure, we have seen that ecosocialism has itself travelled some dis- tance down this new path insofar as it has acknowledged the many ways in which capitalism objectifies and commodifies both people and nonhuman nature.Js However, the ecosocialist critique of instrumental reason, like that of the Frankfurt School, ultimately comes to rest on the human-centered argu- ment that it is wrong to dominate nature. because it gives rise to the domina- rion of people. For example. Gorz, in noting ihat the disregard of ecological limits will often set off an unwelcome ecological backlash, argues that

it is better to leave nature to work itself out than to seek to correct it at the cost of a growing submission of individuals to institutions, to the domination of others. For the ecologist's objection to system engineering is not that it violates nature (which is not sacred), but that it substitutes new forms of domination for existing natural pro- cesses.

Of course, this ecosocialist concern for human autonomv is laudable in and of itself. From an ecocentric perspective, however, it means that the case for the recognition and protection of nonhuman species Is activated only when it can be shown to facilitate human emancipation. As Rodman has observed, Gorz has an intuition that we should "let nature be" not because it Is sacred or has its own relative autonomy but because its makes us freer. While such an argument has a place within ecocentric theory (indeed, it serves to bolster ecocentric theory in that it shows that the flourishing of human and nonhuman life need not be a zero-sum game), it provides no defence for threatened nonhuman species in those cases where there is no appreciable link with human domination and where such species appear to provide no present or potential use or interest to humankind. Moreover, as we saw In our critique of the human welfare ecology perspective such an argument also serves to reinforce anthropocentric attitudes. As John Livingston has aptly put it, at best, wildlife might "emerge as a second- generation beneficiary" from human welfare ecology reiorms.s' in this respect. Raymond Williams's views on wildlife preservation are telling.

we are not going to be the people...who simply say "keep this piece clear, keep this threatened species alive. at ail costs." The case of a threatened species is a good general illustration. You can have a kind of animal which is damaging to local cultivation, and then you have the son of problem that occurs again and again in environmen- tal ossies. You will get the eminences of the world flying in and saying: "you must save this beautiful wild creature." That it may kill the occasional villager, that it tramples their crops. is unfortu- nate. But it is a beautiful creature and it must be saved. Such people are the friends of nobody, and to think that they are allies in the eco- logical movement is an extraordinary delusion.

This, of course, is consistent with my identification of wilderness or wildlife preservation as one of the `'litmus tests:' that enables us to distinguish eco- centric from anthropocentric Green theorists. That is, wherever there is an apparent conflict between human interests and the interests of nonhuman species (in this case the protection of wildlife) that appear to be of no use to humankind, ecosocialisrs consisrenrly dismiss nonhuman interests.

Similarly, to the extent that ecosocialists have contributed to the human population debate (the other "litmus test" issue), it is usually by way of a cri- tique of what are seen as the "neo-Malthusian" arguments of population con- trol advocates such as Paul Ehrlich--a critique that follows the spirit, if not the letter, of Marx"s critique of Malthus. According to this argument, the real causes of resource scarcity. famine, and environmental degradation are not the existence of too many people or the limited carrying capacity of the Earth but rather social factors such as the maldistribution of resources and inappropriate technology, which arise under the capitalist mode of produc- tion. The ecosocialist solution. then, is not population control but the replacement of capitalism with a cooperative social order that uses ecologi- cally appropriate technologies for the satisfaction of human need.

From an ecocennic perspective, the ecosocialist response goes only pan of the way toward addressing the population problem. First. it fails to consid- zr the many ways in which growing absolute numbers of humans can magni- fy environmental degradation and therefore impair the overall quality of human life. Second, it fails to consider the impact of growing absolute num- bers of humans on the nonhuman community--a limitation that arises from the exclusive ecosocialist preoccupation with human welfare. The environ- mental impact of humans is a function not only of technology and affluence (i.e. level of consumption), but also absolute numbers of humans. From an ecocennic perspective, it is not enough simply to wait for the "demographic transition" (i.e., the lower birth and death rates that usually follow improved living standards) to achieve a stable and well-fed human population, because the price of such a transition is funher widespread ecological degradation and species extinction. To minimize ecological degradation dunng this tran- sition period. rcocentric theorists argue that it is necessary to bring about, in oddirion to technological and distributional reforms and a.lowering of resource consumption, a wide range of humane family planning measures with a view to stabilizing and then reducing human population. "Humane family planning measures" include free conuaceptives and free birth control information and counseiing; affirmative action to improve the status and social opportunities of women, and ecological education campaigns that explain, inter alia. the impact of human population growth on ecosystems and the need to reduce the size of families to one or two children. The syner- getic effect of introducing ecologically benign technologies and lowering energy and resource consumption as well as lowering the birth rate would have a much more dramatic result in terms of lessening environmental degra- dation and protecting biotic diversity than would the more limited ecosocial- ist solution.

The foregoing critique of the anthropocentric premises of ecosocialist thought does not require a rejection of either the entirely defensible socialist concem to find an allocative system that ensures production for genuine human need or the more general and equally defensible concern to seek the mutual self-realization of all humans. Quite the contrary, both of these con- cerns fail naturally into the orbit of the ecocentric perspective defended in this inquiry. indeed, there is already a strong resonance between ecocennic social goals and key ecosocialist goals such as the new internationalism, democratic participation, and ecologically sustainable production for human need. Moreover, both ecocentrism and ecosocialism reject an atomistic model of reality in favor of a reciprocal model of internal relations (albeit with different ethical horizons and implications). These resonances open up the possibility of theoretical bridge building between ecocentrism and ecoso- cialism. That is, many ecosocialist principles and arguments can be selective- ly incorporated into the broader theoretical framework of ecocentrism once they are divested ofrheir unrhropocenme limirarions.

The upshot of such theoretical bridge building for ecosocialism would be a widening of its field of moral considerability so that it reaches beyond the human community to include all of the myriad life-forms in the biotic community. In particular, this would mean a broadening of the ecosocialist approach to wilderness protection and human population growth in accor- dance with ecocentric goals. More generally, it would mean a broadening of the context of political, economic, and technological decision making so that human interests are pursued, wherever practicable, in ways that also enable other life-forms to flourish.

The upshot for ecocenuism would be a strengthening and broadening of its political and economic analysis that would make it better equipped to determine the kinds of institutional changes and redistributive measures that would be required to ensure tin equitable transition toward a sustainable and more cooperative society. It would also enable ecocentrism to anticipate and address in a more concerted way the various forms of opposition that are like- ly to be encountered in the attempt to give practical expression to ecocennic emancipatory goals. In this respect, ecosocialists are right to argue that capital will not be placed at the service of emancipatory goals without increasing government intervention in the market and without a. gradual democratization of the economy. As we shall see in the following chapter, the ecosocialist dis- cussion of the potential "enabling role" of the State in facilitating the realiza- tion of emancipatory goals provides an informative and pragmatic counter- point to the anti-statism and excessive idealism of many ecoanarchist theorists, notwithstanding the stronger ecocentric orientation of the latter.

THE ECOSOCIALIST AGENDA

Having identified the areas of concern shared by ecosocialism and ecocen- trism, it now remains to explore the challenging problem of how to provide feasible alternatives to modern capitalism and communism. As we have seen, ecosocialists emphasize the need to develop long term socioeconomic solu- tions that will bring the economy under more democratic control to enable ecologically sustainable production for human need. Williams, for example, looks forward to a redefinition of socialism that entails positive redemp- tion of the central socialist idea of production for equitable use rather than for either profit or power." This entails the long and difficult move away from the market economy: a shift in "production towards new governing standards of durability, quality and economy in the use of non-renewable resources"; and "as a condition of either of the former, we have to move towards new kinds of monetary institutions, placing capital at the service of these new ends.

