#1 Explain the difference between how a realist vs. globalist
would react toward the Bosnian situation? Does this change if
you are American vs. European?
The realist would evaluate whether the conflict
in Bosnia impacts his own states interests. If his states interests
or power could be increased by acting in Bosnia, then the realist
would take action. However, a globalist is much more likely to
become involved regardless of impact on his states interests.
Because globalists believe in the evolution of one world community,
they would take action on the Bosnia issue perpetuating the evolution
toward a world community.
#2 How does a realist vs. globalist view agreements like NAFTA?
The realists view would depend on whether
his state received benefit from the agreement. If the realists
state gained power from the agreement, they would regard NAFTA
positively. However, the globalist would view NAFTA positively
regardless. The globalist would see this as another step toward
a united world community.
#3 What is the biggest difference between globalism and other
forms of idealism?
The Globalist would not have a policy of exclusion
or separatism. Because the globalism believes there is a trend
toward world unity, they would establish policy that encouraged
the conversion of individual communities into a greater world
community. Globalist believe these agreements are the beginning
of a world community.
#4 What would a realist vs globalist identify as the most significant
world trend today?
The realist would identify the proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) as the most important world
issue. Since WMD increases the military power of the state, they
also decrease the power of competitor states. The globalist would
identify the emergence of global and regional treaties and agreements
as the most significant trend. Global believe these agreements
are the beginning of a world community.
#5 Define ethnocentrism and mirror-imaging.
Ethnocentrism is the natural and sub-conscious
process of using our beliefs, values, religions, cultures and
emotions as standards to judge all actors. Mirror imaging is the
process of making assumptions and inferences about actors based
on our own values, religious, culture and emotions.
#6 Explain the dangers of interpreting world events through our
own biases.
Our own biases and perceptions act as filters
which prohibit us from clearly understanding the motivations behind
another actors behavior. Because we all do not share the same
history, culture, geography, religion, etc., we can easily misinterpret
another actors behavior to be counter to our own interests. This
often leads to conflict and hostilities which are difficult to
resolve.
#7 How can we help reduce the biases which prevent us from clearly
interpreting world events?
General methods for reducing bias include:
Keeping an open mind; Staying focused on objectives and end
state rather than emotions which can cloud issues; Educating the
public about true issues rather than faulty perceptions; Using
the tools of critical analysis to understand the contextual events
surrounding an action; Valuing the importance of understanding
culture; and understanding that the depth of knowledge necessary
to fully appreciate a complex issue takes time.
#8 What will constitute power and wealth in the future?
Knowledge. Neither raw materials nor human
muscle will be the source of power, but the application of the
human mind. Such knowledge could be laboriously developed, or
it could be transferred, bought, stolen, or imported through immigration.
But those who will make it, will be those who develop their electronic
and information infrastructures.
#9 What effect will this have on the developing countries?
They will have to rethink their methods of
survival. Some will succeed, others will collapse. During the
Cold War, some lesser developed countries were able to sell their
strategic location. Strategic geography was a valuable commodity.
This is no longer the case. The bulk raw material producers will
not fare well. The industrialized nations will need many different
resources, but in smaller quantities. Certain traditionally used
resources will be virtually worthless. Knowledge will allow us
to do more with less. In the past, low-skill labor was an essential
production input. But cheap labor is no longer the path to development.
Cheap labor has now become expensive. Hence, many overseas production
facilities may relocate to the First World. This means that the
fast economies will decouple from the slow. Many will become marginalized.
This will be dangerous if such states acquire advanced weaponry.
#10 What did Hughes, in the reading excerpted from Continuity
and Change in World Politics, mean by Knodratieff cycles?
Kondratieff cycles are approximately fifty
to sixty years in the world economy. The theory stipulates that
after the initial innovation, and related economic growth, a period
of diminishing productivity improvements and slower growth follows.
Although the technologies (as inventions) for a new upswing are
often available throughout the downturn, they initially contribute
little to productivity improvements. Some have made the argument
that these long waves of technological advance may affect both
economic performance and conflict between states.
