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o³Qºô¸ô¤½¥q¤Þ»¤ªº§ë¸ê¤H´N¦n¹³°Ñ¥[»R·|ªº¦Ç©h®Q¤@¼Ë¡A¨S¦³¦b¤È©]ªº´Á¤§«e»°ºòÂ÷¶}¡Aµ²ªGº}«Gªº°¨¨®¤SÅܦ^«n¥Ê¡C¤£¹L³Ì¤jªº°ÝÃD¦b©ó¡A³o³õ»R·|¤Wªº®ÉÄÁ¨Ã¨S¦³«ü°w¡C
o¹ï©óÁʨ֪º¹ï¶H¡A§Ṵ́¾·R¨º¨Ç·|¡u²£¥Í²{ª÷¡v¦Ó«D¡u®ø¤Æ²{ª÷¡vªº¤½¥q¡C
o§Ú¤£»{¬°¥]§t§Ú¦Û¤v¥»¨¦b¤º¯à°÷¡u¦¨¥\¡v¦a¹w´úªÑ¥«µu´Á¶¡ªºªi°Ê¡C
o»P³o¸s¡u¼Ö¦b¨ä¤¤¡v¨Ã¥H¹³¦ÑªO¤@¼Ë¤ßºA¸gÀ礽¥qªº±M·~¸g²z¤H¦b¤@°_¤u§@¯u¬O¤@ºØ¨É¨ü¡C
O§Ú«D±`¼ö·R§Úªº¤u§@¡A¨C¤Ñ¦¤W¥h¤W¯Z®É¡A³£·|ı±o¦Û¤v¦n¹³¬On¨ì¦è´µ¥Å±Ð°ó§@¾Àµe¤@¼Ë¡C(µù:¦Ì¶}º¸°òù¦Wµe¡u³Ì«áªº¼f§P¡v§¹¦¨³B)
o§Ú̪º¶°¹ÎÁ`³¡¦û¦a¶È1,500¥¤è§`¡A¬ù¦X42©W¥ª¥k)Á`¦@¥u¦³¤Q¤G¤H¡Aè¦n¥i¥H²Õ¤@°¦Äx²y¶¤¡C
o¨Ì§Ú̹L¥hªº¸gÅçÅã¥Ü¡An¡u§ä¨ì¡v¤@®a¦nªº«OÀI¤½¥q¨Ã¤£®e©ö¡A¦ýn¡u³Ð¥ß¡v¤@®a§óÃø¡C
o¨Ì§Ú̹L¥hªº¸gÅçÅã¥Ü¡A±q¤½¶}¥«³õ©Ò¶R¶i³¡¥÷ªÑÅvªº»ù®æ»·¤ñ¾ãµ§Áʨ֩ҽͪº»ù®æn§Cªº³\¦h¡C
o·|p³øªí¥u¬Oµû¦ô¥ø·~»ùȪº°_ÂI¡A¦Ó«D³Ì²×ªºµ²ªG¡C
o¸g²z¤H¦b«ä¯Á·|pì«h®É¡A¤@©wnÂÔ°OªLªÖÁ`²Î¥»¨³Ì±`Á¿ªº¤@¥y«Z»y¡G¡u¦pªG¤@°¦ª¯³s§À¤Ú¤]ºâ¦b¤ºªº¸Ü¡AÁ`¦@¦³´X±ø»L¡S µª®×ÁÙ¬O¥|±ø»L¡A¦]¬°¤£½×§A¬O¤£¬O§â§À¤Ú·í§@¬O¤@±ø»L¡A§À¤Ú¥Ã»·ÁÙ¬O§À¤Ú¡I¡v¡A³o¥y¸Ü´£¿ô¸g²z¤H´Nºâ·|p®vÄ@·NÀ°§AÃÒ©ú§À¤Ú¤]ºâ¬O¤@±ø»L¡A§A¤]¤£·|¦]¦¹¦h¤F¤@±ø»L¡C
Managers thinking about accounting issues should never forget one of Abraham Lincoln's favorite riddles: "How many legs does a dog have if you call his tail a leg?" The answer: "Four, because calling a tail a leg does not make it a leg." It behooves managers to remember that Abe's right even if an auditor is willing to certify that the tail is a leg.