However, there is no unanimity among ecosocialists on the matter of detailed alternatives. All that can be safely generalized is that ecosocialists argue that the fulfilment of basic needs and the provision of social services should be in some way funded by the wealth produced by society as a whole. Although many ecosociaiists acknowledge that a market economy has cer- tain advantages over a planned economy in terms of efficiency and flexibility in the satisfaction of consumer wants, they argue that these advantages are overshadowed by the serious contradictions between market logic and eco- logical imperatives. As Ryle explains:

While market-like mechanisms might continue to play an important role--providing consumer choice and flexibility in the supply of commodities--in an ecologically planned economy, these central economic functions would need to be planned in Ea] directly politi- cal fashion.

Indeed, most ecosocialists tend to argue that if we are to avoid both the "tragedy of the commons" and extreme wealth differentials, then we need to move toward a planned economy, provided such planning is of a kind that provides for full community participation. To this end, most ecosocialists advocate a combination of state and local community economic planning. democratically controlled public znterprises; state regulation of the financial sector, self-managing worker cooperatives; and an informal "convivial sec- tor." Some ecosocialists also support a small business sector, although protit accumulation and size are to be closely controlled.

Ecosocialists regard the State as playing a vital role in controlling the operation of market forces and in laying down the framework for a socially just and ecologically sustainable society. According to Ryle:

If one is honest,...about the objectives which an ecologically enlightened society would set for itself, it is difficult to avoid con- eluding that the srate, as the agent of the collective will, would have to take an active law-making and enforcing role in imposing a range of environmental and resource constraints.

This entails giving up, in the name of the "common good," a range of West- ern freedoms concerning the use of private capital as part of the process of ecolooical restructuring. As Ryle argues:

Above all, it calls into being a collective subject, a ''we," able to make political and cultural decisions directly, and this implies the transcendence of the atomised individualism of the marketplace as ultimate arbiter.

The ecosocialist case stands in stark contrast to the strongly anti-statist position of ecoanarchists. That is, ecoanarchists would argue that the collective "we" is the local community rather than the State and that society is best transformed through popular struggles, exemplary action. and local self-help initiatives. Indeed, manv ecoanarchists wish to see the abolition irather than just the shrinking) of the modem nation State on the grounds that it is inherently hierarchical in usurping the decision-making power of the local community.

Although ecosocialists support the goal of community empowerment, they argue that this goal would be facilitated rather than thwarted by the State by means of protecting civil liberties, providing long-term economic planning, redistributing resources between classes und regions, and providing international diplomacy. Indeed. Frankel has argued that''democracy would not survive the abolition of srare institutions." ,Moreover, ecosocialists argue that some degree of bureaucratic administration is inevitable if eco- nomic and ecological planning is to proceed. They argue Further that the potential for bureaucratic domination or political abuse in an expanded State would be offset by parallel moves that extend the opportunity for democratic participation in all tiers of government.

For example, the ecosocialist discussion paper New Economic Directions ior Australia envisages that the increased planning powers of the State would be counterbalanced by "a radical restructuring of administrative and political Institutions to minimise bureaucratic structures and processes and maximise public participation in pianning and decision-making at all levels." This would be facilitated by the establishment of consumer and citizen initiative councils at the state level and a federal warehdog commission to investigate public administration. The responsibility for directing and coordinating all public instrumentalities engaged in productive activity would be assumed by a National Enterprise Commission, which would be representative, publicly accountable, and subject to public review every three years.

Andre Gorz has defended a more controversial "dual economy" based on a fusion of the ideas of the young Marx and Ivan Iilich. This dualeconomy is to be constituted by (i) the "sphere of heteronomy," which deals with the social production of necessities and the material reproduction of society and corresponds to the realm ofnecessity" (to be planned and managed by the State); and (ii) the "sphere of autonomy," which provides the space for cre- ativer and convivial activity and corresponds to the "realm of freedom" (and civil societyj. The purpose of the heteronomous sphere-socially adminis- tered production--is to secure. and where possible enlarge, the autonomous sphere--local convivial activity. Accordingly, Gor. argues that the het- eronomous sphere would need to take maximum advantage of automation, specialization. division oflabor, economies of scale, and computerization in order to minimize socially necessary labor and maximize autonomous activity (where economic logic need not apply). Gorz, envisages that socially neces- sary labor would be ecologically benign and would produce only necessary, durable commodities. Everyone would be required to perform necessary labor !which would provide the source of a guaranteed income for all), but such labor would be reduced to a minimum and accordingly would no longer be the center of everyone's life. The guaranteed income,oenerated by socially neces- sary labor would represent an equitable distribution of the wealth created by society's productive forces considered as a whole--which individuals have combined to produce through their shared, intermittent work.

According to Gorz, both Illich and Marx envisaged a reduction of work- ing time and hence "the utmost expansion of the sphere of autonomy. However, whereas ,Marx foresaw the withering away of the State under com- munism. Gorz rnvisages the continuation of the State as the centerpiece of a post-industrial political economy that will make possible the flourishing of an ecologically benign,''convivial society."

A crucial distinction in Gorz's dual economy is that between the system- atic and collective needs of society and the ethical norms of individuals and small communities. On the basis of this distinction, he envisages that the sphere of heteronomy would be planned by the State and governed by techni- cai imperatives; these imperatives are regarded as simply the function of "external necessity" rather than as ethical norms of a kind chosen by self- determining individuals. As Gorz explains:

In the same way that economics is concerned with the external con- straints that individual activities give rise to when they generate unwanted collecrive results. ecology is concerned with the external constraints which economic activity gives rise to when it produces environmental alterations which upset the calculation of costs and benefits.

The upshot is that both economics and ecology are seen as scientific tools that measure different levels of efficiency; these are considered to be "tech- nical matters;' that properly belong to the heteronomous sphere." This pre- sumably means that environmental matters such as energy budgets. resource use, pollution control, nature conservation, recycling, and workers' safety would fall within the province of the State and need not concern ciuzens, at least in their autonomous activities (although Gor. envisages that citizens would use durable, convivial tools in their free-time activity).

Yet Gorz's own brand of ecosocialism is politically problematic in naive ty defining the activities of the State--most notably, the provision of basic needs, the determination of socially necessary labor. and environmental pro- tection-as mere technical administration that lies outside the realm of ethics or normative discourse. Here, the insights of the Frankfurt School seem to have been forgotten. Indeed, Gorz provides an active endorsement of what Habermas has described as the "scientization of politics.'' As we saw in chap- ter this process has led to the gradual ascendancy of a technocratic elite and the withering of the public sphere. This approach stands in stark contrast to the project of the Frankfurt School and the community self-management approach of ecoanarchism, both of which seek full democratic participation in political, economic, technological, and ecological decision making.

Not surprisingly, Gorz's particular post-industrial utopia has attracted a number of criticisms from zcoanarchists and other ecosocialists. According to Murray Bookchin. Gorz's technocratic post-industrial utopia is riddled with paradoxes in attempting to combine central planning with neighborhood self-help initiatives and worker self-management. In particular, Bookchin argues that Gor. promises the imnoossbbee-centnl planning without bureau- cracy--but "tells us virtually nothing about the administrative structures around which his utopia will be organized."- In a similar vein. Richard Swift asks, what will prevent the hereronomous sphere or State from becom- ing a Center for the Centralization of power? The tools for political abuse remain here." Moreover, Gorz does not specify what role, if any, the mar- ket would play in his dual economy.