#11 What are the three difficulties Hughes identifies in the
effort to deny technology to specific states?
1) Problem associated with dual use technology.
For example, technology included in construction equipment may
also be applicable to the design and manufacture of tanks. 2)
Many technologies are difficult to trace and hence difficult
to pinpoint its origin. 3) Many countries have circumvented
restrictions with an extensive network for economic and military
technology espionage, using diplomatic missions, exchange students,
and other personnel.
#12 Explain how the modernization and dependency theories of
economic development differ.
The modernization theory of economic development
is based on the belief that economic development requires the
rejection of traditional patterns of behavior, value, and organization,
and the acceptance of new patterns of behavior, value, and organization
more conducive to economic development. Modernization theorists
point out the need for an educated population; widespread acceptance
of science, technology, and the scientific method throughout society;
increased secularization; urbanization; division of labor; rule
by law rather than edict; a system of social and economic rewards
based on; greater social mobility among people and classes; and
tolerance for diversity, innovation, and change. On the other
hand, dependency theorists believe that industrialization began
in Europe, North America, and Japan in the absence of external
competition. In today's world, countries attempting to develop
economically face immense external competition and this competition
prevents economic growth. The First World's economic development
was underwritten by the inexpensive raw material and labor of
the Developing World. Modernization theorists argue the economic
gap between rich and poor states is due to the industrialized
worlds exploitation of less fortunate regions of the world and
the unfair advantage early economic development provided European
states and other industrialized states.
#13 Briefly describe how US economic power has declined over
the years.
The decline in US economic power can be seen
by the rise of international trading blocs, the recent trend toward
greater regionalization, the growth of intra-regional trade, and
the demise of the Bretton Woods economic system.
#14 Describe how Multinational Corporations (MNC) influence the
emerging global economy.
Because of their size, MNCs yield impressive
economic, political, and social power. Multinational corporations
can make or break a local economy and in the cases of smaller
states, even a national economy They provide investment funds,
jobs, advanced technologies, and educational services. Collectively,
MNCs possess the ability to influence exchange rates. Most large
MNCs are based in the developed industrialized world. Developing
World states see MNCs as instruments of economic imperialism,
also known as neocolonialism. Economic growth rate can be accelerated
or retarded by corporate decisions. Because of the MNC, state
governments have lost some of their ability to influence and control
decisions within their own states. MNCs have been accused of
destroying traditional cultures by the increased use of sophisticated
advertising techniques, and replacing their culture with local
versions of American and Western European consumer societies.
According to critics of MNCs, continued unbridled operation of
MNCs in developing countries will inevitably lead to more unemployment,
more environmental degradation, poorer nutrition and health standards,
and ignore inequitable distribution of wealth in those countries.
#15 What differentiates civilizations from each other?
Huntington identifies several characteristics
which differentiates civilizations from each other. These include
history, language, culture, tradition, and his most important
characteristic, religion. He also observes that civilizations
have different views regarding relations between God and man,
individual and the group, citizen and the state, and members
of a family. Civilizations also differ on questions of rights
and responsibilities, liberty and authority, and equality and
hierarchy. Such differences are the product of centuries and transcend
mere ideologies or specific political regimes that are passing
phenomena. Actors: The President, Secretaries of State and Defense,
Generals Powell and Schwarzkopf, Congress, the media, US oil companies,
etc.**Factors: *-- Discussion of the legislative restrictions
on the use of force (War Powers Resolution Act)*-- General public
approval of the Presidents actions throughout the crisis.*-- The
volatile price of oil and wide swings in the stock market while
the US was struggling with a recession-prone economy.
#16 As attractive as Huntington's argument is, it is not without
its vulnerabilities. What are some of the weaknesses?
Nation-states rather than civilizations fight.