o©Ò¿×¡u¥«³õ®Ä²v¾Ç»¡¡v¤§Ãþªº§ë¸ê±Ð±ø¡A¤£¹L¬O¬°¤F¼W¥[§ë¸êªº¯«¯¦©Ê¡A¦nÅý§ë¸êÅU°Ý±o¥H±q¤¤¦È§Q½}¤F¡C
o¡u¤£n§â©Ò¦³Âû³J©ñ¦b¦P¤@ÓÄx¤l¸Ì¡vªºÂս׬O¿ù»~ªº¡A§ë¸êÀ³¸Ó¹³°¨§J-¦R·Å«ØÄ³ªº¡u§â©Ò¦³Âû³J©ñ¦b¦P¤@ÓÄx¤l¸Ì¡AµM«á¤p¤ß¦a¬Ý¦n¥¦¡v¡C
o¥ø·~¥D¶·¤F¸Ñ¨ä§Q¯q¡A¤D¨Ó¦Û©ó¥ø·~¤º¦b»ùÈ(Intrinsic Value)ªº¦¨ªø¡A¦Ó¤£¬O¨ä«ù¦³ªÑ²¼¤§µu´Áªi°Ê¡C
o¦p¦ó¥hºûÅ@ªÑªF³Ì¤jªºÅv¯q¡A¤£¶È¬OºÊ·þ¤@®a¥ø·~³Ì«nªº¶µ¥Ø¡A¤]¬O¤@Ó²z·QªººÞ²z¹Î¶¤ºn¤§¦Ò¶q¡C
o ¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡uªi§J®L¦³¨âºØ§C¦¨¥»¥BµL·ÀIªº¸êª÷¨Ó·½¡JÀ³¥I©Ò±oµ|»P«OÀI¯B¦sª÷¡C¡v
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oY¾ú¥v¸ê®Æ¬OP´I¤§Æ_ªº¸Ü¡A¨º»ò´I¤ñ¤h¥|¦Ê¤j´I»¨±N·|¦³¤@¤j°ï¹Ï®ÑÀ]û¡C
( "If history books were the key to riches, The Forbes Four Hundred would consist of librarians.")
O¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¶R¤Uªi§J®L¯¼Â´¼t¬O¥L²¦¥Í§ë¸ê©Ò¥Çªº²Ä¤@Ó¿ù»~¡C¡v
o ½Í¨ì¹ï©ó¦N¦C¨íÄG¤M«ùªÑªº¬Ýªk¡A¤Úµá¯S»¡¥L¨C±ß³£¯à¦wµM¤JºÎ¡A¥un·Q¨ì¹j¤Ñ¦¤W·|¦³¤G¤Q¤»õªº¨k©Ên¨íÄG¤l¡C
(Of Gillette holding: "It's pleasant to go to bed every night knowing there are 2.5 billion males in the world who have to shave in the morning.")
o ¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u³ß´µ¿}ªG·|Åý¦N¦C¤½¥qºX¤Uªº¼Ú¼ÖB¤ú¨ê¾P¸ô§ó¦n¡C¡v
o ©s®æ»¡¡J¡u³ß´µ¿}ªG¬O§ÚÌÀY¤@¦¸¬°«~µP¥I¥X¥N»ù¡C¡v¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡uY¨S¦³¶R¤U³ß´µ¿}ªG¡A´N¤£·|¦³¤§«áªº¥i¤f¥i¼Ö§ë¸ê¡C¡v
o ¤Úµá¯S¥L¦Û¤v³øµ|¡A¦ÛºÙ¬O¹q¸£¤åª¼¡AÁöµM¥L¤ñ±©¤@¤ñ¥L´I¦³ªº¤ñº¸»\¯÷µ²¬°¼°¤Í¡C
(Completes own tax returns. Proclaims computer illiteracy despite friendship with only American of greater net worth, Microsoft's Bill Gates).
o ¹ï©ó°ª¬ì§ÞªÑ¤Úµá¯S·qÁ¤£±Ó¡A¥L»¡: ¡u¹ï©ó°ª¬ì§Þ²£·~§Ų́ä£¨ã³Æ¿W¨ì²´¥ú¯à¬}±x¦óªÌ¯à¨ã¦³ªø¤[ªºÄvª§Àu¶Õ¡A©Ò¥H§Ú̹çÄ@¿ï¾Ü§ÚÌ©ÒÀ´ªº¡v
"We have no insights into which participants in the tech field possess a truly durable competitive advantage. We just stick with what we understand."
o¦Û1965¦~¤J¥Dªi§J®L¥H¨Ó¡A°£¤F´¿»P¥Lªº©d¤lÁp¦X®½ÃؤG¤d¤¦ÊªÑ(²{¦b»ùȤ@»õ¥|¤d¤¦Ê¸U¬ü¤¸)µ¹¥|®a·Oµ½¾÷ºc¥~¡A¤Úµá¯S±q¥¼±N¨ä«ùªÑ¥X°â¹L¡C
( Buffett still hasn't sold a share of the holding company he started in 1965, but he and wife Susan gave 2,500 shares, now worth $145 million, to four unnamed charities last December.)