Other ecosocialists, however, are much clearer on the question of administrative structures and the role of the market. Cenerally speaking. most ecosocialists have embraced political pluralism, public accountability, and widespread public participation in economic planning. Moreover, they argue that democratic social planning would serve as the predominant resource allocation mechanism with markets playing a subsidiary role !e.g.. In the small business sector). These general outlines of an ecosocialisr econo- my, should not, however, be confused with "market socialism"--a predomi- nantiy market system of exchange accompanied by social and/or State (as distinct from private) ownership of the means of production. Indeed, Boris Frankel has rejected "market socialism" (at least the kind advocated by Alec Nove in The Economics of Feasible Socialism) on the grounds that ecologi- cal and social justice objectives would be continually compromised by national and international market forces.

EVALUATION: More DEMOCRACY OR MORE BUREAUCRACY?

The claimed superiority of the general ecosocialist economic program is that the State would no longer be fiscally parasitic on private capital accumula- tion to fund its social and ecological reforms. The upshot is that the contra- dictions of the market would be. for the most part, eliminated rather than simply "managed." The central question arises. however, as to whether the ecosocialist alternative can avoid the kinds of problems that have beset exist- ing command economies. These problems include bureaucratic corruption and bribery; underemployment of labor; gross economic inefficiencies; one- party dictatorships; intolerance toward political dissent; widespread political Intimidation and oppression; economic stagnation, and ecological devasta- tion. In this new post-Cold War era, ecosocialists must convince an increas- ingly skeptical public that it is possible to deliver economic planning that is at once democratic. ecologically responsible, coherent. and responsive to consumer demand.

Now a theoretical case might still be made that a democratically planned economy is superior to a market economy In that it should be better able to (i) provide,ooods and services on the basis of need rather than purchasing power; (ii) avoid or minimize the''negative exrernalities" of a market econo- my; (iii) iron out excessive social and regional inequalities; (iv) ensure that the scale of the macro-economy respects the carrying capacity of ecosystems iuniike a market economy. a planned economy has no inbllilt imperative to grow); and (v) generally take a broader and more long-term view of the col- lective needs of present and future generations of both humans and nonhu- mans (i.e., unhampered by the need to appease the immediate interests of pri- vate capital).

If could be further argued that the ecological and social problems that have beset existing command economies can be attributed to a range of inter- related factors that are neither necessary nor desirable aspects of a democrat- ically planned economy. These include rigid centralized control, single party bureaucratic rule, the absence of a free flow of information, the absence of an informed citizenry and popular participation, a commitment to industrial- ization and high growth rates. and a determination to "catch up" with the West in terms of technical development and military might as part of a per- ceived need to bolster "national security." As O'Connor explains,"in all socialist countries the major means of production are nationalized although not yet socialized, i.e., there is no strong tradition of democratic control of the means of life.

According to this argument, twentieth century communism must be seen as an aberration rather than as an example of the inherent tendencies or "logic" of a planned economy, if we remove all the repugnant features of these economies (as identified above) and ensure that production is properly "socialized" rather than simply "nationalized" then, so the argument runs, democratic self-management can emerge as a reasonably feasible option. As previously noted, a planned economy does not need to grow in the way that a market economy does. Moreover, we have seen that ecosocialists have explicitly rejected the path of indiscriminate economic growth and have embraced political pluralism, public accountability, freedom of information. and widespread public participation in economic planning.

Yet even if we confine our attention to this appealing theoretical case for a democratically planned economy, we can identify a number of other prob- lems that might considerably undermine its apparent advantages. Just as the theoretical defence of the marker is based on the extremely restrictive and unreal set of assumptions of perfect competition, the theoretical defence of a democratically planned economy is based on the unreal assumptions of, inter alia, full information and complete trust between principal and agent. As Jon Elster and Karl Ove Moene observe. "central planning would be a perfect system, supenor to any market economy, if these two resources [full infer- mation and complete trust] were available in unlimited quantities."

It is the lack of these two important "resources' that accounts for much of the interagency competition, corruption and bribery, displacement of responsibility, and political intimidation that have characterized the state agencies of existing centrally planned economies. Of course, these problems are not unique to bureaucracies in centrally planned societies. They are. how- ever, magnified by virtue of the expanded role played by state agencies in a planned economy. The theoretical defence of democratic economic planning also assumes that it is possible to coordinate successfully a range of different public agen- cies in accordance with a ''common" economic plan. This, in turn, presup- poses (i) that it is possible to arrive at a social consensus on a common eco- nomic plan: and iii) that each agency charged with implementing aspects of the plan will interpret it in a uniform way. As John Dryzek points out, a tele- ological or goal directed social and economic system requires not just a con- sensus on values, but a continuing consensus on values if it is to produce, consistently and effectively, the desired common good. This arises from the fact that "the administered structure cannot waver in its commitment, for it is only that commitment which can keep the system on course. This tells against the feasibility of a well functioning and democratic planned econo- my, it also sheds considerable light on the propensity of communist regimes to regularly intimidate--and. from rimeto time, eliminate-opposition to the planning dictates of the State.

Yet if participatory democracy, political pluralism, and the protection of civil liberties are to remain nonne riabie elements of ecosociaiism, then how can a popular consensus for a common economic plan be achieved, let alone maintained. Classical liberal theorists, of course, have never had to wrestle with this dilemma, in that they have generally been more concerned with procedural fairness than with end-srare fairness.) Moreover, even if we assume perfect information and perfect trust (two unlikely assumptions), how can economic information be Processed and how can a coherent eco- nomic plan be successfullv implemented and coordinated in the absence of a shared ecosocialist morality or, falling that, a controlling managerial elite?

The great strength of the pnce mechanism as a method of resource allo- sation, despite its many problems. is that it provides a relatively decentral- ized and depoliricized method ofinformation processing and resource alloca- tion that is responsive to consumer preference iat least in competitive markets). Its very invisibility that is, the absence of a deliberative steering system or coordinating center) has helped to maintain its political legitimacy to the extent that it obviates the need for ongoing social debate and consen- sus as to the merits or demerits of resource allocation decisions. This recog- nition should not be taken as an endorsement of deregulation. Indeed, I have already outlined some of the more obvious ecological and social problems generated by market economies and accepted, at a very minimum, the need for State intervention to prevent or redress such problems. What is at issue here is the extent and character of intervention (whether by way of regulation or planning) and the implications this has for economic efficiency and democracy.

By comparison to predominantly market economies. predominantly planned economies are more visible. discretionary, and therefore more con- testable than the impersonal, self-adjusting price signals of the market. In short, democratic collective planning necessarily attracts more criticism and debate as to the desirobilin, of alternative courses of action. This is not nec- essarily a bad thing-indeed, it is precisely the kind of debate that ecosocial- ists wish to substitute for the impersonal and ethically blind signals of the market. Nonetheless. ecosocialists are unlikely to achieve the kind of contin- uinp social consensus around a common plan that would be needed for a well functioning, planned economy. Of course. these sorts of problems are not lost on ecosocialists. For example, the authors of New Economic Directions for Australia ask themselves and their readers the pertinent question: ''How would the new planning processes and institutions form part of a coherent whole--more particularly how would they enshrine democratic principles and achieve the necessary balance between local. regional and national responsibilities? They also note that capital is likely "to move offshore the instant an Austraiian government begins to give the implementation of these proposals serious consideration. Moreover, Ryle goes 50 far as to concede that the idea that the economy can be brought under democratic political con- troi has "not been on the mainstream political agenda, and hence...[has] not been part of most people's sense of the possible, for many years now."