Both World Wars and Desert Storm saw members of the same civilizations
engaged in battle against each other. The bloodiest war-related
atrocities are committed in civil wars-among members of similar
cultures. In Bosnia, Westerners have supported Muslims against
Orthodox Serbs and Catholic Croatians. He does not sufficiently
allow for the convergence of civilizations--which may be greatly
expedited in the modern information age. Many traditional attributes
of civilizations are rapidly diminishing in their importance as
distinguishing features. Delineating between civilizations is
also a messy task. It cannot be done as neatly as Huntington presents
it. Huntington may be overvaluing the religious factor.
#17 Describe the three phases of the Arab-Israeli conflict?
This is an evolving and dynamic conflict because
the many wars between the Arabs and Israelis failed to resolve
their underlying concerns. This conflict has undergone three
phases beginning with the Balfour Declaration in 1917. The second
phase began with the war of 1948 and ended with the Six-Day War
of 1967. The rise of Pan-Arabism and integral unity of the Arab
world and the elimination of Israel dominated this phase. The
third phase began with the end of the 1967 war and continues today.
The seizure of Egyptian, Jordanian and Syrian territory benefited
Israel as long as the US provided military, diplomatic and economic
support. This seizure of territory caused Egypt, Jordan and Syria
focus their national interest as opposed to their Arab interest,
recovery of Palestine, from phase two.
#18 Why has this conflict not been resolved during its cycle
of warfare?
Although, this conflict shared certain characteristics
with other prolonged conflicts, it soon became a protracted conflict.
During the three phases major Arab actors concluded the status
quo of no war, no peace gave its side time to prepare for the
next war. The Israelis favored a protracted strategy since it
seemed their best chance for survival and territorial expansion.
This changed in 1973 for Egypt and Israel largely because of
the American involvement and the 1973 war.
#19 What are the basic attributes common to all systems?
In your readings Rolf described a system as
"a collection of components, interacting for a purpose."
Every "system encompasses three major concepts. First,
there is "time" - that is, how a system changes over
time. Second, there is "accumulation" - that is, how
flows/rates are accumulated into stock. Third, there is "feedback"
- which is analysis of the system.
#20 Describe the strategic environment in systems terms.
According to Rolf a system has two descriptive
qualities. These are: the materials flowing through the system,
and the structure that contains and controls their flow. Having
described its qualities, he goes on to define what a system
is: A system is a collection of components, interacting
for a purpose. Viewed in those terms, the strategic environment
can be seen in terms of the behavior of the various components
of the international system, as they interact for their own varying
purposes. Most of these components are states, although we know
there are many non-state actors as well (NGOs, MNCs, etc.). The
materials they use can be violence, funds, forms of information
- and all are contained within various structures, such as military
organizations, banking channels, telecommunications nets. Papp
uses various diagrams to show models of possible systems of interacting
components, in this case varying groupings of states. In the
context of his text, they are trying to form up in different ways
to reach an international power equilibrium, or a self-protective
balance of power. He is very clear these initial diagrams are
simplistic. Later on he makes things more complex. He lists
numerous actors, analogous to Rolfs components, which individual
states must interact with. These include other states, IGOs,
MNCs, and NGOs. Then he examines purposes some of these various
actors might pursue, with greater or lesser success depending
on the circumstances of what other actor they interact with.
His conclusion is that taken together, all international actors
plus their interactions with one another form an international
system. And Papp understands that over time, as actors, their
capabilities, and interests change, so does the system, itself.
So he leaves room for system dynamics, quoting Raymond Aron in
seeing continuous interactions of actors creating an ever-changing
international system that defies simplistic explanations.
#21 What are the sources of international law? Provide examples
of each.
