Message Thread from Cranberry Stressline Forum

A Call To Action!
Friday, 19-Nov-1999 01:18:48

 

204.214.112.144 writes:

I thought about the board downsizing before the new directors could get in myself, but I think there will still be enough grower-directors vs management-directors to start turning things around. Maybe that's not the best way of putting that, but it makes my point.

Chere' Winters

 

    209.244.250.104 writes:

    Did not expect anything less from you Hal

Our Agenda is Survival, Yours Included.
Saturday, 20-Nov-1999 07:19:40

    24.128.144.193 writes:

    If what we hear is true, the writer of that note probably lives in the mid-west, had a great big crop, and probably no debt. (His directors voted as a bloc(?) not to consider a sale or merger). He is just as worried about the surplus as the rest of us but he has been lured into thinking that the problem with the Co-op is that there are too many of us, and we are too demanding. And, once we have been agglomerated into bigger more efficient farms, we can grow $20.00 fruit, and stay in business. Those of us that are left. Certainly at 400 B/A Wisconsin can grow $20.00 fruit, this year.
    What is that quote...'When they came for the Jews, I never said a word because I wasn't Jewish, and when they came for the Poles, I kept quite because I wasn't Polish. When they took the Dutch, it didn't effect me because I wasn't Dutch. When they came to my house, there was no one left to speak for me.'

    Just because you may not be in immediate danger, you ARE in danger. Think about what has happened in less than a year, at the hands of those we have entrusted with our farms and family welfare.
    We may not all still be here to speak up, when they come for you.

    L. Rinta

Some out of business?????
Saturday, 20-Nov-1999 19:10:24

    205.188.192.163 writes:

    Some may go out of business but we'll have a strong company!!

    That's the Co-op spirit I like to hear.

 

Re: A Call To Action!
Saturday, 20-Nov-1999 16:52:17

 

Re: A Call To Action! - The Future
Saturday, 20-Nov-1999 18:04:44

    209.244.240.27 writes:

    I would just like to comment that The Business Person's editorials and responses always seem to make logical sense.
    They are neither extremist or 'partyline-ish' as so many of the opinions shared in this web-site are.
    I would appreciate, Mr. Shawa, if you could comment on your opinions of these points put forth. I read your comments and are aligned with the majority of your opinions, but not all.
    I have to ask the question: Is it truly in the best interest of all parties, not to make a concerted effort to make major structural/organization changes in this 69 year old cooperative before cashing in? Or giving up, what seems like, the majority of control?
    I have struggled with, and still struggle with the perception that a larger player in the beverage industry would opt, eventually, to buy fruit ingredients needed to support the brand at the lowest possible price. In the Medium/ Long-Term, where would that leave us, considering a situation where the selling price needed to produce a reasonable return would require us to price fruit higher than market?
    Some thoughts in light of very troubling times.....

    152.163.204.181 writes:

    A merger/sale would give us an alternate income source outside of the berries that we would continue to harvest. Whatever means of payment we received cash, stock, or a combination thereof, we'd have the opportunity to decrease or eliminate the debt we're now strapped with. Stock would allow you to sell some for this purpose and have dividends on the remaining portion. All of this would allow us to be able to function as a true co-op, getting the most as a group from current market conditions. I know I would at least feel comfortable that our income was a true reflection of the market and not a convoluted mess like this.

    bac

    209.222.160.134 writes:


    I would agree that Business Person’s comments are reasonable and insightful. We seem to agree on many points however I respectfully disagree on seeking Welchs and Tree Top as the best merger candidates. Assuming you are a fellow Grower/Owner, what is your most dire need and that of our company? In one word, I believe the answer is Capital (followed closely by competence and stability). Washington State is renown for its apple industry. This year many farmers didn’t even harvest their crop. Tree Top has its own crisis to deal with. Welchs seems to be doing fine but I seriously doubt they have any desire to infuse huge amounts of capital into our company. What would be the return to their owners? I have heard vague claims of greater juice aisle dominance and combined efficiencies (on the assumption that Welchs and Tree Top have excess production capacities), but these are armchair economic analyses. Claims of savings through combined efficiencies is possible but someone has to run the numbers (which requires access to information), determine the levels of excess capacity, logistics, transportation costs, etc. And still, where is the Capital we need? As Business Person correctly points out, the independents enjoyed a few years of wind fall profits that enables them to better weather these turbulent times, not to mention they’re still being paid increasingly more (in percentage terms) than we. Apparently the new plan calls for the Capital for corporate’s needs to come from the hides of us Grower/Owners.