The urgent task facing ecosocialists is to find ways of resolving the ten- sion between their quest for participatory democracy, on the one hand, and coherent and efficient economic and ecological planning, on the other hand. That is, ecosocialists accept that the more the State intervenes in social and economic life, the more it needs to facilitate wide-ranging community consul- tation and consensus to maintain legitimacy. Yet the more the State replaces the market with a series of coherent economic and ecological plans, the more it also needs a central coordinating agency to ensure the successful implemen- tation of such plans (and the more reluctant will be that central coordinating agency to encourage genuine democratic participation that might dispute the appropriateness, and block the smooth implementation. of such plans).

There are several ways in which this tension might be eased. if not resolved. For example, democratic planning would be considerably facilitat- ed by a politically active. educated, and ecologically informed citizenry. Moreover, the move toward democratic economic planning would need to be implemented in gradual stages to allow for the discovery of, and adjustment to, unanticipated problems. This could be further faciliated by a multilayered political decision-making structure to enable a balanced democratic represen- tation of local, regional/provincial, and national interests.

Yet the more practical question still arises: do we have enough time, wisdom, and collective will to overcome the above tensions and move toward a predominantly planned economy ro the degree proposed by ecoso- cialists in view of widespread public rkepticism toward economic planninp in the post-cold War era and in view of the urgency of the ecological crisis?

An Alternative Green Market ECONOMY

A more feasible alternative might be to draw back from the idea of a pre- dominantly planned economv in favor of the idea of a greater range of macroeconomic controls on market activity that are designed to ensure that market activity remain subservient to social and ecological considerations. Here, the emphasis would be more on managing, containing, and disciplining rather than largely replacing the market economy, although some economic planning would still have a role to play. In suggesting that there might be at least the outline of such an alternative, I will be drawing on the ideas devel- oped by a small yet growing circle of economists associated with the New Economics Foundation and TOES (The Other Economic Summit), who shall be referred to for convenience simply as "Green economists" (although strictly speaking, ecosocialist political economists represent one particular school of Green economic thought).

Although both ecosociaiists and Green economists enlist the values of participatory democracy, ecological responsibility, social justice, decentral- ization. and the dispersal of economic and political power, they differ over how these values are to be interpreted and applied. Whereas ecosocialists tend to emphasize the evils of the market economy and seek to democratize and'ecologize" Stare and local economic planning institutions, Green economists tend to emphasize the evils of central planning and seek to democratize and "ecologize" the institutions of the market economy. Howev- er, both of these approaches look to the State !albeit in varying degrees and for different purposes) to play a necessary coordinating, redistributive, and planning role. Moreover, unlike the ecoanarchist current in Green political thought. both of these approaches are decidedly post-liberal rather than anti- liberal. insofar as they accept the Western liberal Institutions of representa- tive democracy, tolerance of political diversity, the rule of law and due pro- cess, and the protection of human rights (such as freedom of speech, assembly, and organization).

Although Green economists are trenchant critics of corporate capitalism, they are equally critical of the concentration of economic power in the hands of the State. Accordingiy, Green economists have tended to place greater emphasis on the need to develop small business, local cooperatives, and local economic self-reliance. Nonetheless, thev also advocate increasing govern- ment economic management through .'transformed-market conforming plan- ning." that is, new institutional, fiscal, monetary, and pricing policies designed to ensure that "the market has as Intrinsic tendency to move in directions that conform with the society's social and environmental goals." As Hermann Daiy explains, the general economic framework seeks

to combine micro freedom and variability with macro stability and control. This means, in practice, relying on market allocation of an aggregate resource throughput whose total is not set by the market, but rather fixed collectively on the basis of ecological criteria of sustainability and ethical criteria of stewardship. This approach aims to avoid both the Scylla of centralized planning and the Charybdis of the tragedy of the commons.

Rather than seeking a predominantly planned economy with a small private sector Green economists seek to ''bend and stretch" the "historically given conditions currently prevailing.l97 In other words, they envisage a market economy with a reasonably large private sector. However, they argue that all market activity (whether carried out by the public or private sector) should be more heavily circumscribed, scaled down (in terms of material-energy throughput), and made more responsive to ecological considerations and informed consumer preferences. This is consistent with the Schumacher inspired Green emphasis on human-scale institutions. decentralization, and appropriate technology. As Daly and Cobb argue:

If one favors independence, participation. decentralized decision making, and small- or human-scale enterprises, then one has to accept the category of profit as a legitimate and necessary source of income. There is plenty of room to complain about monopoly profits, but that is a complaint against monopoly, not against profits per se.... If one dislikes centralized bureaucratic decision making then one must accept the market and the profit motive, if not as a positive good then as the lesser of two evils.... We have no hesitation in opt- ing for the market as the basic institution of resource allocation.

However, in defending the advantages of a market economy, Green economists have no illusions about the present lack of consumer sovereignty and the many contradictions, inequities, and negative externalities generated by market rationality. Indeed, they have pioneered many aspects of the eco- logical critique of private and state capitalism, particularly the issues of the scale of material and energy throughput and ecological carrying capacity. Moreover. Green economists are highly critical of the New Right's case for a "free" or thoroughly deregulated market. According to Paul Ekins, advocates of the free market do not really want a free market; what they want is gov- ernment protection of, and absence of interference with, existing private property rights. In contrast, the acceptance of the price mechanism by Green economists does not carry with it an endorsement of the existing pat tern of ownership, control. and wealth distribution nor the scale and reach of market penetration in everyday life. In this respect. it is instructive to bear in mind the observations of Karl Polanyi on the different scale and role of the market in different historical epoches. According to Poianyi, "at no time poor to the second quarter of the nineteenth century were markets more than a subordinate feature of society." In other words, it has only been rince the industrial revolution that market relations havegrown to dominate social life (rather than being mere accessories of social life). According to Polanyi, the most decisive changes occurred when land and labor became commodities ichanges that were insrirured by the liberal State). This served to transform property relations which, in turn, facilitated a transformation of social and zco1ogical relations. Green economists are concerned to develop new com- munity initiatives and new institutional frameworks that will see a gradual replacement of the traditional notion of private ownership and control of land with the notion of communitv trusteeship and stewardship through, for example, the development of conservation and community land trusts).

At the macroeconomic level, most Green economists look to the State to play a key role in reversing the privatization of beneiits and socialization of costs that characterize the market economy. This includes breaking down monopolies and''rxcessive bigness"; providing those public goods and ser- vices that are not provided by the market; avoiding or redressing negative externalities; redressing regional and macroeconomic imbalances; redis- tributing wealth via a guaranteed income scheme; and ensuring an appropri- ate scale of macroeconomic activitv relative to the ecosystem and biosphere. .-\s Daly and Cobb have zmphasizeh, the price mechanism merely ensures an optimal allocation of scarce resources (an efficiency issue--and even this is considerably undermined by the lack of perfect competition in the real world), not an optimal distriburion of resources (a social/ethical issue) or an optimal scale of resource use lan ecological/ethical issue)." .Moreover, eco- centric Greens argue that the question of appropriate scale and carrying capacity must be determined with reference to the needs of present and future generations of both the human and nonhuman world.