There are four recognized sources of international
law: First, International conventions and treaties. Examples
of this include the Hague and Geneva Conventions, the UN Charter,
and bilateral treaties such as SALT I. Second, international
custom, as evidence of a general practice accepted as law. An
example of this includes the Nuremberg trials of the major war
criminals. Many of the convictions were based on crimes against
humanity. Third, the general principles of law recognized by
civilized nations. Examples here include: military necessity
(i.e., do only that which is necessary to obtain a legitimate
military objective); proportionality (i.e., balancing the value
of the objective against the anticipated collateral damage that
will result); humanity (i.e., avoid inflicting unnecessary suffering--for
example dum dum bullets, which are hollow-nosed, expand greatly
upon impact and inflict unnecessary pain). Fourth, judicial decisions
and scholarly writings of the most highly qualified publicists
(i.e., decisions of the International Court of Justice and the
writings of luminaries such as Grotius and St. Augustine.
#22 Briefly explain and contrast the law of war (a.k.a. the law
of armed conflict) and rules of engagement.
The law of war and its obligations thereunder
are that which US forces must follow in all situations (DoD Directive
5100.77). Rules of Engagement (ROE) on the other hand, are directives
issued by competent military authority which delineate the circumstances
and limitations under which US forces will initiate and/or continue
combat engagement with other forces (Joint Pub 1-02). Because
ROE are developed with political and diplomatic considerations
in mind--in addition to the legal considerations prompted by the
law of war--the ROE in a given situation will often restrict the
nature and/or scope of planned armed operations beyond that which
is required by the law of war.
#23 Identify and explain the reasons states observe the law of
war.
There are essentially three reasons states
observe the law of war: political, military and humanitarian.
Politically, its important to bear in mind that wars are fought
for political purposes (i.e., a desired strategic end state) by
military means. Violations of the law of war can engender negative
press coverage which can affect domestic support for the use of
force and world opinion. Militarily, violations can stiffen enemy
resistance and make surrender less probable (e.g., consider the
fact that in the waning days of World War II that German forces
surrendered in droves on the western front, but fought bitterly
on the eastern front. In addition, the proper, non-excessive
use of force ensures maximum force is brought to bear against
military objectives--the enemy's center(s) of gravity and not
wasted on diversionary or counterproductive targets. Finally,
from a humanitarian perspective, its simply the right thing to
do and helps ensure you win the peace as well as the war. In
your reading on General Powell's Report to Congress on the conduct
of the Persian Gulf War, you can contrast the keen observance
of the law of war by the U.S. against Iraq's flagrant violations
and overall cavalier regard. In this regard, consider the positive
and negative effects which emanated from those two approaches.
#24 In General Powell's Report to Congress he discusses the law
of war considerations surrounding the deliberate breaching operation
by the 1st Infantry (Mechanized) at the outset of the ground campaign--which
involved the live burial of entrenched Iraqi troops. You should
be able to use the operation to analyze the different law of war
considerations involved.
Military necessity required a violent, rapid
attack. Had the breaching operation stalled, the larger main
effort by VII Corps would have been affected--resulting in operational
failure a well as extensive Coalition casualties. Although lives
would undoubtedly have been saved, there is no requirement to
give an opposing force an opportunity to surrender prior to commencement
of an engagement (assuming hostilities are on-going) or else the
element of surprise would be lost. In addition, the more difficult
question emanates from the intentional burial of soldiers who
attempted to surrender at the very last moment--again military
necessity (the rapid forward movement of the operation) precluded
stopping the advance to accept scattered attempted surrenders
(which is a nice way of saying, [S]orry pal too late).
#25 Explain some of the motives for nation-states to enter treaties
and other agreements.
The motives for entering into international
agreements range from altruistic global concerns to unadorned
self-interest. Through a variety of international conventions
and understandings, states have attempted to limit the potential
consequences of external influences and threats from both military
and non-military sources. The self-interests of emerging regional
powers, the transfer of technologies, and posturing to protect
economic interests will force treaty and alliance signatories
and non-signatories to reexamine the appropriateness of compliance.
At the same time, the very nature of an uncertain future will
prompt more nations to seek the perceived stability of international
agreements.
#26 How do signatories to agreements enforce compliance?