o¤Úµá¯Sªí¥Ü¦b¥L»P¨ä©d¤l¦º«á¡A±N·|§â¥L̤j³¡¥÷ªº°]²£®½µ¹¤Úµá¯S°òª÷·|¡C
(Says bulk of his wealth will go to the Buffett Foundation when he and his wife pass away.)
o¬°¥®§¥~¬É¹ï¨äÄ~¥ô¤H¿ïªº²q´ú¡A¤Úµá¯Sº«×«ü¥X»\¥i«OÀI¤½¥qªº¸ô©ö¤h-¨¯´¶¥Í±N·|¦b¥L¦º«á±µ´À¥L»Pªø´Á¦X¹Ù¤H¬d²z©s®æ¡A°õ´xªi§J®L¤½¥q¡C
(To silence the after-Buffett-what? nattering, Buffett indicated in March that Geico Corp. executive Louis Simpson, 60, could succeed him and longtime partner Charlie Munger at helm of Berkshire Hathaway.)
o §Ú̱q¤£¡A¤]¨S¦³¡A¤]¤£·|¹ï¥¼¨Ó¤@¦~¤ºªºªÑ¥«¡B§Q²v©Î²£·~Àô¹Ò¦³¥ô¦ó¬Ýªk¡C
"We do not have, never have had, and never will have an opinion about where the stock market, interest rates or business activity will be a year from now."
o §Ú̱q¥¼·Q¨ìn¹w¦ôªÑ¥«¥¼¨Óªº¨«¶Õ¡C
oµu´ÁªÑ¥«ªº¹w´ú¬O¬rÃÄ¡AÀ³¸Ón§â¥LÌÂ\¦b³Ì¦w¥þªº¦a¤è¡A»·Â÷¨àµ£¥H¤Î¨º¨Ç¦bªÑ¥«¤¤ªº¦æ¬°¹³¤p«Ä¯ë¥®¸Xªº§ë¸ê¤H¡C
"Short-term market forecasts are poison and should be kept locked up in a safe place, away from children and also from grown-ups who behave in the market like children. "
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o ¦³¤H°Ý¤Úµá¯S¹wp¤°»ò®É«án°h¥ð¡A¥L¦^µª: ¡u¤j¬ù¦b§Ú¦º«á¤¨ì¤Q¦~¥ª¥k¡v¡C
Retirement date: "About 5 to 10 years after I die."
o ¦³¤H°Ý¤Úµá¯S¦º«á¡A¨ä©Ò§ë¸êªº¤½¥q·|¦³¤°»ò¼vÅT¡A¥L¦^µª: ¡u¥i¤f¥i¼Öµu´Á¶¡ªº¾P°â¶q¥i¯à·|Ãz¼W¡A¦]¬°§Ú¥´ºâ¦b³Â꺸¾÷ùض뺡¥i¤f¥i¼Ö¡v¡C
Retirement date: "About 5 to 10 years after I die."
o ¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¦³¥Í¤§¦~§Ú³£·|Ä~Äò¸gÀçªi§J®L¡A¤§«á§Ú¥i¯à·|³z¹L°¯«·|¤u§@¡C¡v
"We don't attempt to predict the movements of the stock market,"
o ¦bÁʨÖGeneral RE¤½¥q«á¡A½æ±¼¨ä©Ò«ù¦³Àò§Q¤£µá»ùÈ¥|¤Q¤»»õ¬üª÷ªº¬ü°ê¹s®§¤½¶Å«á¡A¶Å¨é¤´«ùÄò¤jº¦®É¡A¤Úµá¯S²H²H¦aªí¥Ü:¡u§Ú̧ë¤Jªº¦¡A¤£¹L½æ±o§ó¦¤F¤@ÂI¡v¡C
Uunloaded highly profitable $4.6 billion zero coupon U.S. Treasury position this year, but the Treasury zeroes kept climbing in price. "I got in early, and I got out early," he shrugs.
o¾¨ºÞ§Ú̪º²Õ´µn°O¬°¤½¥q¡A¦ý§Ú̬O¥H¦X¹Ùªº¤ßºA¨Ó¸gÀç¡C
(Although our form is corporate, our attitude is partnership.)
o ¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¤@¯ë¦@¦P°òª÷ªººÞ²z¶O¥Î¬O¦Ê¤À¤§¤@ÂI¤G¤¡A§ÚÌ«h¥u¦³¸U¤À¤§¤¡C¡v
o§Ú̦۵¹¦Û¨¬¡C
(We eat our own cooking) ¡C
o¥HGEICO³oÓcase¡A¤D¦Ü©ó§Ú̩Ҧ³ªº§ë¸ê¡A§Ú̬ݱo¬O¤½¥q¥»½èªºªí²{¦Ó«D¨äªÑ»ùªºªí²{¡A¦pªG§Ú̹綠¥qªº¬Ýªk¥¿½T¡A¥«³õ²×±NÁÙ¥¦¤@Ó¤½¹D¡C
(In GEICO case, as in all of our investments, we look to business performance, not market performance. If we are correct in expectations regarding the business, the market eventually will follow along.)
o Phil Graham¦b¾á¥ôµØ²±¹y¶l³øªºµo¦æ¤H®É´¿»¡:¡u·s»D¤é³ø¬O÷ݼg¾ú¥vªº²Ä¤@¤â¯ó½Z¡v¡A¦Ó«Ü¤£©¯ªº¡A²£ÀI·~ªÌ©Ò´£¨Ñªº¦~«×°]°È³ø§i¡A¤]¥iºÙ±o¤W¬O¸Ó¤½¥q¦~«×°]°È»P¸gÀ窬ªpªº²Ä¤@¤â¯ó½Z¡C (Phil Graham, when publisher of the Washington Post, described the daily newspaper as first rough draft of history? Unfortunately, the financial statements of a property/casualty insurer provide, at best, only a first rough draft of earnings and financial condition.)
o ¦bÁʨְê»Ú¨Å«~¤½¥q®É¤Úµá¯S»¡¨ì:¡u§Ú̧â¿úÂ\¦b¦Y±o¨ìªº¦a¤è¡v¡C
(In making the acquisition of Dairy Queen, he said, "We have put our money where our mouth is.")
o¦b1996¦~ªº¤½¥q¦~³ø¤¤¡A¤Úµá¯S»¡¦Û¤v¥¿¦b¬ã¨s¥i¤f¥i¼Ö¤½¥q100¦~«eªº¦~³ø¡]1896¦~¡^¡A¦Ó¨º®É¥i¤f¥i¼Öè°Ý¥@¬ù10¦~¡C·í®ÉªºÁ`µô§¢¼w°Ç»¡¹D¡J"¤j¬ù±q¤µ¦~3¤ë1¤é¶}©l¡K¡K§Ú̶±¦þ¤F10¦W»P¿ì¤½«Ç¦³¨t²ÎÁp¨tªº®È¦æ¾P°âû¡A³o¼Ë§ÚÌ´N´X¥GÂл\¤F¾ãÓ¦X²³°êªº»â¤g¡C"ÁöµM¨º¤@¦~¥i¤f¥i¼Öªº¾P°âÃB¤~14.8¸U¬ü¤¸¡A¦Ó1996¦~¤w°ª¹F¤j¬ù32»õ¬ü¤¸¡A¦ý¤Úµá¯S¹ï·í®É»â¾É¤Hªº¶¯¤ß»P§V¤O¤´¬OÃٹĤ£¤w¡C
o¤Úµá¯S´¿»¡¹L¤@Ó¬G¨Æ¡J¥LªºªB¤Í¦b¬Ý¨ì¥Lªº¤@¦¸«¤j§ë¸ê¥¢»~«á¡A°Ý¤Úµá¯S¡J"ÁöµM§A«Ü´I¦³¡A¬°¤°»ò³o»ò²Â©O?"
o¤Úµá¯S¦b1985¦~µ²§ôªi§J®L¯¼Â´³¡ªùÀç¹B®É¡A´¿¸ÑÄÀ¹D¡J¡u§Ṳ́£·|¦]¬°·Qn±N¥ø·~ªºÀò§Q¼Æ¦r¼W¥[¤@ӦʤÀÂI¡A«Kµ²§ô¤ñ¸û¤£ÁÈ¿úªº¨Æ·~¡A¦ý¦P®É§Ṳ́]ı±o¥u¦]¤½¥q«D±`ÁÈ¿ú«KµL±ø¥ó¥h¤ä«ù¤@¶µ§¹¥þ¤£¨ã«e´ºªº§ë¸êªº§@ªk¤£¤Ó§´·í¡A¨È·í ¥v±K´µ¤@©w¤£ÃÙ¦P§Ú²Ä¤@¶µªº¬Ýªk¡A¦Ó¥dº¸ °¨§J´µ«o¤S·|¤Ï¹ï§Ú²Ä¤G¶µ¨£¸Ñ¡A¦Ó±Ä¦æ¤¤±e¤§¹D¬O±©¤@¯àÅý§Ú·P¨ì¦w¤ßªº§@ªk¡C¡v
(I won¡¦t close down businesses of sub-normal profitability merely to add a fraction of a point to our corporate rate of return. However, I also feel it inappropriate for even an exceptionally profitable company to fund an operation once it appears to have unending losses in prospect. Adam Smith would disagree with my first proposition, and Karl Marx would disagree with my second; the middle ground is the only position that leaves me comfortable.)