Most Green economists have tackled the problem of scale (i.e., the pro- tection of ecological carrying capacity) by advocating (i) a range of new fis- cal measures isuch as resource depletion quotas and higher resource taxes and pollution charges) designed to control resource depletion and reduce material-energy throughput; (ii) more comprehensive, and longer-range, environmental Impact assessment and technology assessment;w and (iii) the replacement of indiscriminate GDP statistics with ;In alternative index of economic progress designed to provide a more meaningful yardstick by which to measure economic well-being.,More generally, Green economists are seeking to shift the burden of taxation away from labor (an increasingly abundant "resource") and toward what are becoming increasingly scarce fac- tors of production, namely, land, natural resources, and fossil fuel energy. This will not only encourage greater efficiency in the use of these scarce fac- ton but also encourage a greater use of human skills and thereby slow down the rate of substitution of labor by capital-Intensive machinery.

One convenient way of drawing together some of the major features of a Green market economy is to identify the kinds of changes that are sought in respect of the major links in the money cycle (i.e.. savings, investment, and consumption). The major Green initiatives relating to savings and investment are the development of local credit and banking facilities, "ethical" invest- ment funds, and self-managing local enterprises. Green economists also sup- port the use of market-based incentives (such as pollution standards, charges or taxes, and in some cases marketable permits) that will ensure that prices reflect the true cost of production and consumption. Ideally, this means ensuring that there is no divergence between the private costs of production and consumption and the social and environmental costs of production and consumption."

Some Green economists have also developed proposals for the reform of corporations to enable greater worker and community participation in invest- ment decisions and more extensive worker and community ownership of capital assets. For example, Shann Turnbuil has developed a range of new institutional reforms (including Ownership Transfer Corporations, Coapera- tive Land Banks, and Producer-Consumer Go-operatives) that will enable the development of "social capitalism." Instead of relying on the public sector to redistribute wealth, social capitalism provides for the redistribution of the ownership of capital assets and the payment of a "social dividend" that would provide a guaranteed minimum income to all."

The restoration of "consumer sovereignty" (through the cultivation of the well-informed, discerning Green consumer) provides a key plank in the strategy for a scaled-down, Green market economy." In order to transform the countless individual acts of consumption into conscious "economic votes" that will influence investment decisions, Green economists argue for the development of independent consumer organizations that can keep consumers informed not only with regard to such matters as the price, quality, origin, and safety of products but also the social and environmental costs. Other propos als include stricter controls on labelling and advertising and, in some cases, the development of an independent ecological certification system.

Alongside the "formal economy," Green economists also stress the importance of nonmarket exchanges such as local barter. voluntary commu- nity services, and neighborhood reciprocity, all of which meet many needs that are unfulfilled by the State or the market. One of the purposes of the guaranteed minimum income scheme is to reduce peoples' dependence on paid work and increase the opportunity for people to engage in nonmarket exchanges and perform what James Robertson has referred to as `'Ownwork" (i.e, self-organized work)." To be sure. the Green economic program is not without its problems. the most challenging of which is the attempt to zealously pursue a policy of redistributive justice while simultaneously encouraging a contraction in the scale and rate of material throughput in a predominantly market economy. The success of such a program will 1argely turn on the extent to which a "Green State" will be able to facilitate a shift away from growth in material and energy throughput and toward qualitative or.'posr-material" growth in accordance with a new Green index of economic welfare. Moreover, although Green economists seek to retain and discipline rather than replace the price mechanism and private profit, they nonetheless conier on the State a considerably expanded range of economic powers, many of which are indistinguishable from those to be conferred on the ecosocialist State. This means that the democracy/efficiency tension will also be encountered, although less so than it would in an ecosocialist economy. A case might also be made that Green economistshave underestimate the cunning of market rationality in finding ways of circumventing their pro- posed new range of macro-economic controls. To this respect, Green economists would do well to direct to more systematic attention to matters dear the heart of ecosocialists, such as the reorganization of finance. credit, production, corporations, and work. Pursuing policies that are designed to achieve a more equitable distribution of the ownership and control of capital assets alongside a more democratic management of such assets would cer- tainly relieve the redistributive burden (and size) of the State while also attracting the likely support of organized labor.

Finally, there are few material (as distinct from moral) incentives for exemplary ecological action--whether on the parr of transnationai corpora- tions or nation States--in the competitive environment of global capitalism. Without concerted ecodiplomacy resulting in a comprehensive array of treaties providing for macro-ecological controls and standards at the inrerna- rional level. Green economists will remain hard pressed to convince an effec- tive majority of voters within theirown nation that they must become eco- logical saints while individuals and corporations in other countries continue to engage in ecologically irresponsible practices.

 

Green Power's Home Page <http://user.hk.linkage.net/~greenpow/index.html> | E-mail: [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> | HK EcoNet <http://www.hk.super.net/~hkie_env/hkeconet.htm>
Last update: April 1996 Lucia Siu <mailto:[email protected]> and Keith Chau <mailto:[email protected]>.

 

This is chapter 7 of the "The Macroscope" <default.html> by Joël de Rosnay <http://www.cite-sciences.fr/derosnay/e-index.html>

 

·        SEVEN. SCENARIO FOR A WORLD

·        TRAVEL NOTES IN ECOSOCIALISM(AUGUST 12 TO OCTOBER 15, 8 A.C.)

·        NOTES

·        INTRODUCTION: THE MACROSCOPE

·        ONE. THROUGH THE MACROSCOPE

·        TWO. THE SYSTEMIC REVOLUTION: A NEW CULTURE

·        THREE. ENERGY AND SURVIVAL

·        FOUR. INFORMATION AND THE INTERACTIVE SOCIETY

·        FIVE. TIME AND EVOLUTION

·        SIX. VALUES AND EDUCATION

·        SEVEN. SCENARIO FOR A WORLD

·        BIBLIOGRAPHY

 

 

SEVEN

SCENARIO FOR A WORLD

I should like this final chapter of the book to be an opening onto the future, not a conclusion. Every criticism, every thorough examination of one type of society and its scale of values ought to lead us toward a new design for society. How can we discern the major features of this society through the gropings of social innovation--the experiments, the successes, the failures that we witness? From what point of view can we formulate and represent such a design?

I propose to reassemble in condensed form the principal themes of the preceding chapters. There are several ways of doing this. One can apply classical methods of forecasting and then try to describe in detail one aspect of the future society. One might, for example, project a small number of tendencies from among the most marked. Or one might adopt the "prospective" attitude, studying the present from the viewpoint of a desirable future in order to determine the meaningful events of today.

One can also try to confront the principal themes of the main currents of contemporary thought that I have presented by adopting a descriptive attitude, the most objective possible. Or, on the other hand, one might choose a normative attitude and orient the proposition in terms of a personal position or an ideology.

Beyond the normative and the objective there are also the expedients of science fiction, political fiction, and utopian writing. All these methods are well known to planners and futurologists and are widely used.

In terms of my own objective, however, the one method that appears to combine them advantageously is the method of "scenarios." The principle of that method is that the future is never given in its totality; it can be determined only through choices made by people devoted to building their future. Thus there is an infinite number of possible "futures," and a scenario is nothing but a more or less detailed description of some of them. A scenario clarifies decisions and facilitates choices.

But a scenario does not describe what is probable or even what is possible. For between the probable and the possible there is political will as much as there is chance, catastrophe, global crisis, or revolution. A scenario describes situations as they might be, situations that are plausible in a given context and in terms of what one knows of the evolutionary tendencies of the principal elements of the system under study. In this respect the scenario is quite like a game; one acts as though the description were possible and one had some relation to it.