The signatories use a variety of measures
to enforce compliance. Agreements usually contain mechanisms
to resolve disputes. These mechanisms may range from bilateral
discussions, to on-site inspections and verification, to mediation
through regional (e.g., the Organization for Security and Cooperation
in Europe) or international forums (e.g., the International Court
of Justice). Signatories may also choose to bring political pressure
on the violator by publicizing accusations through the media and
influencing world opinion.
#27 What effect has the breakup of the USSR had on such treaties
as CFE.
The breakup has changed the terms of the agreement
as well as the legal obligations of the successor states. Since
the USSR no longer exists as a legal entity, the successor states,
particularly Russia, have sought to renegotiate the terms of compliance.
As nation-states break apart, agreements may have to be renegotiated
to reflect the changed borders and political realities.
#28 What possible trends might we see in terms of cooperative
agreements for the developing and developed worlds.
We may expect the integration of regional
economies to form larger and more powerful--hence competitive--economic
units. However, these different integrative units will have to
be adapted to local needs, since models such as the European Union
are not appropriate for every such effort. The poor states must
stabilize politically if they are to attract vital foreign investors
and economic partners. Their high population growth rates must
be controlled as these countries' scant economic progress is quickly
negated. The nonviable states will soon require drastic measures
if their basic humanitarian needs are to be addressed. Alternatively,
the rest of the world must gird for an ever increasing amount
of destabilization and refugees fleeing from numerous conflicts.
#29 Cite examples of integration in Europe and what they mean
for that region.
The reunification of Germany and efforts to
strengthen the European Union are two examples of integration.
These developments reflect the changes in the regional environment
since the end of the Cold War. Western European countries are
taking steps to increase their cooperation in order to derive
collective economic, technological, and political benefits. They
seek reduced trade barriers, a common currency, and increased
security through a common defense and foreign policy.
#30 Cite examples of fragmentation in Europe and what they mean
for that region.
The breakup of Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia
earlier this decade reflect the re-emergence of nationalism and
ethnic strife. While the peaceful breakup of Czechoslovakia was
described as the velvet divorce, the violent breakup of Yugoslavia
threatened to spill over into neighboring countries and draw other
countries into the conflict in a way similar that World War I
dragged countries into a conflagration.
#31 What problems does NATO face in the future?
The reasons for NATO's original creation no
longer exist. However, there remains uncertainty about Europe,
especially Russia and Eastern Europe. Expanding NATO with the
inclusion of some East European states is problematic. The West
has introduced the "Partners for Peace" program--which
allows for greater interaction between West and East, but without
extending full membership to the East. NATO membership may be
offered to select countries in 1997 if certain political, military
and economic criteria are met.
#32 Are the problems of integration and fragmentation in Europe
similar to those found in other regions of the world?
Yes; Europe is grappling with political, economic,
social and technological issues that profoundly affect its security
and prosperity. In other regions of the world, we find similar
turbulence caused by changes wrought by immigration, environmental
pollution, technological advances, nationalism and ethnic/tribal
strife.
#33 Examine the concept of modernity, and apply the concept in
analyzing whether it will permit an inherently asymmetric culture
(free market economy with authoritarian political regime) or whether
it will necessitate liberalization of other aspects of the culture
in congruence with a free market economic system.
Mr. Bell, in his article, Will the Twenty-First
Century be the Pacific Century? states: At its best, modernity
has meant the extension of personal freedom, particularly in life
styles. At its worst, modernity has meant the overstepping of
boundaries to encourage drugs, pornography, libertinism, and the
lack of individual responsibility for ones actions. With this
as a guide, you should first understand that there is no one right
answer to this question, but only an educated guess. Ms. Woo-Cumings
argues in The New Authoritarianism in East Asia reading
that the ideal statist utopia of free market economics without
a concomitant loss of political control is difficult as it actually
represents the age-old picture of a state in the capitalist developmental
phase--portending future liberalization in the political systems
(notably Chinas) as progress proceeds. Ms. Woo-Cumings point
in elaborated upon in detail by Mr. Segal in his article--Chinas
Changing Shape. On the other hand, Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong
of Singapore argues (to his own people) that the liberal political
structure of the West (with all its attendant ills) can not only
be avoided--but should be actively guarded against and beaten
back. The Prime Minister argues that it is his peoples fealty
to conservative family-oriented values that have permitted Singapore's
economic advancement to date, and will determine whether it continues.