o¤Úµá¯S¦b1985¦~µ²§ôªi§J®L¯¼Â´³¡ªùÀç¹B®É¡A¤S¸ÑÄÀ¹D¡J¡u¤@°¦¯à¼Æ¨ì¤Qªº°¨¬O°¦¤F¤£°_ªº°¨¡A«o¤£¬O¤F¤£°_ªº¼Æ¾Ç®a¡A¦P¼Ëªº¤@®a¯à°÷¦X²z¹B¥Î¸êª÷ªº¯¼Â´¤½¥q¬O¤@®a¤F¤£°_ªº¯¼Â´¤½¥q¡A¦ý«o¤£¬O¤°»ò¤F¤£°_ªº¥ø·~¡C¡v
(A horse that can count to ten is a remarkable horse - not a remarkable mathematician.? Likewise , a textile company that allocates capital brilliantly within its industry is a remarkable textile company - but not a remarkable business.)
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o 1950¦~¥N¤Úµá¯Sªá¤F¤@¦Ê¤¤Q¤¸¥h¤W¥d¤º°ò½Òµ{¡A¥L»¡³o»ò°µ¡u¤£¬O¬°¤FÅý§Ú¦bºtÁ¿®É½¥»\¤£·|µo§Ý¡A¦Ó¬On¾Ç·|¦p¦ó¦b½¥»\µo§Ý®É¡AÁÙ¯àÄ~ÄòºtÁ¿¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¦b¥L¥|¤Q¦h¦~ªº§ë¸ê¥Í¸Å¤¤¡A¥u¦³¾a¤Q¤GÓ§ë¸ê¨Mµ¦¡A³y´N¥L¤µ¤é»P²³¤£¦Pªº¦a¦ì¡C
o³\¦h¤Hª¼¥Ø§ë¸ê¡A±q¬Y¤è±¨Ó»¡µ¥©ó¬O³q®dª±µP¡A¦ý«o±q¥¼´¿¬Ý²M·¡¦Û¤v¤â¤¤ªºµP¡C
o¹ï©óªi§J®L±©¤@ªº°ø¨×«~-Ó¤H±M¾÷µLij¸¹¡A¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¥un§Ú¤@¦º¡Aªi§J®Lªº±b±¬Õ¾l¥ß¨è¥i¼W¥[¤@¦Ê¸U¡A¦]¬°¬d²zµLµø©ó§Ú§Æ±æ»P¤§¦P¸®ªº¤ßÄ@¡A¹j¤Ñ¤@©w°¨¤W§â¸¾÷³B¥÷±¼¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S¡J¡u§Ú¨¤W¬y¦³¦Ê¤À¤§¤Q¤¶O³·»P¦Ê¤À¤§¤K¤Q¤¸¯©Ôº~ªº¦å²G¡C¡v¥L¥»¨ªº§ë¸êµ¦²¤«Yµ²¦X¨âªÌ¤§©Òªø¡A¹ï¥ø·~»P¨ä¸gÀç¯S½è§@²`¤J¬ã¨s¡A«Y¾Ç¦Û¶O³·;¹ï©ó»ù®æ»P¼Æ¶q¤Wªº·§©À¡A«h·½¦Û©ó¸¯©Ôº~¡C
o¤Úµá¯S±N®¦®v¸¯©Ôº~¡u¥H§C»ù¶R¶i¬Y¤½¥qªÑ²¼¡A«Ý¤½¥q¦³Âà¾÷«á¦b°ª»ù½æ¥Xªº¤èªk¡vºÙ¤§¬°¡u·Ï§¾ªÑ§ë¸êªk¡v¡C
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¤Úµá¯S±µµÛ¤S»¡¡J¡u¦pªG§Aµo²{®Ê¯Åªº250°¦½Þ¦³200°¦¥þ¬O¬Y¹A³õ¨Óªº¡A¨º§A´N¥²¶·°Ý¡J¨ºÓ¹A³õÁý½Þªº¹}®Æ¦³¨S¦³¯S§O¤§³B? ¡v
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o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¤ñº¸»\¯÷¬O§Úªº¦nªB¤Í¡A¥L¥i¯à¬O¥@¬É¤W³ÌÁo©úªº¤H¡A¦Ü©ó¨º¤pªF¦è(«ü¹q¸£)¬O°µ¤°»ò¥Îªº§Ú¤@ÂI¤]¤£²M·¡¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¨S¦³¤½¦¡¯à§P©wªÑ²¼ªº¯u¥¿»ùÈ¡A°ß¤@¤èªk¬O¹ý©³¤F¸Ñ³o®a¤½¥q¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§AÀ³¸Ó¿ï¾Ü§ë¸ê¤@¨Ç³s²Â³J³£·|¸gÀ窺¥ø·~¡A¦]¬°Á`¦³¤@¤Ñ³o¨Ç¥ø·~·|¸¨¤J²Â³Jªº¤â¤¤¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡uY§A¤£¥´ºâ«ù¦³¤@¤äªÑ²¼¹F¤Q¦~¥H¤W¡A¨º»ò§A·íªì®Ú¥»´N¤£n¶R¶i¡C¡v
If you aren't willing to own a stock for ten years, don't even think about owning it for ten minutes.