Every scenario is a bit biased, as is the case with the present one. First because it is unique, whereas usually the rule insists that one compare several scenarios (for example, the pursuit of unrestrained growth; the slowing of economic growth while the present pursuit continues; catastrophes; the global crises of the economies; wars and other conflicts but such a comparison would take too long. Secondly because one again encounters several of the ideas, suggestions, and theses that I propose and defend in this book. (It will be easy for you to pick them out, recognize them, and criticize them.) My purpose, I recall, is to stimulate thought and reflection, not to attempt to impose my opinions. In order that you may use your imagination as you will, this scenario voluntarily assumes the somewhat dry form of an outline: I have conceived it in the form of notes sent by a reporter to a large weekly news- magazine. The details are left to you to invent.

When will the scenario take place? Does it refer to a particular country or to a composite of several countries? It is neither possible nor even necessary to be precise. Some of the situations described in the scenario could exist in the 1980s, others not before the end of the century--and only in the so-called developed countries.

TRAVEL NOTES IN ECOSOCIALISM(AUGUST 12 TO OCTOBER 15, 8 A.C.)[1]

Ecosocialism, ecosociety, ecocitizen, ecocommunications, ecohealth, ecocongress.... This is not a new "ecocult"! The prefix "eco" symbolizes here the close relationship between economy and ecology; it puts the accent on relationships among men and between men and what they call their "home," the ecosphere.

At the time of the first electronic referendum taken on individual terminals the ecocitizens preferred, instead of a national anthem, a quotation from Dennis Meadows, an American university professor who in 1971 had called attention to the need for limiting growth ( see notes  <chap7.html>).

After two centuries of growth, we are now burdened, in the natural and social sciences, with blind decisions and obligations. At the present time, there is no economic theory of a society founded on technology where the rules of interest lead to zero, where the productive capital does not lead to accumulation, and where the main concern is about equality rather than growth. There is no sociology of balance which is interested in the social problems of a stabilized society where men and women of an older age are in the majority. There is no political science of equilibrium capable of enlightening us on the means of exercising the democratic choice in a society where short-term material gain would cease to be the criterion of political success. There is no technology of balance which gives absolute priority to the recycling of all forms of material; to the use of solar energy which is not a pollutant; to the minimization of flows of material as well as energy. There is no psychology of the state of stability which lets man find a new image of himself or allows him to find other means of motivation in a system where material production would be constant and balanced according to the limited resources of the earth.

This would be the great challenge to each of our traditional disciplines: to elaborate on the project of a society which finds its material motives and its attractiveness in a state of equilibrium. The task would be heavy with technical difficulties and concepts. The solutions would not only be more satisfactory to the spirit but would also be an immense advantage to society in general.

The coming of ecosociety took place in three main stages, each founded on a type of economy that corresponds to a given environment: the economy of survival (primitive society), the economy of growth (industrial society), and the economy of equilibrium (postindustrial society or ecosociety).

The economy of equilibrium (or stationary economy) that characterizes ecosociety today does not imply--as some believed in the late 1970s-- a "zero growth." The limiting of choice to two alternatives, "growth at any price" and "halting growth," was probably the result of the preponderant use of a logic of exclusion peculiar to that period, a type of logic that eliminated any nuance of meaning, any complementarity. It was obvious that the real question was not one of growing or not growing but rather the problem of how to reorient the economy to serve better at the same time human needs, the maintenance and evolution of the social system, and the pursuit of true cooperation with nature.

The economy of equilibrium that characterizes ecosociety is thus a "controlled" economy in the cybernetic sense of the term. Some sectors can pass through phases of growth, others are kept in dynamic equilibrium, and still others maintain a "negative" rate of growth. The "equilibrium" of the economy results from the harmony of the whole. As in life, this stationary state is a controlled disequilibrium.

One model of society proposed during the 1970s came close to ecosociety; this was the convivial society of Ivan Illich ( see notes  <chap7.html>). But this model was also far from it when one considers certain aspects that I shall describe. First we must recall the meanings according to Illich of the two fundamental concepts of conviviality and radical monopoly.

A society in which modern technologies serve politically interrelated individuals rather than managers, I will call "convivial." . . . I have chosen "convivial" as a technical term to designate a modern society of responsibly limited tools.

The man who finds his pleasure and sense of balance in the use of the convivial operation is austere. Austerity does not have the connotation of isolating nor of enclosing oneself. Austerity according to Aristotle and to Saint Thomas Aquinas was founded on friendship.

The establishment of radical monopoly happens when people give up their native ability to do what they can do for themselves and for each other, in exchange for something "better" that can be done for them only by a major tool.... This domination assures obligatory consumption and subsequently restrains the autonomy of each individual. It is a particular type of social control reinforced by the obligatory consumption of mass production that only the heavy industries can provide.

Illich in his model appears to have underestimated certain technologies whose development was slowed neither by crises nor by changes of government: the telecommunications explosion, the miniaturization and decentralization of data processing, and mankind's mastery of certain natural processes, particularly in biology and ecology. Telecommunications and microcomputers have thus permitted the creation of decentralized networks of "distributed knowledge" controlled by the users themselves. This progress had been made possible by a closer association between the human brain and the computer. This association, founded on voice recognition, handwriting recognition, pattern recognition, and a verbal dialogue with the computer, has gradually changed the computer into a veritable intellectual assistant.

The mastery and the imitation of some natural processes were achieved at the industrial level through the use of microorganisms and enzymes in the production of food, medicines, and chemical substances useful to society, and at the ecological level through the control and regulation of natural cycles with the objective of increasing agricultural production or eliminating more efficiently the wastes of social metabolism. These techniques of bioengineering and ecoengineering opened the way to new industrial processes that are less polluting, that use less energy, and that are easier to control and decentralize than were the old procedures of mass production.

Lenin used to say, "Communism is the Soviet people plus electricity." By the same token, ecosociety is conviviality plus telecommunications! For the great economic crises and the technological breakthroughs transformed the classical industrial society by means of a double movement: a decentralization (or differentiation) leading to the mastery and control of modern tools and a refocusing (or integration) resulting principally from progress in telecommunications and microcomputers.

This double movement fostered an increase in the effectiveness of community management at the base level (and consequently the progressive disappearance of certain "radical monopolies") and an increase in each individual's participation at all levels of the social system.

Decentralization is based on individual responsibilities, while participation allows a regulation of the metabolism of society (from the decentralized level to that of the great macroscopic feedback control loops). Clearly this reestablishment of the balance of powers is accompanied by deep modifications in the political, economic, and social structures.

Contrary to the industrial societies of the classical type, structured "from top to bottom," ecosociety is structured from "bottom to top," from the individual and his sphere of responsibilities through the organization of communities of consumers who guarantee the decentralized management of the principal organs of the life of the society--notably the energy transformation systems, the educational systems, and the electronic systems for communication, participation, information processing, and (in certain sectors of industry) production.

Ecosociety acknowledges the coexistence of private ownership and state ownership of production systems. In the extension of the liberal regime ecosociety favors innovation and the ability of free enterprise and free competition to adapt. However, it submits businesses to strict control by the communities of consumers and users. These communities work closely with political leaders at the national level through a participatory planning system that allows the selection of the major objectives and the determination of the principal deadlines.

"Social feedback," which takes place at all hierarchical levels of society allows the control and the application of participatory planning as well as the adaptation to new conditions of evolution.

The main feedback controls apply for the most part to energy consumption, the investment rate, the population growth rate, and the principal cycles corresponding to the functions of supply, production, consumption and recycling.