#34 Identify various forms of bias: ethnocentrism (the belief
in the inherent superiority of ones own group) and xenophobia
(fear of foreigners) in the accompanying assigned writings.
In Prime Minister Goh Chok Tongs address to
his people entitled, Social Values, Singapore Style, you should
recognize virulent forms of both ethnocentrism and xenophobia.
In Will the Twenty First Century Be The Pacific Century? Mr.
Bell assesses the Pacific Rim countries with a largely Western-centered
yardstick. Essentially, you should recognize that some bias in
evident in nearly all work--and thus it is important for you to
recognize it and factor it in critically analyzing the authors
points.
#35 Identify the factors that indicate the growing importance
and influence of the Pacific Rim Region with those suggesting
otherwise.
Like many factors--there can be a positive
and negative aspect to the same set of observed conditions. While
the list below is not exhaustive, the accompanying readings identify
the following factors generally applicable to the group (China,
Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam).
Positive: solid family, societal and educational systems;
confucianist traditions elevate good of the group (society) over
the individual; state-economic cooperation works to promote key
growth/cutting-edge industries; large military forces (6 of 8
of worlds largest are in Asia); and extensive trading linkages
between member-states. Negative: economic growth with
little regard for environmental destruction--resulting in latent
environmental problems; establishment of projectionist barriers
by US and European markets; historical and cultural enmity which
produces limited political connections between member-states;
focus on making/manufacturing products rather than innovation
and invention; economic production emphasized over economic productivity--which
is of declining value in a information-oriented future; and authoritarian
regimes lack institutionalized method by which power devolves
upon death of ruler.
#36 Describe the type of economic growth model used by China.
As can be seen in the readings, most notably
Mr. Segal, is using a sequential model, permitting largely unfettered
economic freedom in its coastal zones, while retaining (at this
time) much more restrictive control over its inland more agrarian
areas. However, political control is still firmly exercised throughout
China. In some ways, China can be said to patterning its growth
along the lines of Singapore--a small and non-comparable city-state
area. Whether this model will be effective in the long run for
China is debatable.
#37 Describe hydropolitics and some key concerns of the hydropolitical
environment in the Middle East.
Hydropolitics is that element of politics
related to a governments management of water-related policies,
goals, and affairs. Monetary economics, resource allocation,
development of infrastructure, and international disagreements
are standard issues encountered in the world of hydropolitics.
Key concerns in the Middle East include water withdrawal rate;
the amount of precipitation in the area; pollution and its effect
on standing water sources and downstream users; desertation and
deforestation; and water rights and allocation.
#38 How do the lessons we learned in SE 521 (Fragmentation and
Integration) apply as we view the hydropolitical problems present
in the Middle East?
How each nation confronts its individual water
problems is the actual focus of hydropolitics. Conflict has often
resulted over unlimited access to water, and with growing populations
and increasing demand, the likelihood for future conflict remains
ever present. Should conflict arise, fragmentation is a very
likely possibility. Such conflict, or fragmentation, does not
have to be the norm. We have also witnessed some attempts at
cooperation, most notably through planned distribution pipelines
or canals, and the proposal and acceptance of international treaties
or laws aimed at equitable distribution. Approaches such as these
lend to greater cooperation not only on water-related issues,
but also on other regional issues.
#39 Why are other global actors concerned about the resolution
of water-rights and allocation issues in the Middle East?
Concern for Middle East problems spans the
spectrum from peripheral humanitarian compassion, to the core
concern of ensuring a continuing flow of oil. Should Middle East
problems be resolved in a peaceful fashion, that portends well
for the rest of worlds need for a steady access to oil. If conflict
should erupt, global economies would suffer due to the impeded
flow of oil as well as the humanitarian and economic resources
required to intercede. Clearly, the way in which Middle East
actors solve their problems can have a ripple effect on other
issues present in the area.