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o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u·ÀI¬O¨Ó¦Û©ó§A¤£ª¾¹D§A¦b°µ¤°»ò¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¥u¦³°h¼é®É¡A§A¤~ª¾¹D½Ö¬O¦b¥úµÛ¨¤l´åªa¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S¹ï¤l¤kÌ»¡¡J¡u·Q¹L¶W¯Å´I¯Îªº¥Í¬¡¡A§O«ü±æ§A¦Ñª¨¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u´Nºâ¬O³Ç¦è¼Ú¤å´µªº¤p«Än°Ñ¥[¦Ê¤½¤ØÁɶ]¡A¤]¤£¯à¨É¨ü±q¤¤Q¤½¤Ø½u°_¶]ªº«Ý¹J¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S¤Ï¹ï¨ú®ø¿ò²£µ|¡A¥L»¡¡J¡u¨º´N¹³¬O¬D¿ï¤G¡³¡³¡³¦~¶ø¹B·|ª÷µP±o¥Dªºªø¤l¨Ó²Õ¦¨¤G¡³¤G¡³¦~°ÑÁɶ¤¥î¤@¼Ë¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u·Qn¦bªÑ¥«±q¨Æªi¬q¾Þ§@¬O¯«°µªº¨Æ¡A¤£¬O¤H°µªº¨Æ¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§Ú±q¤Q¤@·³¶}©l´N¦b§@¸êª÷¤À°t³oÓ¤u§@¡A¤@ª½¨ì²{¦b³£¬O¦p¦¹¡C¡v
"I've been allocating capital since I was 11 and plan to just keep doing it. "
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡uªi§J®L´N¹³¬O°Ó·~¬Éªº¤j³£·|¬ü³NÀ]¡A§Ṵ́¾·R¦¬¶°·í¥N³Ì°¶¤jªº¥ø·~¡C¡v
"We like to think we're the Metropolitan Art Museum of businesses. We want to attract masterpieces."
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¥|¤Q¤¦~«e§Ú¬Ý¨ì¾÷·|«o¨S¤°»ò¿ú¡A¥|¤Q¤¦~«á§Ú¦³¿ú«o§ä¤£¨ì¾÷·|¡C¡v
Forty-five years ago, I had lots of ideas and no money. Today, I have a lot of money but no ideas."
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¤£§ë¸ê¬ì§ÞªÑµ´¹ï¤£¬O°g«H¤£°g«Hªº°ÝÃD¡C¡v
"It's no religious thing why we don't invest in technology.
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§ÚÌ¥R¥÷¤F¸Ñ¬ì§Þ¬°¾ãÓªÀ·|©Ò±a¨Óªº«K§Q»P§ïÅÜ¡A¥u¬O¨S¦³¤H¯à¹w´ú©¹«á¤Q¦~³o¨Ç¬ì§Þ¤½¥q·|ÅÜ«ç¼Ë¡A§Ú±`¸ò¤ñº¸»\¯÷¤Î¦w}¸¯¬¥¤Ò¦b¤@°_¡A¥L̤]¤£´±«OÃÒ¡C¡v
"We understand technology, how businesses can apply it, its benefits, impact on society, etc. It's the predictability of the economics of the situation 10 years out that we don't understand. We would be skeptical that anyone can. I've spent a lot of time with Bill Gates and Andy Grove and they would say the same thing."
