From: AdmrlLocke@aol.com
Sent: Sunday, January 23, 2000 10:17 PM
To: undisclosed-recipients: ;
Subject: GrammNet: Forbes Rising in Iowa Polls

GrammNet
Issue 1/23/00.1

Dear Friend of Liberty,

It's clear from the polling data that thanks to your support Forbes is 
experiencing a sustained surge in Iowa.  Here are the results of the latest 
poll, taken by the Los Angeles Times:

If the Jan. 24 Republican caucus for president were being held today for 
which one of the following candidates would you vote? 
     (Asked of likely GOP voters in Iowa) 
     IOWA: Los Angeles Times 
     -Bush, 43 percent 
     -Forbes, 25 percent 
     -Keyes, 10 percent 
     -McCain, 8 percent 
     -Bauer, 7 percent 
     -Hatch, 1 percent 

You may recall that in the early polls, Forbes was mired in 
single-digits--ahead of everyone but Bush, but still in single digits, while 
Bush rode high on liberal media support above 60%.  Now a solid quarter of 
likely voters support Forbes, while Bush has seen his support drop well under 
a majority--and that's even before adjusting for liberal media bias, which 
tends to average around 10 percentage points, but can run from 5 to 20 
points.  

Since the poll reports Republicans who say they're likely to vote rather than 
all registered Republicans, let's be conservative and assume a bias of only 5 
points.  Adjusting for a 5 point bias would create a result of Bush at 38% 
and Forbes at 30%.  That result would send Forbes into New Hampshire as a 
clear and close challenger to Bush, while Bush would limp in wounded, unable 
to translate his overwhelming support by the liberal media and Republican 
establishment into overwhelming support by Iowa Republican voters.

Of course, the ultimate vote totals will depend upon you.  In the following 
three GrammNet messages--my last before the Straw Poll--I'll provide you some 
insight into Forbes the man, a summary analysis of Bush on the issues, 
including some late-breaking information, and a short editorial from the Manch
ester Union-Leader on why Forbes is the heir to Reagan's optimistic brand of 
conservatism.  If you're at all inclined to believe the liberal media myth of 
Bush as a "reasonable conservative," please read the third message before you 
vote! 

Sincerely,

David B. Levenstam, CPA, MT, MA
Forbes in 2000!
GrammNet is an independent newsletter, not affiliated with Senator Gramm. To 
subscribe to GrammNet, email me at AdmrlLocke@aol.com, with a message to the 
effect that you'd like to subscribe.  GrammNet back issues available at 
http://www.geocities.com/CapitolHill/3390/
Steve Forbes web page (Forbes 2000) at http://www.forbes2000.com
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