#40 How can the lessons learned about scarcity of resources help
us better understand our strategic environment?
Resource scarcity results in pressures which
often lead to conflict. Scarcity presents those who are party
to the issue with an option: either resolve the issue in a problem-solving,
collegial fashion, or compete in a contentious fashion to obtain
as much of the resource as necessary. Resolving the problem in
the first manner can help solve problems at the root cause, and
often helps build a stable foundation for preventing future concerns.
To the contrary, conflict often creates further problems and
very rarely addresses the underlying concerns.
#41 Describe the dangers associated with having nuclear weapons
as in the case of India and Pakistan.
Indian nuclear program is much larger and
more diversified than Pakistan's and this disparity in nuclear
capability could result in blackmail. In addition, Pakistan's
conventional weakness means the decision to go nuclear would come
earlier rather than later should any conflict erupt. Any use
of nuclear weapons could lead to Total War. Any use of nuclear
weapons could expand Chinese involvement, possibly military intervention,
thus making any US alliances insecure. Also, it would break the
taboo against nuclear use and encourage other states to acquire,
deploy and contemplate using the only class of weapons that could
threaten US security on a large scale. Both India and Pakistan
feel the nuclear capability of their respective country deters
the other from attacking them. Some Americans feel this dual
capability gives stability to the region, while other Americans
believe there is a danger of inadvertent nuclear war or unauthorized
use of the weapons, perhaps by terrorists. Another thought by
Americans is the strategic impact of nuclear capable ballistic
missiles which India/Pakistan may soon deploy. Currently they
have only nuclear weapons that are assembled for deployment by
aircraft.
#42 State four reasons why the acquisition of nuclear weapons
has so much appeal from mid-level states as in the case of India
and Pakistan.
First, nuclear weapons have become the weapon
of the weak capturing the attention of superpowers and thought
to be the equalizer among states. Second, where survival of the
state is at some risk, nuclear weapons are considered the ultimate
deterrent. Third, nuclear weapons can be used to project power
in an attempt to achieve hegemony over a region. Finally, acquiring
nuclear capabilities for civilian nuclear programs provides a
relatively cheap and reliable source of electric power for economic
development and modernization.
#43 Describe India's position with regards to signing the Non
Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
India, along with Israel and Pakistan are
believed to have nuclear weapons outside the NPT framework. India
has refused to sign the NPT, even though the treaty was indefinitely
extended in 1995. Because of the NPT agreement, US and Russia
continue to make deep reductions in their nuclear weapons arsenal
(former holdouts of France and China have signed it ). India
originally supported the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT)
and called for a global ban on production of weapons grade fissile
material in the 1950s. Now that India has nuclear power, they
insist India's agreement to the CTBT must be linked to a schedule
for complete universal disarmament. Some within India believe
they need nuclear weapons to fend off potential challenges from
Pakistan and China.
#44 Describe the Policy Process Model; its purposes and strengths.
(The Policy Process Model is set forth in
the accompanying slides--please ensure you refer to it.) The
Policy Process Model is a useful tool in ensuring you have anticipated,
amassed, factored in and interpreted all available information
and considerations (internal and external) in determining options
and selecting a course of action--i.e.,--choosing the correct
Instrument(s) of Power (IOP) to use. The Policy Process Model
is a dynamic model--enabling and encouraging the user to factor
in results/feedback and do a peelback to determine subsequent
courses of action in response to observed results.
#45 Describe the assumptions inherent in the Policy Process Model
and identify limitations on its utility.
There are four basic assumptions concerning
the PPM: First, it essentially proceeds from a realist viewpoint
and thus produces a realist course of action (i.e., it assumes
the actor is motivated by self-interests, not idealist considerations);
Secondly, it assumes a unitary (monolithic) actor--state or non-state.