    Instead I see a much brighter future in merging/selling to a powerful international corporation. A corporation with ample capital that can be infused into both the Grower/Owners’ portfolio and into the label and juice processing assets they have acquired. There are great potential efficiencies in this arrangement such as manufacturing, distribution, marketing, and competent management. But we also need long term stability. And finally, I for one am not advocating a sales/merger at any price or any terms.

    That is why it is so important to explore the sales/merger option. We need to determine the true market value for our juice segment (brand name and tangible assets). Once we have acquired the best offer we can then more accurately determine which path (major restructuring vs sales/merger) is more likely to yield the greatest long term benefits. This information and analysis must be openly shared and communicated. Finally it needs to come to a vote. I firmly believe the majority stockholders must have the final say on this critical decision.

    As for the control issue, Thomas Gelsthorpe eloquently bashed any nonsense that anyone in OS is in control. To paraphrase him; if this is control what does out-of-control look like; if this is control when did we elect to receive a supposed $20 something a barrel? Further we cannot control the expansion of cranberry planting domestically nor internationally. The Doomsday Prophecies of massive international acreage w/ cheap labor may occur (at some indeterminable point in the future) or it may not. Who can tell what the future demand will be (see Tillson’s article) or what technological breakthroughs will occur that will effect us? If at some future point a massive supply of cheap foreign cranberries emerges, large enough to fuel a major product line in a global corporation like Coke Cola and we maintain the status quo how will we then compete? What value, if any, will remain for the "unlocking." Again I agree with Business Person that the free market will ruthlessly determine the outcome, as it should.

    Now, if you’re a Grower/Owner please step out of the gloomy shadow of despair cast upon us by our Directors. Help shape our destiny through an open, democratic process. Step into the light and onto the playing field!


    Nabiel Shawa

I would like to clarify a few points in my previous postings. My belief that Tree Top and Welch's are obvious merger candidates stems from a theory that a large fruit cooperative will be able to compete with the beverage giants over the long-term. I would agree that neither of these companies are probably interested in a merger given the state of Ocean Spray, and, even if they were, OSC is not in the best negotiating position. I would favor a merger with a Northland or other independent group of growers. I simply feel that many coop members would prefer to retain the cooperative way of life if possible.

I believe strongly that you are correct in your effort to bring the grower/owners "on to the playing field" and let the group decide the future for your company. If the grower/owners believe it is time to cash in with a sale to someone like Pepsico, then that is an owner's right. I feel compelled to comment because I believe the growers should be prepared for the cycles that I suspect will follow a sale/merger as you describe it.

I applaud your efforts to fully explore the sale/merger option with all grower/owners. I don't pretend to have all the answers, simply some opinions based on experience in the industry and a time with your company.

Business Person

 

    12.18.241.135 writes:

    Thank you for your response. Yes, I am somewhat charitable to management in spite of my true feelings. I have been careful not to criticize specific people as my statements would be influenced by personal experience and contact with these people. I worked for many of them prior to this crisis. It is important to place as many facts in the forum, and to keep my personal opinions regarding key managers to myself. These people are intelligent, well-educated professionals who do not need me telling them how to be a manager. I continue to make mistakes as a manager and hope that I learn from them, and do not make the same mistake twice. I can't criticize their management ability, yet I can question their style and comment on the politics that became prevalent in some departments over the past decade.

    I agree with your comments on SAP. Any system can work, but ERP implementation is challenging. I would like to say that OSC uses too many consultants. The ERP process was no exception. I am a firm believer that nobody knows the company like the people on the inside. Consultants generally take what people say, the people that know the company well, and summarize it for management at significant cost. Generally, employees know how to solve problems, they just need an environment that allows them to make some mistakes in the process. Fear of failure and passing the buck have become the rule at OS. Empower the employees to solve problems and they will.

    My personal perspective on Henderson is this. The plant was one man's dream. OSC attempted to create a state-of-the-art facility without really understanding the technology required. I do not know if all that automation is worth it. My belief is that more often than not, simple is better. How man PLCs and computers are running that place? In addition, a whole new management philosophy was attempted at start-up. The warm and fuzzy people were hired to manage the plant, when what was needed was a strong leader. Management by committee is warm and fuzzy but darn inefficient. All this built around a Return on Investment based on backhauls. I never ran the numbers, but that size investment paid for with transportation savings? I need to see those numbers to believe it.

