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HeaderIssuesGlobalWarming.jpg (20804 bytes) The Earth is Warming


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The Global Warming Debate:
What Will Be the Effects of Global Warming?

Debate Outcome: (as of July 24, 2001)

??

 

Effect

Reasoning

Temperature Change

1 - 4.5 ° F increase
Proponents

This is the best estimate made by the IPCC, a group of over 2,000 leading scientists from multiple nations.
??

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Health

Heat/cold related deaths, lung disease may increase.
Tropical diseases will spread north.
Increased algae blooms will cause cholera

Increased temperatures will cause more extremely hot days, which will in turn lead to more heat related deaths.
Increased precipitation caused by warming will lead to more snowfalls in areas that usually don't get much snow. This will cause more snow-related death.
As northern areas warm, tropical diseases such as malaria, dengue/yellow fever, and encephalitis will move northward.
Warming oceans will increase algae blooms, and in turn cholera.

Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Ice caps/glaciers

Ice caps, glaciers will melt, altering habitats and worsening the enhanced greenhouse effect.

The warming will occur more intensely toward the poles, where most of the glaciers/ice caps are situated. These will melt, destroying the habitat of some polar animals such as the polar bear and penguin.
Melting ice will also cause the thermohaline ocean circulation (which helps mediate the temperature of the planet) to slow.
Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Water

Glaciers will melt, enhancing global warming.
Costal regions will get wetter, and inland areas drier.
Floods/droughts will be more frequent.
Oceans will rise between 3.5'' and 4' by 2100.
Water quality/supply will be reduced.

Melting ice will cause the thermohaline ocean circulation (which helps mediate the temperature of the planet) to slow.
Precipitation and evaporation will increase, but inland evaporation will increase more than precipitation, drying it out.
As the oceans warm, they will expand, causing the sea level to rise.
Ice/snowpack in mountains will thaw earlier, leaving less water available for summer months.

Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Plants

Plant population/diversity may decrease.

Increasing temperatures will also increase evaporation, leading to drier soil.
Fires will increase.
An increase in pests will kill off plants.
Many plants will be required to migrate faster than they are able, and this will lead to a decrease in some populations.
Rises in sea level will cover many wetlands, killing some of the plants there.

Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Animals

Animal population/diversity may decrease.

Changes in polar habitats make things more difficult for animals like polar bears and penguins.
A sea level rise would destroy wetlands (habitats which are essential for many animals), as well as increase salinity of estuaries and decrease the amount of sandy beaches. . . leaving many animals without a home.
As rivers and lakes heat up, the water may become too warm for some species of fish. While some may be able to migrate northward, some will not be able to.
Many bird species will be forced to move their popluations northward. While most will be physically able to accomplish this, the plants may not be able to keep up, killing off some populations.

Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Polar Regions

Ice caps and glaciers may melt, enhancing global warming.
The globe will warm most at the poles, disrupting habitat there.

Melting ice will cause the thermohaline ocean circulation (which helps mediate the temperature of the planet) to slow.
Changes in polar habitats make it harder for animals there, for example. . . polar bears will have less time to hunt.

Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Mountains

Northern treelines would rise, reducing alpine habitats.

As the earth warms, trees will migrate northward and upward on mountainsides. This will leave less room for the already rare alpine habitats.

Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Forests

Population/diversity of forests could decline due to increasing fire, insect and migration problems.

As the earth warms, and some areas dry out, forest fires will increase.
Many insect populations will flourish, killing forest flora.
Temperature changes will require trees to migrate northward at a rate of 1.5 to 5.5 km per year. Fossil record indicate that the fastest a species has been able to successfully migrate is between .4 and 2 km per year.
Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Grasslands

Dry areas may become drier, decreasing grassland and increasing desert.

The global mean surface tempera
Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally o

Deserts

Desert habitats in some areas may increase in size, wheras those in other areas may decrease.

The global mean surface temperature has risen between .5 -
Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Rainforests

1 - 4.5 degree F increase

The global mean surface temperature has risen between .5 - 1 degree Farenheit over the 20th centu
Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Wetlands

Much wetland area may disappear due to rising sea levels, and increasing evaporation.

As sea levels rise, costal wetlands will be overcome by ocean, leaving many animal and plant communities homeless.
As evaporation increases, inland wetlands will see lower and lower levels of water, displacing flora/fauna.
Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Costal Regions

A great deal of coastline could be altered due to sea-level rise.

As the sea warms, it will expand, causing the sea level to rise. The IPCC predicts a rise of between 3.5" and 3' by 2100.
A 2' rise would eliminate 17-43% of U.S. wetlands, and about 10,000 square miles of U.S. land would disappear. Erosion in costal areas would also increase.
About 1/4 of the homes within 500 feet of the U.S. coastline will be overtaken by erosion in the next 60 years.
Natural Climate Cycle
-Critics

The climate changes naturally over time. The warming we are now experiencing is due to the fact that we are emerging from an ice age.

Debate Outcome: (as of July 24, 2001)

Human activity is probably the primary cause of global warming.

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Cause

Effects
Action
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