THOUGHTS ON THE GOLDBACH CONJECTURE

GC: Every even number (N) is the sum of two odd primes (P_i) & (P_j).

Conditions:  P_i < P_j,  P_i + P_j => N, for all P_i < N, P_n < N, P_(n+1) > N

General Statistics of Prime Numbers.

Number of Primes Less than N = PI ~ N/LN(N).

Average Interval Between Primes (in the vicinty of N) = LN(5*N).  Note this is a
conservative estimate based on the premise that the average interval between all
primes less than N is LN(N) and the supposition that the interval in the vicinity
of N is should be slightly greater than LN(N); but less than the average interval between all primes less than 10*N. ie, LN(10*N). 

HYPOTHESIS:  For every P_i in the range 3 to P_i > P_j, there is a P_j such that
             P_i + P_(j-1) < N <= P_i + P_j

GOAL.  To predict the probability that P_i + P_j = N.  For any given prime pair,
the sum is close to N but not necessarily equal to N.  Consider all of the PP's
whose sums are in the range N to N + 8. This means that the sum of a pair in this
range must be N, N+2, N+4, N+6 or N+8.  A priori, it is reasonable to assume that
the sums are evenly distributed amomg these 5 numbers.     


Let P_i + P_j = N_k.
We need an acceptable value for k.  K cannot be too high or P_i + P_(j-1) > N_0
If k is too low, the probabilities will be skewed. 




The nominal interval between successive primes is I = LN(N).  This means that
for approximately half of the prime pairs; the range for N_k is approximately
LN(N). 


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QUESTION:  For a specific N, how many P_i's;ie (I) are there in the specified range.
ANSWer:    There are nominally PI/2 = N/(2*(LN(N)) = I such primes. 

SIMPLE EXAMPLE:  If N = 50, then

           P_i    P_(j-1)   P_j
            3       43      47
            5       43      47
            7       41      43
           11       37      43
           13       31      37
           17       31      37 
           19       29      31
           23       23      29

The expected values are;  PI = 50/LN(50) =  12.7.  Actual = 14.
Note that there are more than 7 P_i's.  This is natural as there are typically more primes less than N/2 than there are primes greater than N/2. 

Let's consider a very large N; say 10*10^17.  Now we must use statistical properties
in our analysis. 

PI = (10*10*17)/LN(10*10^17) = 2.413*10^16
I =  1.207*10^16

 





       






























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