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§Ú¹ïÁ`Åé¸gÀÙ¤@¬¤£³q¡A¶×²v»P§Q²v®Ú¥»µLªk¹w´ú¡A¦n¦b§Ú¦b§@¤ÀªR»P¿ï¾Ü§ë¸ê¼Ðªº®É®Ú¥»¤£¥h²z·|¥¦¡C¡v
"I'm no good on these macro predictions. The good thing about my economic predictions is that I pay no attention to them whatsoever. We focus on what's important and knowable. Exchange rates and interest rates are not predictable. The way we pick our investments, macro conclusions never enter the discussion."
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§Ú·Q§Ú¤£·|§ë¸ê¶Àª÷¡A¦]¬°§Ú¬Ý¤£¥X±N³oºØª÷Äݱq«n«Dªº¦a©³«õ¥X¡A¦A§â¥¦©ñ¨ìºÖ§J´µ³ùªºª÷®w¤¤¦³¦ó·N¸q¡C¡v
that's dug up out of the ground in South Africa and put back in the ground at Fort Knox.
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o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§Q²v´N¹³¬O§ë¸ê¤Wªº¦a¤ß¤Þ¤O¤@¼Ë¡C¡v
the effect of interest rate--like the invisible pull of gravity--is constantly there.
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§Ṵ́¾·Rªº«ùªÑ´Á¬O¥Ã»·¡C¡v
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡uY¦³¤H¸ò§A½Í½Ñ¦pBetaµ¥¥«³õ®Ä²v²z½×ªºªF¦è®É¡A»°§Ö°{¤H¡C¡v
Buffett: "If someone starts talking to you about beta, zip up your pocketbook."
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§ë¸êªº±K³Z¦b©ó¡A¬Ý¨ì§O¤H³g¤ß®Én·P¨ì®`©È¡A¬Ý¨ì§O¤H®`©È®ÉnÅܱo³g¤ß¡C¡v
Buffett: The secret to investing is to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.
o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u°ò¥»¤W¡A§Ú¤§©Ò¥H¥[¤J¥Á¥DÄÒ¬O¦]¬°·íªì§Úı±o¥Á¥DÄÒªº¥ÁÅv¬Fµ¦»P§ÚªºÆ[©À¸û±µªñ¡C¡v
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o¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u¸¯©Ôº~±Ð§Ú§ë¸ê§C»ùªÑ¡A¬O©s®æÀ°§U§Ú×¥¿³o¸ô½u¡A³o¬O¥L¹ï§Ú³Ì¤jªº¼vÅT¡C¡v
o¬d²z©s®æ»¡¡J¡u§Ú¤@ª½¥H´IÄõ§JªL§@¬°§Ú¥Í¬¡ªº¨å½d¡A¥L¥|¤Q¤G·³Ãã±¼¤u§@¡A±M¤ß°µ¤@¦ì§@®a¡B°ê·|ijû¡B¤H¹D¥D¸qªÌ¡B§ë¸ê¤H»P¬ì¾Ç®a¡C³o¬O¬°¤°ºN§Ún°ö¾i¥ø·~¥H¥~¿³½ìªºì¦]¡v
o¬d²z©s®æ»¡¡J¡uºô¸ô»P¬ì§Þ¬°¾ãÓªÀ·|©Ò±a¨Óªº§Q»P¹ú¡A´N¦n¹³¬O¸²µå°®¸òª¯«Ë¤@¼Ë¡A¤£¹L¨âªÌ²V¦b¤@°_«á¡AÁÙ¬O¤@°ïª¯«Ë¡C¡v
Charlie Munger, on the benefits that the Internet and technology are providing to society compared to the evils of stock speculation in these sectors: "When you mix raisins and turds, you've still got turds."
o¬d²z©s®æ»¡¡J¡u¹ï¾ãÓªÀ·|¨Ó»¡¡Aºô¸ô©Î³\¤£¿ù¡A¦ý¹ï¸ê¥»®a¦Ó¨¥¡A«oµ´¹ï¬OÓt¼Æ¡A¦]¬°ÁöµMºô¸ô¯à¼W¥[¥ø·~ªº®Ä²v¡A¦ý¹ïÀò§Q«o¤@ÂIÀ°§U¦³¨S¦³¡C¡v
"For society, the Internet is wonderful, but for capitalists, it will be a net negative. It will increase efficiency, but lots of things increase efficiency without increasing profits.
