2006 MLB Preview (NL)
NL Playoffs: New York, Los Angeles, Milwaukee, Chicago
NL Championship: Los Angeles v. Chicago
NL Champs: Los Angeles
1. New York: Additions of 1B Delgado, C Paul Lo Duca and Closer Wagner are the big names attractive to New York sensibility. Certainly could have the best Lineup in NL top to bottom.
Best case: Solid playoff and WS chance.
Worst case: 3rd place, underachieving and GM Omar Maniea (spelling) will be shown the door.
Questions: Pitching. #1-3 Starters are older than 34 years. Health becomes the key. Bullpen is revamped, once again.
2. Atlanta: 15+ seasons of dominance. Inserting young farm system guys into the mix and winning year after year in the Regular season.
Best Case: Playoffs once again.
Worst Case: 3rd place and blown saves of unheard of proportions.
Questions: Without Leo Mazzone, is there a significant difference? Yep. It started with him – it will end with him.
3. Philadelphia: The kids are all right. 1B Howard and 2B Utley could be mainstays for the next 5 years. Pitching is shaky. Lost the premier closer in the NL. (Lidge aside.)
Best Case: Make New York and Atlanta sweat. finish 2nd.
Worst Case: Finish 4th and loath it once again.
Questions: Traded away #5 SP Robinson Tejeda for 4th OF. What does that tell you?
4. Washington: Added petulant 2B/OF(now) Alfonso Soriano. Still need a new owner and new park.
Best Case:3rd place – SP Patterson and Closer Cordero carry team to respectable finish
Worst Case: Dead last. No one wants to own them.
Questions: Is putting a bad fielding 2B in LF (against his wishes) going to solve the hitting problems of this team?
5. Florida: Clean out entire lineup save SP Dontrell Willis and 3B/OF Miguel Cabrera.
Best Case: Out of the cellar – young prospects OF Jeremy Hermida, SS Hanley Ramirez and Jason Vargas show why they traded or sold off all their mature talent.
Worst Case: 2 years away from moving to New Orleans/Las Vegas to finally maintain a 2 time WS title winner in 10 years.
Questions: Why don’t people like baseball in South Beach? And why is winning bad?
1. Milwaukee: Youth movement and a few solid cogs could win the NL Central.
Best Case: Prince Fielder hits 35 HRs. Entire team plays above their head for 162 games.
Worst Case: 4th place. Youngsters are 2 years from competing, if they build the pitching staff right. (Mike Maddux, Greg’s bro, runs that.)
Questions: Where did St. Louis go?
2. Chicago: Juan Pierre adds life to the basepaths for banger-only lineup. Young SS Cedeno and LF Murton gives hope to move away from Sosa’s hopping.
Best Case: SPs Prior, Wood and Miller are 100% by June 1st. 90 wins can get a wild card.
Worst Case: Every move GM Jim Hendry made was a bust. Dusty gets the axe.
Questions: Why did they forget about signing a healthy SP in the offseason?
3. St. Louis: Retirements, changes in personnel in BP and OF. Same PHAT Albert though.
Best Case: They win the division. Woopee!
Worst Case: Finally, a few pitchers and position players have ‘off’ seasons.
Questions: One trade from shoring up any deficiency.
4. Pittsburgh: Never get far from 75 wins. With Zach Duke and Oliver Perez (from 2004) this could be improved.
Best Case: They get premier SP developed and in turn attract more Free Agents.
Worst Case: They play to their payroll.
Questions: When is OF Jason Bay available? Cubs would be a nice little fit.
5. Houston: After being held hostage by OF Beltran in 2004, they get held up by Roger Clemens. But hey, they can sign him in May, once again.
Best Case: 2nd place and a miracle wildcard.
Worst Case: No offense flowing.
Questions: If all the pieces work again, they have a #1-#2 SP to get them pretty far.
6. Cincinnati: Next to the Kansas City Royals, this franchise has been closest to the mostest ineptitude. (Grammar: I never read so good.)
Best Case: Offense, offense and more offense. 4th Place.
Worst Case: No pitching, no pitching. See a trend?? Dead last.
Questions: It took them until spring training to trade Wily Mo Pena, why so long?
1. Los Angeles: Spent money at SS, 1B and 3B. Hire new GM and new Manager.
Best Case: NO-mar, Gagne, Furcal and Drew show up with a vengeance. 1st place.
Worst Case: The injury bug follows Nomar and Co. straight on through 2006.
Questions: Was GM Paul DePodesta the reason they lost in 2005?
2. San Francisco: Bonds is Back!!! Can the season rest on one man.
Best Case: Hank Aaron moves over. Jason Schmidt wins 20, Lowry 15 and Morris 15.
Worst Case: Bonds plays 30 games. Schmidt is no longer a #1 SP.
Questions: Just a few too many old guys to rely on.
3. San Diego: Held pat but for two 90’s stars: 3BVinny Castilla and C Mike Piazza.
Best Case: Weak division and cavernous ballpark help pitchers win.
Worst Case: Offense struggles both home and away.
Questions: Is SP Chris Young able to dominate in a pitcher friendly ballpark?
4. Arizona: For a WS winner in this decade, they sure don’t look any better.
Best Case: They get good mileage out of lost cost FAs acquired. And win 70 games.
Worst Case: They win 60 games, and have the run of the bottom feeders.
Questions: Do they have a plan? Will see.
5. Colorado: The franchise that could be so much better, with pitching.
Best Case: SS Barmes, LF Holliday and 3B Garrett Atkins all play well.
Worst Case: They fight for the cellar again.
Questions: Could they move down 2-3 thousand feet in elevation and still be close to Denver? Guess not.