|
SJS College Football Extravaganza
|
|
|
SJS 114 published July 16, 1999
|
return to 1999 Forecast page
SJS 114 Preseason Rankings
With the season only a month and a half away, I have
produced, for the second straight year, preseason rankings of all 114 teams. Conference
previews will appear soon, and on those pages I will detail more the rationale behind the
rankings.
There are several ways one might go about ranking the teams. One, trying to forecast the
final postseason rankings of the BCS; two, putting teams in order of their relative strength;
or three, going to the ridiculous trouble of picking every single game of every single team
and then ranking them based on their predicted records. I have, of course, done the latter.
The rankings can be viewed as my predicted rankings prior to championship games and bowls.
| 1 |
Arizona Wildcats |
| 2 |
Florida State Seminoles |
| 3 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers |
| 4 |
Wisconsin Badgers |
| 5 |
Florida Gators |
| 6 |
Tennessee Volunteers |
| 7 |
Texas A&M Aggies |
| 8 |
Georgia Bulldogs |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions |
| 10 |
Miami Hurricanes |
| 11 |
Texas Longhorns |
| 12 |
Ohio State Buckeyes |
| 13 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
| 14 |
Mississippi Rebels |
| 15 |
Michigan Wolverines |
| 16 |
Virginia Tech Hokies |
| 17 |
Georgia Tech Yellowjackets |
| 18 |
Kansas State Wildcats |
| 19 |
Miami Red Hawks |
| 20 |
Louisiana State Tigers |
| 21 |
Colorado Buffaloes |
| 22 |
North Carolina Tar Heels |
| 23 |
UCLA Bruins |
| 24 |
Louisville Cardinals |
| 25 |
Brigham Young Cougars |
| 26 |
Virginia Cavaliers |
| 27 |
Arkansas Razorbacks |
| 28 |
North Carolina State Wolfpack |
| 29 |
Michigan State Spartans |
| 30 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders |
| 31 |
Purdue Boilermakers |
| 32 |
Southern Cal Trojans |
| 33 |
Arizona State Sun Devils |
| 34 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs |
| 35 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys |
| 36 |
Wyoming Cowboys |
| 37 |
Idaho Vandals |
| 38 |
Syracuse Orangemen |
| 39 |
Alabama Crimson Tide |
| 40 |
Washington Huskies |
| 41 |
Boston College Eagles |
| 42 |
California Golden Bears |
| 43 |
Marshall Thundering Herd |
| 44 |
Utah Utes |
| 45 |
West Virginia Mountaineers |
| 46 |
Air Force Falcons |
| 47 |
Western Michigan Broncos |
| 48 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles |
| 49 |
Rice Owls |
| 50 |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
| 51 |
Southern Methodist Mustangs |
| 52 |
Oregon Ducks |
| 53 |
Clemson Tigers |
| 54 |
Indiana Hoosiers |
| 55 |
Colorado State Rams |
| 56 |
Oklahoma Sooners |
| 57 |
Minnesota Gophers |
| 58 |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
| 59 |
Kansas Jayhawks |
| 60 |
Fresno State Bulldogs |
| 61 |
Houston Cougars |
| 62 |
Nevada Wolfpack |
| 63 |
Texas Christian Horned Frogs |
| 64 |
New Mexico Lobos |
| 65 |
Akron Zips |
| 66 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
| 67 |
Missouri Tigers |
| 68 |
Central Michigan Chippewas |
| 69 |
Toledo Rockets |
| 70 |
Army Cadets |
| 71 |
Kentucky Wildcats |
| 72 |
Bowling Green Falcons |
| 73 |
Tulane Green Wave |
| 74 |
South Carolina Gamecocks |
| 75 |
Duke Blue Devils |
| 76 |
Baylor Bears |
| 77 |
Boise State Broncos |
| 78 |
Illinois Illini |
| 79 |
Central Florida Golden Knights |
| 80 |
Ohio Bobcats |
| 81 |
Utah State Aggies |
| 82 |
Stanford Cardinal |
| 83 |
Northeast Louisiana Indians |
| 84 |
Navy Midshipmen |
| 85 |
East Carolina Pirates |
| 86 |
San Diego State Aztecs |
| 87 |
Washington State Cougars |
| 88 |
San Jose State Spartans |