Energy consumption is maintained at the level that existed at the beginning of the 1980s. This is not monastic austerity; the energy is better distributed, better conserved, and more efficiently used.

Investments in new production capacity serve to balance the obsolescence of machines and buildings and to open up new areas according to social needs.

The birth rate is maintained at a level that equals the death rate of the population; this guarantees a stationary state.

The cycles of supply, production, consumption, and recycling were completely reorganized. The creation of channels of recovery and decentralized systems for sorting materials have enabled the metabolic cycles of the social organism to be connected again with the natural cycles of the ecosystem.

Ecosociety is decentralized, community-minded, participative; individual responsibility and initiative really exist. Ecosociety rests on the pluralism of ideas, styles, and ways of life. As a result equality and social justice are making progress, and there are changes in customs, ways of thinking, and morality. People have invented a different life-style in a society in equilibrium. They have realized that the maintenance of a state of equilibrium is more delicate than the maintenance of a state of continued growth.

With the help of a new vision, a new logic of complementarity, and new values, the people of ecosociety invented an economic doctrine, a political science, a sociology, a technology, and a psychology of the state of controlled equilibrium.

This other way of life is expressed in all social activities, especially in the organization of cities, work, human relationships, culture, customs, and manners. (The total integration of telecommunications in everyday life is significant here.)

The cities of ecosociety have been thoroughly reorganized. The oldest sections were restored to the people, free of automobiles. There the air is again fit to breathe and silence is respected. Pedestrian ways are numerous; on the streets and in the parks the people take their time.

The new cities are broken into multiple communities made up of interconnected villages. It is a "rural" society, one that is integrated through an extraordinary communications network that does away with needless travel and enables many people to work at home.

In business and industry many employees are no longer required to spend long hours at rigorous work. The extension of methods for managing working time has brought about a veritable liberation of time. The breaking up of individual hours and the synchronization of activities that results from it were balanced by the accountability of a "collective time" that permits a better distribution of work both in industry and in society. The management of time also affects other periods of life: vacation time, education, professional training, careers, and retirement.

Ecosociety catalyzes the appearance of service activities--the almost total dematerialization of the economy. A large percentage of social activities is based on mutual services and the exchange of services. The matching of people and ideas is facilitated by the new communications networks--intellectual endeavor through decentralized computer systems.

Industrial societies formerly were unable to support the exorbitant increase in the costs of education and health, and the quality of these services deteriorated. Ecosociety started again from the nodes of the human network. Mutual instruction and mutual medical assistance were achieved on a grand scale. Whereas the mastery of the megamachine of the industrial societies required an advanced education, specialized instruction in ecosociety is considerably reduced. It is now more global, more practical, and more meaningful. Meanwhile, people consume less drugs, call their doctors less often, and go to hospitals only in exceptional cases. Living is healthier, the methods of preventing illnesses more effective. More time is devoted to stimulating natural immunities than to controlling diseases by means of "outside" chemical agents. Balanced nutrition and exercise are key factors in self-management of health.

Oil and energy are still widely used in ecosociety, but their use has been stabilized at a level that permits an equitable distribution of resources. This has led to deep modifications. Programs for putting into operation new nuclear power centers have been dropped. The decentralization of energy transformation plants has led to the exploitation of new energy sources. Above all, energy conservation and the general struggle against waste have made it possible to stabilize energy consumption. Society has learned to use the internal energy of social systems, energy that was formerly expended only in periods of crisis--war or revolution.

Motivation that leads to action used to be inspired by self-interest (money, honors), by constraint (regimentation, fear of fines), and occasionally by the comprehension of the usefulness of one's action and a sense of social responsibility. The "transparency" of ecosociety, better information, and more effective participation have led gradually to the bringing into play of the two latter motivations, without which there is no real social cohesion.

In industry and farming the energy-intensive procedures were replaced by soft technologies and natural processes. In some transformation industries, such as petrochemistry, activities that had high energy costs were abandoned. The recycling of calories and raw materials is practiced on a wide scale. Manufactured products are more durable and easier to repair; thus maintenance and repair have become revitalized activities. Craftsmanship has been reborn, and objects are personalized rather than standardized.

The biotechnological revolution radically modified agriculture and the food processing industry. New bacterial species have become man's allies in production and recycling. Artificial enzymes are used to produce fertilizers and foods. But there are still restrictions because of the thoughtless waste of the previous industrial society.

Ecosociety is an explosion of quality and feeling, the exploration and conquest of inner space. Less preoccupied with economic growth, and producing and consuming less, people have again found time for themselves and for others. Human relationships are richer and less competitive; people respect the choices and freedoms of others. Everyone is free to pursue pleasure in all its forms: sexual, aesthetic, intellectual, athletic. Individual creativity and personal accomplishment play an important role in the community. People admire the unique and irreplaceable character of a work of art, a scientific discovery, or an athletic achievement.

Scientific progress was marked by the prodigious development of biology. Yet more than ever there are problems in the relationships between science and politics, science and religion, science and ethics. A "bioethic" reinforces the new morality of ecosociety. It is founded on respect for the human person; it orients and guides one's choices. For the people of ecosociety have amazing power at their disposal: hormonal and electronic manipulations of the brain, genetic manipulations, syntheses of the genes, chemical actions on the embryo, in vitro culture of the embryo, choice of sex, and control of the processes of aging.

The relationship between man and death has evolved; death is accepted and reintegrated into life. The aged participate in social activities, and they are the object of respect and consideration.

A religious feeling (an emergent religion, not merely a revealed religion) enriches all activities of ecosociety. It supports and validates action; it offers the hope that something can be saved because there exists in every one of us a unique power of creation and because the outcome of society rests in collective creation.

This is one scenario from among many, for one world among many. Is it a dream for the most part? Perhaps. But it is important to dream. And why cannot dreams be taken for realities . . . long enough to build a new world?

Paris, September 1978

 

NOTES

Works that served as basic documentation or that would allow the reader to pursue a subject further are grouped immediately following the section title. The author (and date) listings refer the reader to the Bibliography, where the references are given in full.

All the diagrams are original except for those on pages 32(top), l01, l09, 189, which were adapted from Wolman (1965); National Geographic Magazine, November 1972, Energy; Time-Life Collection, "The World of Science" Lehninger, 1969.

INTRODUCTION: THE MACROSCOPE

The term "megaloscope" was used by Lewis Carroll.

Macroscope is the title of a science fiction novel by Piers Anthony published in 1969. Howard T. Odum (1971) also used the term "macroscope" in ecology.

ONE. THROUGH THE MACROSCOPE

Aguesse (1971), Clapham (1973), Ramade (1974).

Albertini (1971), Attali and Guillaume (1974), Perroux (1973).

13 The quotation from L. Robbins appears in Attali and Guillaume (1974), p. 9 13 Passet (1974), p. 232.

14 Attali and Guillaume (1974), p. 10. Sjoberg (1965), Laborit (1972), Forrester (1969).

31 The figures on metabolism in cities come from Wolman (1965) and Lowry (1967).

33 The term "megamachine" was used by Lewis Mumford (1974). The first definition is from Albertini (1971), p. 37; the second from Attali and Guillaume (1974), p. 27.

Nourse (1965), Laborit (1963) and (1968).

38 Schlanger (1971).

43 Walter Cannon (1929) and (1939). The comparison of plasma with the primitive ocean is from Laborit (1963).

Laborit (1963), J. de Rosnay (1965), Lehninger (1969), Watson (1972).

53 The symbolic representations of hemoglobin are from Perutz (1971). See also J. de Rosnay, "The function of hemoglobin," La Recherche, 14, 677, 1971.

