What is Global Warming?
Is the Earth Getting
Warmer?
During the 20th century, the
earth's average temperature has increased by about .6º Celsius. It's almost certain
(90-99% certain) that the 1990s were the warmest decade, and 1998 the warmest year since
1861. It's likely (66-90% chance) that these have also been the warmest decade & year
of the millenium. A rate of warming this high hasnt been seen in at least the past 400 to
600 years.
- IPCC Scientific Basis Report 2001
- Union of Concerned Scientists
The Greenhouse Effect
Scientists have known for quite
awhile that the earth is warmed by the sun through a process called the greenhouse effect.
Basically, energy from the sun reaches the surface of the earth, causing whatever object
it "lands on" to heat up and emit heat back toward space. Some of this heat
finds its way out of the atmosphere, but some encounters greenhouse gases (water vapor,
carbon dioxide, methane, CFCs, nitrous oxide and tropospheric ozone) which reflect the
heat back toward the earth. This natural cycle of energy keeps the air comfortably warm,
and is essential for life on earth. Without the greenhouse effect, the planet's average
temperature would drop about 34º Celsius, and life as we know it would cease to exist.
The Enhanced
Greenhouse Effect
But it's not the natural
greenhouse effect that has many scientists, environmentalists and citizens worried. Since
the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere has increased 30%, nitrous oxide concentrations have increased by 15%, and
methane has doubled. The reason for this increase is generally attributed to human
activity, more specifically; to the burning of fossil fuels in power plants and vehicles
(one by-product of which is carbon dioxide) and deforestation/inreased farming (which
leads to an increase in termites who in turn produce methane). The continually increasing
greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere is causing more and more heat to be
reflected back toward earth, and this is why the planet is warming.

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