o¬d²z©s®æ»¡¡J¡uªi§J®Lªº¥ø·~§@·¬O¬Û·í¦Ñ¦¡«O¦uªº¡A¤j·§¸ò´IÄõ§JªL©Î¥d¤º°ò®t¤£¦h¡AÃø¹D§A»{¬°¥d¤º°ò¦³¥i¯à·|½ÐÅU°Ý¨Ó±Ð¥L¦p¦ó§@¥Í·N¶Ü?? §Ú̺X¤Uªº¥ø·~¤å¤Æ¤]¤j¦h¬O¦p¦¹¡C¡v
Munger: "Our culture is very old-fashioned, like Ben Franklin or Andrew Carnegie. Can you imagine Andrew Carnegie hiring consultants?! It's amazing how well this approach still works. A lot of the businesses we buy are kind of cranky and old-fashioned like us."
o¬d²z©s®æ»¡¡J¡u§Ú¹ê¦b¤£¾å±o·L³n¨ì©³¥Ç¤F¤°»ò¸o¡AY·L³n¯uªº¦³¸o¡A¨ºªi§J®LºX¤Uªº¥ø·~À³¸Ó¾Ç¾Ç¦p¦ó¥h¥Ç³oºØ¸o¡C¡v
It's hard for me to see why Microsoft is sinful to do this. If it's a sin, then I hope all of Berkshire Hathaway's subsidiaries are sinners.
O¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u©U§£¶Å¨éÁ`¦³¤@¤Ñ·|Åܦ¨¦W²Å¨ä¹êªº©U§£¡C¡v
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Berkshire's stock, which Buffett wouldn't dream of splitting--he sends birthday greetings to friends that say, "May you live until Berkshire splits"
O¤Úµá¯S±À³\¶ø¬ü¼s§i³Ð¿ì¤HªººÞ²zõ¾Ç¡u¦pªG§Ú̶±¥Î¤@°ï¤ñ§Ú̸G¤pªº¤H¡A¨º»ò§ÚÌ·|Åܦ¨¤@°ï¨Ü¾§¡A¦ý¬Û¤Ï¦aY§Ú̶±¥Î¤@°ï¤ñ§Ṵ́ª¤jªº¤H¡A¨º»ò§Ú̲ױNÅܦ¨¤@¸s¥¨¤H¡v
We subscribe to the philosophy of Ogilvy & Mather¡¦s founding genius, David Ogilvy: "If each of us hires people who are smaller than we are, we shall become a company of dwarfs. But, if each of us hires people who are bigger than we are, we shall become a company of giants."
Asked by an 11-year-old shareholder what he attributed to successful investing, Munger replied: "If all you succeed in doing in life is getting rich by buying little pieces of paper, it's a failed life. Life is more than being shrewd in passive wealth accumulation."
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Julian Robertson's Tiger Fund and George Soros' Quantum Fund
"We don't consider ourselves in remotely the same business as Tiger and Quantum [both of which recently announced that they are closing down]. They are mostly buying and selling securities. We're structured poorly from a tax standpoint to own securities." (Corporations like Berkshire Hathaway pay a 35% tax rate on capital gains compared to 20% on long-term gains realized by private investment partnerships like Tiger and Quantum.) Munger added, "Soros couldn't bear to see others make money in the technology sector without him, and he got killed. It doesn't bother us at all [that others are making money in the tech sector]."
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O¤Úµá¯S»¡¡J¡u§Ú¹ï1929¦~ªºªÑ¥«¤j±Y½L·P¨ü¯S§O²`¨è¡A·í®É§Ú¤÷¿Ë¬OӪѲ¼Àç·~û¡A¬°¤F¸úÁ׺G¾D®M¨cªº«È¤á¡A¥u¦n¾ã¤ÑºÛ¦b®aùØ¡A¦Ó§Aª¾¹D¨º®É¹qµøÁÙ¤£¬O¨º»ò¦a´¶¤Î¡A©Ò¥H...¶â¡K§Ú¥À¿Ë¤j·§´N¬O¨º®É«áÃh¤F§Ú¡A¤j¬ù¤EÓ¤ë«á¡A§Ú©ó1930¦~ªº¤K¤ë¤T¤QµÁµÁ¸¨¦a¡C¡v
I'm quite fond of 1929, since that's when it all began for me. My dad was a stock salesman at the time, and after the Crash came, in the fall, he was afraid to call anyone--all those people who'd been burned. So he just stayed home in the afternoons. And there wasn't television then. Soooo ... I was conceived on or about Nov. 30, 1929 (and born nine months later, on Aug. 30, 1930), and I've forever had a kind of warm feeling about the Crash.
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