The Gold Trading Game
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So you
want to test your luck and skill in trading gold? You've come to the
right place. I've just written a simulation game (it's a REALLY simple
one, just text). I couldn't figure out how to compile it, so you'll
have to download the game and the "interpreter," as they're called, to
run it. Don't worry, it's really easy, I promise! I've tested it out
and it does run in Vista, though only in a small window. It's all right
though. Probably won't work on a Mac, but try it out. Click the links
below to download.
Click here to go to download QBasic
Right-click and save destination as here to download the game itself.
Instructions:
There's no need to "install" QBasic, just unzip it into a new folder
somewhere sensible you'll remember and you're ready to go. Run
(double-click) QBasic (the executable file, not the help file). Once in
the program, go to the file menu, choose open, and select the file
"gold.bas," which you should also have downloaded from this webpage.
The game itself:
You'll be asked to enter your age in years. This is then used to
calculate your age in months, which will be displayed throughout the
game. You will gain $200 per month that you set aside from working to
invest in gold as long as you work. When you turn 65 (month 780) you
will retire and it will cost you $2000 a month to live. You can
continue trading in gold during your retirement of course, but you must
have amassed enough wealth by then to live off gold trading alone. If
you're not too old and have some skills it should be fairly easy. Oh
yeah, you die at some point, too. You'll get a negative message if you
leave your kids with nothing or, worse, debt!
Some tips for cheaters: Only read this if you're lame. Here are some tips for doing well:
- Remember: buy low and sell high. Never sell the gold for less than you bought it for! The gold price will fluctuate, be patient!
- The
gold price will fluctuate, but the laws of supply and demand will seek
equilibrium. This means the gold price will not rise or fall forever,
it will always turn around sometime as supply is reduced due to low
returns or increased due to high profits
- The higher the price,
the higher the risk that investors will suddenly get nervous and pull
out. Price collapses of up to 50% are possible!
- Supply shocks
can happen at any time, sending the price skyrocketing for 1-2 months.
For you, these things are good. Ride the wave. If you think it's a
supply shock, be sure to sell your gold before production gets back
online and drives the price back down as fast as it came up!
- The
price will tend to recover after a collapse in demand, but it will not
return to its peak. Conversely, supply may return to its peak or even
surpass it after a supply shock (meaning the price will return down to
higher than where it was before the shock, or may even drop below the pre-shock price).