While the model can factor in the interests, etc., of another
state/actor on considering options/selecting a course of action
for a certain actor, it cannot produces proposed courses of action
for two actors at the same time. Third, it assumes the actor/user
will be able to obtain sufficient information to identify options
and assess expectant consequences of same. Fourth; it assumes
the actor/user is rational--and will/wants to select optimal solution.
With the above assumptions in mind, the utility of the model
is thus limited by: imperfect information; impact of multiple
actors; selection of suboptimal solutions in contravention of
the model; and failure of the actor to accept feedback results
and consider change in course of action.
#46 Explain why the United States publishes a national security
strategy and identify the three central goals of US National Security
Strategy.
Our national security requires the patient
application of American will and resources--which, as a democratic
republic, can only be sustained with the broad, bipartisan support
of the American people and their elected representatives in Congress.
Accordingly, it is crucial that our national values and objectives
be explained through a national security strategy to the American
public and their elected representatives--so that fellow Americans
understand what objectives the U.S. is pursuing and corresponding
policies--and thus garner the anticipated support of an informed
citizenry. With this backdrop, the U.S. is pressing a strategy
of [E]ngagement and [Enlargement in support of these three goals:
to enhance our security with military forces that are ready to
fight and with effective representation abroad; to bolster Americas
economic revitalization; to promote democracy abroad.
#47 Describe US policy in considering whether or not to use military
force/commit US troops.
The US is oftentimes able to leverage its
other weighty IOPs (political/diplomatic, economic, information)
in such a way as to make the actual application of the military
IOP necessary. That said, we will use force, with allied nations
or alone if we must, when our national security interests are
threatened--but then only when our objectives are clear and with
the means to prevail decisively in any resultant combat. The
term national security interests, encompasses three broad categories:
vital interests--those of overriding importance to the survival,
security and vitality of the US (e.g., defense of US territory,
citizens and economic well-being); important interests--affecting
our national well-being and the character of the world in which
we live (e.g., Bosnia and Haiti); and humanitarian interests--here
the focus is not necessarily using the military IOP, but rather
using the unique capabilities the US military can bring to bear
(e.g., Rwanda relief operation). Thus, in determining whether
and when to use force, the first consideration is the level
of national interest involved. The second consideration is assessing
the expected costs and risks--i.e., our involvement must be commensurate
with the stakes involved. Finally, in deciding how to
use force, the US will ensure there is a clear mission and the
means to achieve the objective decisively, and second--the US
will, to the extent possible, attempt to engage/solicit the assistance
of our allies or other groups (e.g., the UN).
#48 Describe the role of action channels in the Governmental
Politics Model.
Action channels execute the politically based
decisions. Action channels are preselected individuals or groups
of people politically chosen to work a particular issue. All
action channels have their own interest at stake, some to protect
the White House, some to protect their job, some to protect friends,
and some even national security. In fact, some even believed
they could disobey the law in the interest of the state.
#49 Explain the role of organizations in the governmental politics
model and how the behavior of government organizations create
policy.
A government consists of a conglomerate of
semifeudal, loosely allied organizations, each with a substantial
life of its own. Government leaders do sit formally, and to some
extent in fact, on top of this conglomerate. But governments
perceive problems through organizational sensors. Governments
define alternatives and estimate consequences as organizations
process information. Governments act as these organizations enact
routines. Government behavior (policy) can therefore be understood
as outputs of large organizations functioning according to standard
patterns of behavior or standard operating procedures. To be
responsive to a broad spectrum of problems, governments consist
of large organizations among which primary responsibility for
particular areas is divided. Each organization attends to a special
set of problems and acts in quasi-independence on these problems.
But few important problems fall exclusively within the domain
of a single organization. Thus government behavior relevant to
any important problem reflects the independent output of several
organizations, partially coordinated by government leaders.
#50 Describe the relationship between an organizations standard
operating procedure and the actual application of power.
Without these standard procedures, it would not be possible to perform certain concerted tasks. Assured performance requires clusters of rehearsed SOPs for producing specific actions. SOPs constitute routines for dealing with standard situations.