    Yes, it does take more than marketing. My point is simply to shift the resources away from manufacturing and spend on international market development. Do what OSC has done well historically and start saving money. I realize this is a harsh comment to the dedicated people in the plants, but changes need to be made. These plants can be operated by other companies and jobs can be retained.

    Best of luck.

    Business Person

 

John's question
Monday, 22-Nov-1999 16:55:16

A Call To Action! - The Future
Monday, 22-Nov-1999 12:16:28

 

Monday, 22-Nov-1999 16:06:39

Monday, 22-Nov-1999 16:55:16

    12.18.241.180 writes:

    I appreciate your interest in my input, but I don't feel fully qualified to answer your question. I personally like the concept of a multi-cooperative merger to take advantage of economies of scale and consolidation of manufacturing. The Tree Top and Welch concept was one where similar goals (marketing of Concord grape, Cranberries and Apples), products, and infra-structure are aligned. I believe the growers need to look past the cranberry and understand that the overhead can be more easily spread amongst additional pools, not just cranberry and grapefruit. This is the basis for the concept. And no, it does not address the short-term capital issues within the Ocean Spray community.

    My reservations with Northland date back to my reading of their prospectus. My first reaction was that the company was "top-heavy". This may have changed over the past four years, I do not know. I felt the company would become too bureaucratic over time. If I am wrong about their structure, and I could do the research, then they may make an ideal candidate. The stock has not performed well, and I don't see this changing. Northland should be a very motivated merger candidate. My concern is a merger with Northland does not solve the problem.

    It does bring more control back to OSC/Northland, but what does this mean? I am not an expert on mergers and acquisitions, but how do you merge a public company and a cooperative? I belief the thinking includes changing the ownership structure of the cooperative and losing some or all of the benefits of being a Cooperative (yes I realize those benefits probably escape most of the growers right now).

    I just don't feel a merger with Northland is a big enough step in the right direction. The company requires dramatic changes, as well as a decision by the grower/owners if they want to "cash in" or continue with the coop way of life. I think OSC has served grower/owners for many years, and there are people out there that can turn this around. I just don't believe a large food company will provide the long-term return to the grower that a cooperative can, provided it has solid management. Northland may be a step in the right direction, but I don't think it is the solution to the problems that have been expressed in this forum.

    My recommendations are certainly a longer, harder road, but I think they will provide a better, long-term solution for the grower/owners. I will once again say that it is up to the grower/owners. Take Nabiel Shawa's "Call to Action" seriously and decide for yourselves.



    Business Person

Tuesday, 23-Nov-1999 14:29:56

    128.119.99.250 writes:

    BP, thanks for your comments. Yes, I see your point about a merger with a coop that offers complementary raw materials and products. This makes sense and hopefully OSC is looking into that.

    However, although I have not read their prospectus, I do feel that Northland has something to offer OSC, certainly more than Nantucket Nectars can offer. I favor a Northland merger in principle because they have been able to grab market share with new products and solid (although not great) marketing. Yes, OSC was an easy target, but Northland has proven an ability to compete and their people could prove a valuable asset to OSC. Also, Northland would strengthen the coop membership, if the coop can remain intact with this type of merger. Of course, without knowing more about Northland or the legalities of such a merger, I can only speculate...

    On a different note, before BP is lost to this board, I would love to hear what he/she feels were the root causes of this mess. I have to admit that the whole merger/acquisition discussion is getting a bit old. We can only speculate so much, without the necessary information. This feeling is compounded by the fact that I still am not sure what exactly caused this situation. It's hard to discuss a solution before the cause has been identified. Of course, there will be disagreement on what the cause(s) were, but it would be good to see what people think. Does BP or anybody else have any thoughts on this?

    My underlying concern is that if growers create change for the sake of creating change, nothing will improve and resources will be wasted. Without a good handle on what caused this, we are doomed to repeat it. We can learn a lot from our mistakes....



    [email protected]

Monday, 22-Nov-1999 10:48:22


Monday, 22-Nov-1999 12:16:28

    12.18.241.40 writes:

    Good question. No, I currently do not have any interest in whether OSC is successful domestically or internationally. I am working on some projects that may change my uninvolved status in the industry. If that happens, I will not continue to express opinions in this forum as there will be a conflict of interest and my opinions will then be tainted (real or perceived). OSC does have some talented people in the international group that can develop these markets. They have always been hampered by a lack of commitment to international market development. I suspect this has changed over the past two years.

    Business Person

Return to Cranberry Stressline Form

Back to Front Page

Hosted by www.Geocities.ws

1