| 89 |
Northwestern Wildcats |
| 90 |
Auburn Tigers |
| 91 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
| 92 |
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors |
| 93 |
Iowa Hawkeyes |
| 94 |
Iowa State Cyclones |
| 95 |
Vanderbilt Commodores |
| 96 |
Cincinatti Bearcats |
| 97 |
Pittsburgh Panthers |
| 98 |
UNLV Running Rebels |
| 99 |
Oregon State Beavers |
| 100 |
Temple Owls |
| 101 |
Northern Illinois Huskies |
| 102 |
Memphis Tigers |
| 103 |
Arkansas State Indians |
| 104 |
Maryland Terrapins |
| 105 |
Ball State Cardinals |
| 106 |
Kent Golden Flashes |
| 107 |
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders |
| 108 |
UAB Blazers |
| 109 |
Buffalo Bulls |
| 110 |
Texas El Paso Miners |
| 111 |
New Mexico State Aggies |
| 112 |
Southwestern Louisiana Raging Cajuns |
| 113 |
Eastern Michigan Eagles |
| 114 |
North Texas Eagles |
|
|
BOWL PREDICTIONS
|
Sugar Bowl
Arizona over Florida State
|
Rose Bowl
Wisconsin over Florida
|
Orange Bowl
Nebraska over Miami, FL
|
Fiesta Bowl
Tennessee over Texas A&M
|
|
NEW WHIPPING BOYS
|
 |
This season, two new
teams join Division 1A: the Buffalo Bulls of the MAC, and independent Middle Tennessee
State Blue Raiders. Both are predicted to have a tough road ahead. Unlike Marshall,
which joined Division IA after winning some Division IAA national championships, these
two are by no means IAA powers. Placed 113 and 114 by most preseason pubs, we here at
the SJS home page realize the lower echelons of 1A contain plenty of deadwood; the
Bulls and Blue Raiders won't necessarily be the most hideous. |
 |
|
OUT OF STEP?
|
A survey of some of the
so-called professional sports publications suggests that tabbing Arizona as my
#1 is a fairly original choice, though many magazines have the 'Cats in the top 5. I
may be more out on a limb with Wisconsin at #4; most pubs like Penn State to win the
Big Ten and perhaps even finish first overall. I consider my out on a limb picks to
be Mississippi at #14, Miami, OH at #19, Louisville at #24, and Idaho at #37. By out
on a limb, I mean that if they do well I shall beat my own drum until next preseason,
and if they don't, then we shall never speak of them again. |
|
CHAMPIONS
|
SEC
Florida over Mississippi
|
Big Twelve
Nebraska over Texas A&M
|
MAC
Miami, OH over Western Michigan
|
|
BEST CONFERENCES
|
The Division IA landscape
changes a little this year with the addition of the Mountain West conference, made up
of the best teams from last year's 16-team WAC. Fans lose two ways: it gives us a new
conference to ignore (the WAC), and it robs us of a championship game come December.
Here's how the conferences rank in terms of strength:
- SEC
- Big Ten
- Big Twelve
- Pac Ten
- ACC
- Mountain West
- Big East
- Conference USA
- WAC
- MAC
- Independents
- Big West
|
|
WOO-HOO and BOO-HOO
|
Like last year, I'm
predicting that three schools will survive the season without a loss: Arizona,
Florida State, and Miami, OH. Arizona's toughest test comes the first week of the
season, at Penn State, a team picked by many to finish first in the tough Big Ten.
Florida State's toughest test is the last week of the season, at Florida. As for
Miami, they get Marshall at home this year, and that was their only defeat last
season. They must also beat two weak major conference foes: Northwestern and West
Virginia.
On the other end of the spectrum, I don't see North Texas or Eastern Michigan
winning a game. Both teams play in wimpy conferences, however, so a win is not out
of the question. I also have Southwestern Louisiana going 0 for Division IA, saved
from the doughnut season by the season finale against Wofford. |
|