TWO. THE SYSTEMIC REVOLUTION: A NEW CULTURE

General Systems Yearbook, beginning 1954; Young (1956), Ashby (1956), Ackoff (1960), Churchman (1968), Berrien (1968), von Bertalanffy (1968), Buckley (1968), Emery (1969), Barel (1971) and (1973).

58 The definition of the word ' system,' which occurs again on p. 65 is from Hall and Fagen (1956).

58 Wiener (1948), von Bertalanffy (1954) and (1968).

62 Shannon and Weaver (l949).

63-64 The first references to industrial dynamics are in Forrester (1958) and (1961).

64 Couffignal (1963), p. 23. The references to Plato and Ampere are in Guillaumaud (1965); see also Guillaumaud (1971).

69 The symbols of the structural and functional elements of a system are derived from those used by Forrester (1961). See also Meadows (1972).

73 The essential role of the flow variables and state variables was stressed by Forrester (1961), pp. 67-69.

77 A study of "world models" was made by Cole (1974); see also Mesarovic and Pestel (1974).

82-83 There is an excellent study of the advantages and the dangers of simulation in Popper (1973), pp. 40ff.

83 The allusion to "mental models" is in Meadows (1974).

87 On counterintuitive behavior of complex systems, see Forrester (1971).

87 The law of requisite variety was proposed by Ashby (1956); see also Ashby (1958).

90-91 The example of solid wastes is from Jorgan Randers (1973).

92 "To evolve, allow aggression." See also the role of "events" in the evolution of a complex system in Morin (1972).

95 An excellent critique of the systemic approach and its fecundity appears in Morin (1977).

95 Letter from Engels to Lavrov in Marx and Engels (1973), p. 83.

96 The term "noosphere" is from Teilhard de Chardin (1957).

THREE. ENERGY AND SURVIVAL

97 On the relationship between bioenergetics and ecoenergetics, see J. de Rosnay (1974).

Puiseux (1973) (who quotes from the works of A. Varagnac), Illich (1973), Leroi-Gourhan (1972).

104 The law of "maximum energy" was proposed by Lotka (1956).

105 The examples that illustrate the law of optimum yield are from Odum (1955).

105 The school of "thermodynamics of irreversible processes" includes Onsager, de Groot, de Donder, Prigogine (1969) and (1972). See also Katchalsky (1971) on network thermodynamics.

Matthews et al. (1971). 108-110 The statistics are from several publications, among them Cook (1971), Ramade (1974).

112 The observations of the Bulletin of the World Meteorological Organization are cited by Kukla (1974). The effects of atmospheric dusts are studied in detail in Hobbs et al. (1974) and Bryson (1974).

114 The table of values in kilocalories was compiled from several sources, among them Slesser (1973), Odum (1971), Hannon (1974).

114 On the energy equivalent of the kilocalorie, see Odum (1974), p. 46.

115 On energy analysis, see Slesser (1973), Berry (1974), Hannon (1974).

116 The estimate of energy costs in producing a car is from Berry (1974).

117 On the expenditure of energy to feed the United States, see Hirst (1974).

118 Application of energy analysis to agriculture: Pimentel (1973), Steinhart (1974).

120 Competition between energy and work: Bezdek and Hannon (1974).

124 On the manufacture of fertilizers through using nitrogen, see J. de Rosnay, "Toward a bioindustry of ammonia," La Recherche, 32, 278, 1973.

126 On immobilized enzymes, see Zaborsky (1973).

129 The expression "postindustrial society" is used by Touraine (1969) and Bell (1973).

FOUR. INFORMATION AND THE INTERACTIVE SOCIETY

132 The "theory of information" was principally the result of the work of Hartley (1928), Szilard (1929), Gabor (1946), Shannon and Weaver (1949), Brillouin (1959).

132 The example of the card game was suggested by examples in Brillouin (1959) and Costa de Beauregard (1963), p. 63.

134 The example of the reading of a printed page was suggested by Tribus (1971).

137 The expressions "planetary village" and "global village" are from McLuhan (1965).

138 The expression "society in real time" was proposed by the author in J. de Rosnay (1972).

141 The expression "left out of power" was used by J. Attali in a report to the Group of Ten on social malaise. The report has not been published.

142 The data used in the preparation of the section on communications hardware were taken chiefly from Sprague (1969), Parker (1969) and (1972), Martin (1971), Dickson (1973).

144 The examples of services in real time came from studies made in the United States by the author and from Goldmark (1969), Dickson (1973), Martin (1971), National Academy of English Report (1971), Walker (1971), Day (1973).

147 On substituting communications for travel, see Goldmark (1971) Dickson (1971), Day (1973), National Academy of English Report (1971), Attali (1974).

149 Friedman (1974). Leonard and Etzioni (1971), Stevens (1971) and (1972), de Sola Pool (1971) and (1974), Singer (1973) Carroll (1974).

149 The term "social feedback" is proposed to emphasize the cybernetic nature of information feedback loops. Several authors use the terms "citizen feedback" (Stevens, 1971) "instant democracy," and "participatory democracy." See also the excellent examples of participative democracy in Jungk (1974), pp. 157ff.

156 These instruments are sold commercially by Applied Futures Inc., Greenwich, Conn., or used at MIT by Prof. Thomas B. Sheridan.

FIVE. TIME AND EVOLUTION

Gold (1965), Blum (1962), Costa de Beauregard (1963b), Berger (1964).

163 Bergson (1948), Teilhard de Chardin (1957).

164 Costa de Beauregard (1963a) Grunbaum (1962) and (1963) Reichenbach (1956), Gal-Or (1972).

164 On the relationship between information and entropy, see also Atlan (1973), Laborit (1974).

166 The distinction between time that "spreads out" and time that "adds on" is from Saint-Exupéry.

170 Grunbaum (1962), Costa de Beauregard (1963).

The main elements of this chapter appeared in J. de Rosnay (1965).

172 Teilhard de Chardin (1955) Monod (1970).

174 The term "integron" is from Jacob (1970); "holon" is from Koestler.

177 Bergson (1948). The story of the "train of the second principle" appears in J. de Rosnay (1965).

On the general mechanisms of evolution, see Von Foerster (1960), Prigogine (1972), Eigen (1971), Monod (1970), Atlan (1972), Morin (1973).

182 The relationship between autocatalysis and biological reproduction was stressed by Calvin (1956).

185 The note refers to works in prebiotic chemistry; see J. de Rosnay (1966).

186 On acceleration, see also Meyer (1974).

187 Darwin (1959), p. 120, the correspondence between Marx and Engels is in Marx and Engels (1973).

188 Le Châtelier (1888).

189 The term "stationary economy" is from Daly (1973) and Boulding (1966).

189 Dupuy (1975).

189-190 The definition of a deadline with respect to the temporal dimension of the goal is from Idatte (1969).

190 On psychological time, see Lecomte du Noüy (1936).

SIX. VALUES AND EDUCATION

195 On acceleration, see Meyer (1974).

204 Reich (1970).

204 Garaudy (1971).

209 The quotations "a carbon copy of reality," "operative process," and "another verbalization of a picture" are from Piaget (1969), pp. 107, 110.

214 The definition of a game is from Abt (1970).

SEVEN. SCENARIO FOR A WORLD

223 Meadows (1974), pp. 63-64.

224 Illich (1973), pp. xiv-xv, 54.

 

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[1] A.C., after the crisis, or followiog the great worldwide criis of the economies.

 

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